In 1965 the Lovin’ Spoonful released their debut album called “Do You Believe in Magic.”  One of the songs on that album, written by John Sebastian, was “Did You Ever Have To Make Up Your Mind?”

The Lyrics to that song are more than appropriate today:

“Did you ever have to make up your mind?
Pick up on one and leave the other one behind
It’s not often easy, and not often kind
Did you ever have to make up your mind?
Did you ever have to finally decide?
Say yes to one and let the other one ride
There’s so many changes, and tears you must hide
Did you ever have to finally decide?”

Tuesday, March 15, 2016 changed everything. Rubio has officially withdrawn. Kasich is still in the race, but he will no longer be a factor. This is now a two man race.  Republicans have a choice between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz.  They may not like either candidate, but those are the only options.  No one is pretending that John Kasich has any rational path to the nomination. The one thing every pundit agrees on today is that a vote for John Kasich is a vote for Donald Trump.  Kasich cannot win, but he can prevent Ted Cruz from winning. This means one way or the other, people are going to vote for or against Donald Trump.

There is no way to predict the outcome.  Donald Trump has already exceeded everyone’s expectations.  But, then, so has Ted Cruz.  Trump has won most elections, but he has never gotten more than 50% of the vote and in most states he is closer to 30% than he is 40%.  If Trump can increase, even a little, he wins.  If that does not change, Cruz wins. In the next couple of weeks people will have to make a choice.

This won’t take long.  It all starts next week in Arizona. This is a closed primary.  It is winner take all.  There are 58 delegates.  If Trump wins, it is hard to imagine Cruz recovering.  If Cruz wins the race is on.

TDM