It was fun watching CNN respond to the FBI shocking announcement that they have reopened the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private server. At first they were in a state of shock and actually reported on this objectively. Within an hour, they brought in a panel of experts and desperately tried to change the story to whether or not Director Comey should have sent that letter. Good luck with that. This is a bomb and is almost certain to end the slim chance Hillary had at getting elected President of the United States.
I know that many of you reading this have been depressed by the talking heads in both parties saying that Hillary was way ahead in the polls and certain to win. The reality is that this election was extremely close before this bombshell. The only polls that showed Hillary with a double digit lead were conducted by the mainstream media and most of them over sampled Democrats. Actually, they did more than that. They took the data and adjusted it for “expected voter turnout.” Let me translate that. They were predicting that 37% of voters would be Democrat and 29% would be Republican. This is based on what happened in 2008 and 2012. But in 2008 and 2012 black voters turned out in record numbers and almost all of them voted for Barack Obama. In 2008 he got 96% of the black vote. In 2012 he got 93% of the black vote. It is insane to expect that to happen this year, but that is exactly the turnout model that the pundits were using. This is the year of Colin Kaepernick and blacks are more likely to sit down and refuse to participate than they are to vote in droves.
Gallop measures this every week and it consistently shows close to an even split between Republicans and Democrats at about 30%. Democrats may have a 2 or 3 point advantage, but no more than that. Independents now represent about 40% of the voters. Every poll, before weighting, shows similar results. Hillary gets about 40% and Trump gets about 40%. Approximately 60% of the voters think Donald Trump would be the worst possible choice as President. Approximately 60% of the voters think Hillary Clinton would be the worst possible choice as President. The reality is that in 11 days voters will have to decide between two terrible choices. Odds are they won’t vote for anyone, they will vote against the person they fear the most.
With this FBI announcement, Hillary Clinton sealed the deal. She has no acceptable answer for this. What little credibility she had was just shredded. Her news conference was so bad that even Anderson Cooper had to note that she didn’t actually answer any questions. Jeffery Tobin, in a rare moment of honestly, said that “if” Hillary was elected President there would be a demand for a special prosecutor to investigate this. In a race to the bottom, with the choice between two evils, Hillary just won. One reason this is so devastating is that it is so obviously true.
Unless Democrats come up with an even bigger bomb regarding Donald Trump, this is over. Odds are the polls that come out Monday will be stunningly bad for Hillary. Yes, a lot of people are stupid, but not that stupid. Don’t be surprised to see a lot of Democrats throw Hillary Clinton under the bus next week in a desperate and probably fruitless attempt to distance them from disaster. It’s a beautiful thing.
TDM