The New York Times just admitted something that has always been obvious. Democrats are far more likely to respond to calls from a pollster than Republicans. The following article explains:

NYT chief political analyst explains why polls could be underestimating Trump again

This is easy to understand. If I got a call from someone taking a poll the odds of my participation approach zero. If the poll was being conducted on behalf of the New York Times the odds of participation would be less than zero.

But if any of the “antidotal” stories being told by the people who actually talk to potential voters are accurate, this year there may be another problem that could skew results even more. There are numerous reports of Democrats who are fully aware of how awful the Biden Administration has performed and they have zero confidence in Kamala Harris. They may not like Trump, they may even hate Trump, but they will hold their nose and vote for him anyway. The reason is that when Trump was President, things were better. End of story.

So, there are some important questions not addressed by any of the polls. One is how Republican turnout will compare to Democratic turnout. Early voting seems to indicate that Republicans are turning out for early voting much higher than in previous years. Republicans have absolutely registered more people than Democrats during the last couple of years. If Republican turnout on election day is higher than Democratic turnout, as has been the case for a long time, then Trump is going to have a really big victory.

Another is how many people will vote along party lines, as expected. Numerous polls show that support for Kamala Harris among black and Hispanic voters is much lower than for previous Democrat candidates.

In addition, it is important to evaluate who is showing up to vote. So far there are indications that black voters are staying home more so than in the past. If that is true, and if the support for Kamala Harris among black voters has declined, as is being reported, then it is hard to imagine her winning.

Finally, one should consider their own personal interactions. I know many people who are liberal, who are Democrats and who despise Donald Trump. All of them are quick to tell me that they hate Donald Trump because he lies all the time. That immediately tells me they are listening to CNN, MSNBC, NBC, CBS, or ABC. If they were doing any personal research, they would know this is itself a lie and distortion. Trump exaggerates all the time, but he seldom says things that are demonstrably false. On the other hand, Kamala Harris has told outrageous lies, easily disputed, just unchallenged by the MSM. And some of her lies are extremely dangerous, such as accusing Trump of being a fascist. Trump, if you have been paying attention, says that Kamala is stupid and dumb. Not very nice but based on my personal knowledge of her actual record, not necessarily inaccurate.

Knock, knock, who’s there? Right now, none of know for sure. We know that far too many people will vote for Kamala Harris without regard to facts or evidence. We know that far too many people will believe the MSM lies about Donald Trump and really believe he is a danger to Democracy. The question is whether the majority of people who vote will ignore the lies and distortions by the MSM and make an informed decision. Hold your breath.

I don’t bet on anything, but I sure wouldn’t bet on Kamala Harris.

TDM