The only thing certain with regard to any election is that the pundits will get it wrong.  Donald Trump had a good night, but he did not run the table.  In checking the polls with the actual results, Trump either did about as expected or he dropped.  He did not outperform by a significant margin anywhere.  Cruz beat the polls in every state except Virginia.  Rubio underperformed in every state but Virginia.  No one paid any attention to Minnesota, because that was a caucus state with low turnout.  That was the only victory for Rubio.

Fox News is still praying that somehow Rubio will wage a comeback and soar past Cruz.  They are dreaming the impossible dream.  Honest pundits know that the only candidate, other than Trump, who has any realistic path to the Presidency, is Ted Cruz. Kasich is the ultimate establishment candidate and he has no chance.  Ben Carson never was and never will be.  That leaves Rubio and Cruz.  As for Rubio the writing is on the wall.

Daniel 5:25

mene, mene, tekel, parsin

Following is the translation for Tekel:

You have been weighed on the scales and found wanting.

There will be some arguing, praying actual, that perhaps Rubio is still a viable candidate, but “me thinks thee doth protest too much.”  If it takes this much effort to explain why you think Rubio still has a shot, it is because you know he doesn’t.  If Rubio supporters realize that he has no chance of winning this, they will start looking for another place to go.  My guess is that most Rubio voters are strongly anti-Trump. If they start leaving Rubio, they are unlikely to go to Kasich, because he has no chance.  They may not like it, but the only other candidate available is Ted Cruz.

Trump had a big night, but in his best state over 57% of Republicans still voted against him.  That number is unlikely to change. The Republican establishment will desperately try to pump up Rubio, which will hurt him more than help, him.  They will also take on Trump and even though they are lousy at this stuff, they still have ammunition.  No one should underestimate the significant of Trump being charged with fraud with regard to Trump University. There is more here than you think.  In 2010 the New York Department of Education sent Trump University a letter accusing it of misleading students by calling itself a university. The response was a name change from Trump University to Trump Entrepreneurial Initiative.  Ouch! The following article from time.com/money explains:

http://time.com/money/4010695/trump-university-scam-donald-trump/

Rubio is going to be screaming that Donald Trump is a scam artist.  Former students, ignored for years, are about to get their 15 minutes of fame

“For my $35,000+ all I got was books that I could have gotten from the library that could guide me better then Trump’s class did. I just want my $35,000+ money back. I feel embarrass[ed],” r

Another former “student,” who purchased the $34,995 “Gold Elite” package after the $1,495 seminar under the promise of mentorship, calls the program “an absolute, utter waste.”

Trump is going to try and scream this away, but I am not sure that is remotely possible. Just imagine that this only costs Trump 5 points.  Suppose that Rubio only loses 5

Suddenly this race looks very different.  This is far from over.  Trump is clearly the front runner and he has a load of steam, but a lot can happen on the way to the Forum.  He is about to encounter some stormy weather.  Just saying!

TDM