There are two things certain after any debate. One is that the professional pundits will get it wrong. The other is that the real impact of a debate never shows up immediately. Sad to say, the Fox News panel was actually worse than CNN. That is incredible when one considers the pathetic liberals that dominate CNN.
For weeks we have watched the Republican establishment attack Donald Trump, only to make him more popular. Yet the recommendation was always to attack Trump. The more people attacked Trump the bigger he looked. Rubio, in an act of desperation, listened to this advice and attacked Donald Trump with disastrous results. Yet, again tonight there was Charles Krauthammer saying that Rubio and Kasich missed an opportunity to attack Trump. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
Donald Trump did appear more Presidential tonight but I am not sure that helped him. A large part of the appeal for Donald Trump is that he was the politically incorrect outsider who fought off his attackers. He was always the most out of control guy in the room and voters furious with the establishment absolutely loved it. Well tonight the fighter never showed. Instead we saw a kinder, gentler Donald Trump. The result was that Trump stumbled badly on important issues. When Trump gets into an adult policy debate with Ted Cruz he loses badly.
So how bad was this. Perhaps we can take a clue from the Drudge Report. A lot of people have noticed that the Drudge Report has been very favorable to Donald Trump. I always checked the instant poll on Drudge after every debate and in every case Trump was the big winner. At times was almost shocking because to me Trump was acting like a spoiled eighth grader. But his supporters loved it and he typically won the instant poll by huge margins. Ted Cruz usually came in a distant second, at around 20%. Rubio always came in just below Cruz and no one else mattered. Tonight the results were very different. Donald Trump still won, but by a much smaller margin. Approximately 49.5% percent of people thought Trump won the debate, but this time 43.5% thought Cruz won. Rubio and Kasich barely registered with 3.75% saying Rubio won and 3.14% saying Rubio won.
This is not a scientific poll; it just measures people who read the Drudge Report and then vote. But the enormous change in results is still significant. There is no doubt that Donald Trump did a lot worse, Cruz did a lot better and Rubio and Kasich were considered irrelevant. I was surprised because I thought Rubio had a really good night, but I suspect the results reflect the obvious fact that Rubio has no chance at winning the nomination.
How will the new Trump play? No one knows for sure. All we know is that things have changed.
TDM