BATHROOM ON THE RIGHT

Creedence Clearwater Revival produced “Bad Moon Rising” in April 1969. John Fogerty, who wrote the song, considered it to be a happy tune. Students in Berkeley used it as a theme song during their anti-war demonstrations. Here are the actual lyrics:

Bad Moon Rising

I see a bad moon a-rising

I see trouble on the way

I see earthquakes and lightnin’

I see bad times today

 

Don’t go around tonight

It’s bound to take your life

There’s a bad moon on the rise

 

I hear hurricanes a blowing

I know the end is coming soon

I fear rivers overflowing

I hear the voice of rage and ruin

 

Don’t go around tonight

It’s bound to take your life

There’s a bad moon on the rise

 

I hope you got your things together

I hope you are quite prepared to die

Looks like we’re in for nasty weather

One eye is taken for an eye

 

Don’t go around tonight

It’s bound to take your life

There’s a bad moon on the rise

There’s a bad moon on the rise

The students in Berkeley thought this was an anti-war song. If so, that would have been news to John Fogerty. He actually based it on a movie called “The Devil And Daniel Webster.” That was about a farmer who made a pact with Satan for economic success and then asked Daniel Webster, who was a lawyer, to help him break the contract. Since the plot took place in 1840 odds are it had little to do with the Vietnam War.

Others believe it was a warning regarding abundant drug use by celebrities. As for me, I just liked the music. So did a lot of soccer fans in Brazil. Although I knew the actual lyrics, to me it sounded like they were really singing: “There’s A Bathroom on the Right.” In some ways, those lyrics would be equally accurate since people caught in this type of situation often are desperate in need of a bathroom.

Regardless of why Fogerty wrote this, the words sure seem to apply today. There is a Bad Moon on the Rise. I do not know how many people will die from COVID 19, but I fear the failed cure will be far more devastating than the disease itself. I hear hurricanes of economic destruction blowing. I know the end is coming soon, because everyone is going to run out of money. I fear economic rivers overflowing and doing more damage than most people can imagine. I hear the voice of rage and ruin, growing louder every day. The incredible damage done by irresponsible and power hungry politicians bowing down to non-existent science will be increasingly difficult to ignore.

I do think there is a bad moon on the rise. And yes, I do think a lot of people will be in desperate search of a bathroom to flush this all away. Let’s hope they are smart enough to realize there really is “A Bathroom on the Right.” Heaven help us if they continue to take guidance from those who directed us into this mess.

TDM

GONE WITH THE WIND

GONE WITH THE WIND

Seldom in the history of American broadcasting have so many people been so blatantly wrong about such a material subject. The MSM, particularly CNN and MSNBC has been obsessed with the conspiracy theory that the Trump campaign colluded with Russia to influence the 2016 election. Numerous people, like James Clapper, came on the air and said this. Adam Schiff, Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee said this at every opportunity. Evelyn Farkas not only said that Russia collusion was real, she made the following appeal:

“I had a fear that somehow that information would disappear with the senior people who left so that it would be hidden away in the bureaucracy, that the Trump folks, if they found out how we knew what we knew..about the Trump staff dealing with Russians that they would try to compromise those sources and methods,” Farkas said during a March 2, 2017 interview on MSNBC. “That’s why you have the leaking. People are worried.”

Privately, under oath and under pressure from Trey Gowdy, Farkas admitted she never had any evidence of the Trump staff dealing with Russia. She also had no information connecting the Trump campaign to the hack of the DNC servers, but you didn’t know any of this, until now.

Now we learn that no one even had evidence of Russia hacking the DNC servers, including the folks at CrowdStrike. That’s right folks. That too was a big lie. They still don’t know who hacked the DNC servers.

Today more documents will be released proving this beyond any doubt. For the first time the American people can see the cold hard truth for themselves. If these clowns were capable of embarrassment, they would be humiliated. But they aren’t capable of feeling embarrassed. They aren’t capable of admitting error. They aren’t capable of admitting bias. Instead we can be sure they will try to find a way to blame this, on Donald Trump. Adam Schiff already tried to blame this on COVID 19.

It won’t work. Not this time. It won’t work because there are literally hours and hours and hours of news anchors lying on national television. Every day, every hour, every show, every person, got this wrong.

They got away with this because they were all in collusion. They got away with this, because Adam Schiff blocked release of crucial documents. They got away with this because senior members of the FBI blocked release of documents. They never dreamed they would be confronted with the actual documents. They were wrong.

The FBI had already turned over some documents to John Durham who sure looks to be on the path to indictments. Now the DNI has declassified the rest turned them over to the DOJ and released them to the press. No more unidentified sources. We can see what people actually said, in their own words.

There is already an entire team of people poring over these documents, line by line. They are probably having trouble controlling the giggles. They are not going to find evidence of a conspiracy by the Trump campaign to collude with Russia. That never happened so there was never any evidence of that. Instead they will find a conspiracy against the Trump campaign. A conspiracy that involved people at the highest level of government potentially including President Barack Obama. People who were working with Russia to influence the 2016 election.

They will find a mountain of evidence that the MSM was a willing partner in this conspiracy. Ready, willing and able to make the most serious possible accusations against a sitting U.S. President without a shred of evidence. Now we know it was much worse than that. They did have evidence, evidence that none of it was true.

What makes this worse is that they cannot refuse to cover this story. When the DOJ dropped the charges against Flynn, it forced full public disclosure. The damage has been done and it is not reversible. Even Trump haters will be furious. Furious that they were led to believe things that were so clearly untrue. Furious that they were given false hope. Furious that they defended the indefensible.

Look at your TV lineup tonight. Write down the names of the news anchors, the reporters, the producers, the panel members. Now seal that list in an envelope and look at it again on Labor Day. You will be shocked at how many people will be gone. Some will resign. Some will be fired. Some will retire. Some will be on assignment. But they will all be gone. They will be gone because no one and I do mean no one, will ever believe them again. Look now, because soon they will all be gone with the wind.

TDM

FLYNNTASTIC

The DOJ officially dropped the Michael J. Flynn case today. It is hard to imagine the judge refusing to just dismiss the case. What is more important is that the DOJ did this while disclosing documents shredding the decision to prosecute Flynn in the first place. Simultaneously the DNI told Adam Schiff to release documents he has been hiding for over two years or the DNI would release them. Schiff quickly folded.

The statement by the DOJ is astonishing:

https://apnews.com/ae1ad252bb13490db2ceffc5d17b6d92

“After a considered review of all the facts and circumstances of this case, including newly discovered and disclosed information” it has concluded that Flynn’s interview by the FBI was ‘untethered to, and unjustified by, the FBI’s counterintelligence investigation into Mr. Flynn’ and that interview was ‘conducted without any legitimate investigative basis.’”

This was the result of a recommendation by U.S. Attorney Jeff Jensen.

“Through the course of my review of General Flynn’s case, I concluded the proper and just course was to dismiss the case. I briefed Attorney General Barr on my findings, advised him on these conclusions, and he agreed.”

Brandon Van Grack abruptly withdrew from the prosecution team.

It is important to note that this report is from the AP, which is no friend of Donald Trump. That is why the following conclusion is an even bigger bombshell:

“Other documents show that the FBI had been prepared weeks before its interview of Flynn to drop its investigation into whether he was acting at the direction of Russia.”

Christopher Wray made no comment other than to acknowledge that the FBI had turned over documents to the Inspector General and to U.S. Attorney John Durham. Oh, he also reminded people that he was not Director of the FBI when this happened.

The MSM cannot ignore this story. There are already some liberals trying, and failing, to say this is abuse of power by the Trump DOJ. They question the independence of the Justice Department under William Barr. But the problem is the more this is investigated, the more reporting on this, the worse for Democrats. Even the MSM cannot report on this without also reporting on the actual documents and those documents are devastating.

John 8:32. “And ye shall know the truth and the truth shall set you free.”

TDM

THE HARD WRAY

Christopher Wray is the Director of the FBI. He has resisted giving interviews and releasing documents to congressional committees. Several conservative commentators have complained about this and questioned whether Wray is willing to take on corruption in the FBI. However, I noted that this criticism never came from William Barr or President Trump. So I went back and looked at what Wray actually said. He repeatedly said he would not comment on an ongoing investigation. He would then defend the integrity of the FBI.

Wray refused to release documents or allow interviews by congressional committees. That was interpreted as being part of a cover-up. There have been times when that tactic was used by unscrupulous people to avoid answering questions. They used the illusion of an investigation to perpetuate a cover-up. But there are also people who don’t comment on an ongoing investigation because they are not interested in making news they are interested in making arrests. It is now obvious that Christopher Wray has been cooperating with William Barr and John Durham. Perhaps it is because he is less interested in making the news and more interested in obtaining criminal convictions. Here is the actual FBI statement:

“With regard to certain documents in the Michael Flynn matter from the 2016-2017 time period that are now the subject of reporting by the press, the FBI previously produced those materials to the Inspector General and US Attorney Durham,”

“The Flynn investigation was initiated and conducted during this time period, under prior FBI leadership….Director Wray remains firmly committed to addressing the failures under prior FBI leadership while maintaining the foundational principles of rigor, objectivity, accountability, and ownership in fulfilling the Bureau’s mission to protect the American people and defend the Constitution.”

The fact that the FBI released this now is beyond significant. It is clearly designed to get those pesky congressional committees and the news reporters to back off. But it is also implies that Durham is poised to start indicting people. The FBI wouldn’t have released this statement without approval from both Barr and Durham. They would not have given such approval unless they already had all the evidence they need.

Many of you have wondered how some of this could have happened without anyone being held accountable. McCabe was fired, but everyone else seemed to get away with a slap on the wrist. But sometimes silent people are dangerous people. When they speak, people go to jail. We just may be dealing with that rare but important breed of prosecutors who could care less about what the public or anyone else thinks. They are focused only on building a case that will result in conviction.

Frankly, some of those conservative commentators should have known better. If the FBI had released these documents sooner, before the investigation was complete, they would have just given criminal defense attorneys a road map for defense. It is like the local prosecutor who knows a key piece of evidence crucial to a criminal conviction. The prosecutor also knows that the prime suspect does not know this evidence exists. All of us have watched a TV crime show where we have seen this in action. The detective is interviewing the suspect. The suspect does not know that the detective has the murder weapon with the suspect’s finger prints on it. So the suspect lies. If the suspect knew what evidence the detective had, an explanation would have been prepared. This is why any competent detective or prosecutor that is asked about a criminal investigation responds with: “no comment.” That is just the way it works. It is the way it should work.

It sure looks like a lot of former FBI employees who thought they were above the law about to learn this the Hard Wray. It just could be a beautiful thing.

TDM

GLOBAL WARNING

We are now testing far more people for COVID 19. Previously, one could only get tested if they had serious symptoms and considered to be high risk. Unless, of course, you were an anchor on CNN. Then it was easy to get a test. But for most people, getting a test was far from easy. Even under this scenario, 85 percent of people tested negative. Clearly there was a lot of illness not related to COVID 19 at all. Yet no one in the MSM seemed to notice or care.

Our testing capacity and capability has risen dramatically. Tests are being afforded to those who do not have any symptoms at all. Recently, at a meat packing plant, people were horrified to learn that 307 people tested positive for COVID 19. But, one critical detail was omitted in the report: NONE of these people had any symptoms. The point being that if you test more people and they turn up positive, but they aren’t sick that is a very good thing. People who get the disease and don’t get sick are exactly what scientists want to see. It means that an increasing number in our population were able to develop the antibodies to thwart the disease. The greater number of people that develop this immunity will limit the number of those who contract the disease. A proposal was floated suggesting that those who had developed had antibodies to be given “immunity cards” as basically a “get out of jail card.”

It is increasingly obvious that the death toll related to COVID 19 is deliberately overstated. There are numerous reports about this. Yet no one in the MSM is investigating this at all, because the MSM needs an inflated death toll. It is a component of psychological warfare:  FEAR – it is essential to retaining power over the people.

Every day we get two numbers, delivered with hushed breath. The number of new cases and the number of new deaths. Both are considered warnings that the pandemic is not over. The shutdown is working, social distancing is working. You must obey. But the reality is the exact opposite. If the lock-down and the social distancing really worked, we should have already seen the disease peak and decline. That, after all, was the whole point.

I believe the disease continued to spread and neither the lock-down nor the social distancing had much impact. Since there is no scientific study that shows the disease is spread airborne, social distancing was destined to failure. You get this by touching droplets, which can hang around for days if not weeks. The real danger does not come from going to church and listening to a minister, it comes from going to Walmart and touching things touched by someone else.

In the meantime, while the disease has been spreading, most of the people getting it are not sick. As mentioned previously, the death rate is grossly exaggerated. But even at that, the most incredible thing about COVID 19 is the lack of morbidity. No one should want this disease and if you have underlying health conditions you should take precautions. But for the vast majority of people this disease is a big nothing. This is like the guy running away from a chihuahua who forgets to look both ways and gets run over by a truck. We may have just run away from a disease that was not that much of a threat and put our entire economy and way of life at risk. I easily predict that far more people will die unnecessarily because of the shutdown of our economy that could possibly have been saved from COVID 19.

Marin County, located in the San Francisco Bay Area, just north of the Golden Gate Bridge has been shut down since March 17th. Marin County has a population of about 230,000. As of today, there does not appear to be a single person in a hospital in Marin County because of COVID 19. But the beat goes on. Only now are they starting to relax the shelter in place orders a little.

https://coronavirus.marinhhs.org/executive-summary-may-4-2020-shelter-order

Marin County has a lot of very wealthy residents. It is too bad that in a lot of cases this wealth did not result in an increase in common sense. These new restrictions are absurd. For example, any place open for business must now require face masks of everyone (except for very-young children). Day care facilities can now open, but only for clients who work in essential or outdoor businesses and strictly limited to 12 or fewer children.

This is the plan for your life should you decide to accept it. Arrogant people will make stupid decisions demanding we all listen to what they consider to be the science while ignoring the existing science. Be warned. If this works, you are going to see similar and even more restrictions on everything designed to protect us against Global warming (Climate Change). If they can scare you into destroying our economy because of a virus with a morbidity rate of about .1%, then anything is possible when fighting the global warming that threatens global human existence. Just like with COVID 19, any science that disagrees with that parroted by the cultured elite will be blocked and ignored. Consider this your global warning. If we do not learn from this, we are doomed, not because of climate change but because of a total loss of fundamental freedoms.

TDM

OTHER PEOPLE’S MONEY

We are within days, not weeks, of entering a whole new phase of the COVID 19 crisis. This is when the geniuses in charge of our government realize they are running out of other people’s money.

Margaret Thatcher:

“The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people’s money.”

When I was stationed in Vietnam I quickly learned the significant difference between two words: “outgoing” and “incoming.” Outgoing meant our own artillery was firing at targets. That was very loud, but not a threat to us. Incoming meant we were being attacked and I needed to take cover.

Shortly before the end of my last tour I was at Da Nang AB when I heard a rocket go overhead. So I yelled “incoming” and immediately dropped down into the nearest pot hole bunker. This was why those bunkers were there. I was walking with an airman who had only been in country about three days. I was his flight instructor. As I was lying down in the bunker, he was just standing there staring at me. Just as I told him that “incoming” meant we were under attack, a rocket hit about a ¼ mile away. It was not close enough to cause either of us harm, but it was close enough to permanently change his perspective on things. No one had to explain what “incoming” meant again.

There is another important term to understand. That is “financial death spiral.” I was responsible for purchasing the insurance for a major corporation. I soon discovered that they had a health care plan that was literally in a financial death spiral. What happened was that this program offered top of the line protection. It was a great plan, but it was much more expensive than the other health care plans. Someone had decided that the solution was to raise premiums for employees who signed up with this plan. Employees, who chose other, less expensive plans, would pay much less. It probably sounded like a good idea at the time. But it resulted in adverse selection. The more rates increased on this plan, the fewer number of healthy employees who were willing to pay for it. The result was an unsustainable loss ratio. Increasing rates would only make things worse, because it would increase adverse selection. It was in an irreversible financial death spiral.

State governments who ordered strict shelter in place directives have put their own economies into a financial death spiral. But, like that airman in Vietnam, they didn’t even recognize the danger. The longer this lasts, the worse it gets. They have drastically cut their own income while simultaneously increasing expenses. That has never worked. If they increase tax rates they will get even less actual tax revenue because the economy cannot absorb more taxes. The only possible solution is to cut expenses quickly and dramatically. They will eventually do exactly that, but only as a last resort after begging the federal government to fund their own financial mismanagement. Sooner, rather than later, these governments will have to start laying people off. These will be people who thought they were essential. People who thought working for the government meant job security.

Governor Newsom is already asking to borrow money from the Federal Government to pay unemployment claims. How does he intend to pay that back? He is already hinting at drastic budget cuts. Few in the MSM realize what this really means.

Some governors are focused only on the need to be safe and open the economy slowly and responsibly. Whether they realize it, or not, they are instead blundering into a far more dangerous situation. The economic impact of this shutdown is going to be far more deadly than COVID-19 and that will soon become impossible to ignore. If you think people are angry now because Governor Newsom won’t let them go to the beach, wait until they realize the economic damage being done to the golden state.

Some predictions are easier than others. I predict that sooner, rather than later, there is going to be ten times the reporting on the economic disaster than there will be about COVID-19. It won’t be long before the COVID-19 death toll is the least of our worries. That is particularly true when it becomes obvious that the number is deliberately over inflated. Every restriction put in place to “safely reopen the state” greatly increases the danger of financial meltdown. But, it is already too late. This economic storm is on the way and nothing is going to slow it down. The more a state is governed by a socialist mentality, the more the severe the economic destruction. Margaret Thatcher warned us. Eventually you run out of other people’s money. When you stupidly order people to go home and stop working that happens sooner rather than later.

TDM.

SCIENCE BY GOD

When I was in high school all my classes were in a special honors unit. The students in this group were very bright. One day, one of them told me I was too smart to believe in God. He meant it. He could not have been more wrong.

I have had the privilege of meeting some truly brilliant people. Some of them are world renown scientists. They also happened to be devout Christians. They are far smarter than the self-righteous arrogant fools who consider themselves to be the only ones who understand science. I have learned that the opposite is often true. Many of the true scientists are so stunned by the majesty of creation and the order of the universe that they cannot avoid recognizing the handiwork of the Creator.

That does not mean they all go to the same church or practice the same religion. But it does mean they understand something important. Everything (and I do mean everything) is all wonderfully complex yet dynamic at the same time. Every human on this planet has similar DNA, yet every person’s DNA has unique characteristics that allows scientists to look at a sample of DNA and determine it could only belong to one and only one person on this planet. There are many criminals in prison and worse because their DNA proved their guilt.

But, incredibly some of the same people who believe in DNA, also believe that there was no Creator and this is all the result of a series of mathematically impossible miracles occurring repeatedly over millennium resulting in the world we see today. Since these people do not believe in God, they have replaced God with their version of science. The result is they often delude themselves into believing things that are clearly not true.

We, as mere humans, cannot possibly understand or define God. God, on the other hand, does understand and define us. There is an old saying that the fear of God is the beginning of wisdom. It was not talking about mass hysteria generated by a hell and brimstone preacher. It was talking about the day one realizes how exceedingly small we are indeed compared to the Creator.

Liberals are about to learn a hard lesson. In their arrogant self-righteous reliance on a false God they have often only self-identified as fools. No matter how arrogantly they state their beliefs it eventually becomes obvious that they were wrong. But it is extremely rare that they will even recognize this and even rarer that they will admit it.

We often see arrogant fools, elevated to positions they do not deserve in the MSM, ridicule others for believing in God. God, they point out, will not kill a virus. Science will do that. They literally laugh at a Vice President because he is a devote Christian. They worship at the feet of people who have made predictions that in retrospect were absurd. We must listen to the scientists, only the scientists they warn us scornfully. Incredibly they do this while often ignoring the true science going on under their nose.

Let me be blunt. God created the world where this virus was possible, and He created the world where the cure already exists. If man did nothing, this virus like every other pandemic would eventually self-destruct. This sometimes happened only after thousands if not millions of people died, but it always happened. The solution now is to find the cure that already exists and use God’s own miracle to defeat this. There will be a cure. It will not be a man-made element.

For example, Remdesivir uses a nucleotide analog that contains a nucleic acid analog combined with a sugar and a phosphate group. The theory is that this prevents viral duplication in infected cells. This is truly brilliant and the people who develop these drugs are to be praised, but this is recognizing the reality of the world, not creating it. In addition, science learns that resistance can develop quickly. That is why many of these wonder drugs are soon replaced by other wonder drugs when the virus mutates in response. I do not pretend to be smart enough to understand how this works and I certainly am not capable of developing something like this. I just recognize the difference between the Creator and the created. Remdesivir only exists because scientists recognized DNA and responded to what they learned.

We should be cautious regarding advice from those who have been so wrong. Following is a link to an article about how COVID 19 really spreads: It is from that right-wing rag the Washington Post:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/29/studies-leave-question-airborne-coronavirus-transmission-unanswered/

“Airborne spread has not been reported for COVID 19 and it is not believed to be a major driver of transmission based on available evidence.”

This was from a WHO report published in FEBRUARY.

Here is what scientists are reporting as of today:

A growing number of studies, including one published this week in the journal Nature, have found evidence that the coronavirus can remain suspended in the air in aerosol particles. That raises anew the question of whether and to what extent the virus can be transmitted as an aerosol — although the evidence is far from conclusive and no such infections have been documented.

The consensus so far is that the virus, although very contagious, spreads through respiratory droplets generated when people breathe, speak or cough and doesn’t infect people through particles that can linger in the air for hours, in the way that measles and some other viral diseases can.

If this is true, and it appears to be true, then none of this shutdown or social distances ever made any sense. It certainly does not support requiring everyone to wear masks. Clean surfaces, yes. Wash your hands, yes. Stay home if you are sick yes. Shut down the world economy, not so much.

This is why we were told face masks did not matter. Then we were told doctors and nurses desperately needed them. Now we are told that we all need to wear face masks, but they don’t necessarily have to actually work. Why would we listen to such idiotic and conflicting advice?  We are told it is safe to go to a liquor store or a marijuana distributorship but not a restaurant. Why? Who studied this? We were told it is OK to go to Costco and the grocery story, but not church. You can get an abortion but not a root canal. Seriously? We can’t even consider going to an outdoor festival or a sporting event. All of this based on science, for which there is no actual scientific evidence.

People are dying because they are not getting the treatment needed for the numerous things other than COVID 19 that can kill you. Hospital COVID 19 wards are jammed full while the rest of the hospital is empty. The most vulnerable people of all, those in nursing homes, who get sick are sent back to the most dangerous possible environment. Once again, all in the name of science.

Penicillin saved possibly millions of lives during World War II. God, not man, created penicillin. A scientist discovered it and discovered what it could do. That is the way it always works. The more we know about how God designed things the better we can deal with problems. The more we ignore God and pretend we are God the higher price we pay for stupidity.

TDM

 

 

 

EXODUS

Governor Gavin Newsom has set up an unwinnable battle against the religious community in California. He has announced that the state will open, within weeks, for school. He thought maybe by July. But he said it will take months before he will let churches reopen. There is zero chance they will put up with this.

The U.S. Constitution is crystal clear: Freedom of religion is guaranteed. While the State does have the ability, temporarily, in the event of an emergency to shut things down, the decision must be justified by facts.  Irrational fear of spreading a virus without decisive facts to support a conclusion is not enough. We can guarantee that some mega churches who have tremendous assets are going to take this on. They will have a strong and compelling case.

Regardless of what you believe about the risk, the government is compelled to do its due diligence in gathering facts and evidence. It is easy to understand why so many people are legitimately scared. They are listening to the MSM which constantly tries to elevate the panic. [For a moment, stand back, and listen for the degree of anxiety, volume, pitch, and inflection in the delivery voice. It’s not what they say, it’s how they say it.]  The masses are also listening to scientifically trained people like Dr. Fauci who says this will come back and it will be bad.  Truly, that message is genuinely scary, but when this is challenged in court, which is going to happen almost immediately, for the first time we will get an open discussion of facts and evidence. It will be a far cry from the one-sided mass hysteria reported by the MSM.

Remember that it is the government who must present a compelling case for what it has done. It does not have such a case. There has been no scientific study, anywhere, by anyone that shows that attending church is more dangerous than going to the supermarket or Walmart. The only distinction so far is that Governor Newsom considers Walmart to be essential and he does not consider church to be necessary at all. A lot of people are going to challenge him regarding that.

There have been a couple of churches were several people who attended became COVID 19 positive. But that is not proof they got it from attending church. It certainly does not prove that the same level of risk exists today. A lot of people assumed they got this in church, but assumptions are not evidence.

The self-righteous arrogant talking heads like Dr. Fauci, who are demanding that science govern all decisions, have zero science to support this decision. Just today Fauci is talking about one drug, which he says is potentially working well. But he warns us that we need clinical studies to be sure. We must have two groups of people in a long-term double-blind study that is evaluated by experts before science can approve anything. That sounds great, until you realize that no such study was done before Governor Newsom ordered churches to stay shuttered. It is quite simple, if no one can go to church, it is impossible to determine whether going to church represents any hazard at all. This is all pure speculation based solely on personal preference and arrogance.

Additionally, there are several highly qualified doctors who say the harm of shutting down the economy is doing more harm than good. There will be more, and their voices will become louder. Remember that in a court of law, it is the state that must prove its case and it cannot possibly achieve the goal – today.

There is also a distinct possibility that the state is making these decisions based on information that has been totally discredited. In the beginning awareness of the Covid-19 outbreak, the computer models predicted deaths of 2.4 million, in the U.S. alone. Today, we see that frightening number has not borne true. Few, if any of the predictions made by people like Dr. Fauci have proven to be accurate. Some might say it is better to over-promise and under-deliver rather than the opposite. But the media churn is not embracing the radically reduced numbers in favor of re-opening our economy.  What-if / worst case scenarios do not work well in the public sector for rational discussion and how to prepare or deal with it as seen in hoarding what is seen as fear of loss. At least some other places have done none of this and while the results are arguably worse than here, they are hardly catastrophic. In places like Sweden they may have steepened and shortened the curve, making it safer sooner for everyone. Flattening the curve is great, if it saves lives, but what if it prolongs the damage.

Don’t be surprised by some people who will quickly support churches. Smart businessmen will do that because people who go to church buy things too. We can be sure that these churches will have zero problem finding some of the most brilliant constitutional scholars in this country to make the case. The lawyer who tries and wins this case will be set for life.

Other organizations that need to draw crowds also have a vested interest in this. I wonder if those Hollywood elites consider, just a little, that if this continues, they will be highly impacted. If it is unsafe to go to church, it is unsafe to go to the movies, to attend a baseball game, a soccer game, a football game, a hockey game, a concert, a country fair or any place else where there are a lot of people. Churches are not the only ones who will become increasingly furious about this.

I believe we are on the verge of another Exodus. This one will be led by people, like Moses, who led the Children of Israel out of Egypt. It will start with a couple of business owners, like restaurants, who just defy authorities and re-open. In at least some locations the local police or sheriff departments will want no part arresting these people and ordering them to shut their doors. Oh, some police will do that, but wiser heads will want no part of that. First it will be one. Then, when people realize they are not being punished, others will join. Unless the local government is ready, willing and ABLE to stop this, it will soon become an irresistible force. No country, even a dictatorship with a powerful military, can survive if a significant percentage of the population refuses to comply with orders. In a dictatorship they can send in the military and start shooting people. That works, for at least a while, but the Berlin Wall taught us it doesn’t work forever. That type of tactic is not available in the U.S.  Even our Department of Justice under William Barr would step in to stop this. That means they can only force us to comply if we are willing to believe and comply.

Exodus is on the way and it will overwhelm anyone or anything in its path.

TDM

PULLING THE PLUG

There was no Presidential briefing on the coronavirus Saturday or Sunday. The White House used to offer a daily briefing by Sarah Huckabee Sanders. The press was rude and obstructive. They routinely took everything she said out of context and called her a liar. Sound familiar? One day there was no White House daily briefing at all. They never came back.

The Trump briefings are drawing huge ratings. Not because of Jim Acosta or Jonathan Karl, but people would rather tune in to see Donald Trump. Last Friday, CNN reporter Kaitlan Collins was scheduled to be in the front row at the daily briefing. Trump, obviously sick and tired of CNN reporters interrupting him from the front of the room tried to get her to switch places with another reporter. She arrogantly said no. Reporters’ seats are assigned in advance through the White House Correspondents Associations (“WHCA”) who ALWAYS gives front row assignments to major networks like CNN. Would it surprise you to know that Jonathan Karl is the president of the WHCA? The WHCA believes they and they alone determine who gets to ask the President questions. Trump cut the briefing short after 22 minutes and refused to take any questions from anyone.

The WHCA needs the President, but he does not need them. Have we forgotten when there was a time when the only way to quickly deliver information to the American people was through the mainstream media (MSM), including newspapers like the New York Times (“NYT”) and the Washington Post (“WP”); and prime time networks like ABC, CBS, NBC and at one time CNN? Those days are lost to history.

In 1976, 72% of people trusted the MSM. But, by 1999 it had dropped to 55%; and further still to a mere 32% in 2016. Only in 2019 did it rebound to 41%. But who (i.e. source) you trust is far more partisan than it was in 1976. While 69% of Democrats still trust the mainstream media, only 15% of Republicans and 36% of independents trust it. The low trust level of Republicans is due, in part, to their attentiveness to perceive bias, inaccuracy and misinformation in newspapers, on television and on radio.

Democrats assume that Republicans ignore the bias on Fox News and believe everything without any fact checking. The opposite is clearly true. It is Democrats who refuse to see bias, inaccuracy and misinformation. The more the MSM slams Donald Trump, the more Democrats believe them, hook line, and sinker. Democrats trust everything reported by six national news sources, but they don’t trust Fox News. Republicans don’t trust those same news sources at all and while they trust Fox News more than the others, they are skeptical about all news organizations.

I thought Trump might just cancel the press briefings. But that would have given the WHCA an undeserved victory. Instead, Trump held a press conference yesterday, in the Rose Garden. He also had a press conference today, in the Oval Office. In the Rose Garden the front row was filled with honored guests. The WHCA reporters, as a result, were a long distance away from the President. Social distancing at its best. In the Oval office, there is only room for a couple of reporters and cameras. Most of the WHCA watched this remotely on television. Trump has obviously figured out a communication risk mitigation strategy by changing the audience. The WHCA needs the White House briefing room but Trump does not. The WHCA must report it whenever the President speaks, not from where it is delivered. Trump just made it much more difficult for them to be rude and disruptive. The usual suspects will still try (some things never change) but Trump is clearly in control of the narrative.

The WHCA has been given a vital lesson regarding who is actually in-charge of things and who is not. Truly an adjustment to their perception lens. The WHCA failed to recognize their access to the briefing room, and the President, is a privilege not a right.  While the WHCA can make rules about seating arrangements in the briefing room, but they cannot force the only person who matters, President Donald J. Trump, to attend. The WHCA has two choices here. They can reach out to the Trump administration and work with him for a more neutral environment, or they can spend more time practicing the fine art  of social distancing in the Rose Garden. It’s a beautiful thing.

TDM

ENOUGH

It is increasingly clear that American is divided into two groups incapable of agreeing with each other. Sadly, this has evolved to the point where it literally involves life or death decisions. On one side we have liberals and the Democratic Party with almost universal support from the mainstream media (MSM). On the other side are Independents and Conservatives increasingly dismayed by the reporting in the MSM. Under circumstances like this, truth has become totally relative. Never more so than regarding two subjects, global warming (climate change) and the COVID 19 crisis.

Democrats and liberals have been telling us for years that we are in mortal danger because of climate change caused by rising CO2 levels. There have been numerous predictions of imminent doom if prompt action is not taken immediately, like getting rid of all fossil fuels and converting solely to “renewable energy.” We are told that the earth is warming rapidly, and we are running out of time. The MSM constantly runs reports saying that this was the hottest day in history, the hottest year etc. Those who do any research from sources other than the MSM are immediately skeptical. None of these predictions have been close to true. The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) even admitted that there was no significant global warming between around 1990 and at least 2014. They referred to it as the “pause” which was their explanation for why none of their predictions came true. It was their own data that caused them to change from “global warming” to “climate change” because global warming was obviously not actually happening.

How many stories have you heard about the Arctic melting? That Glacier National Park will soon have no glaciers. (The glaciers are still there; they have just removed the signs warning that they may disappear). A little research would show that the Arctic is famous for periods of very cold and extremely cold weather. This is primarily based on well known natural factors like the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). You can read this for yourself. The following article from Wikipedia is one of many:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Atlantic_oscillation

But if you only watch the MSM you wouldn’t even know the NAO exists although real scientists have been studying it since the late 19th and 20th centuries.

If the recommendations from the liberal left regarding climate change were enacted, it would destroy the world’s economy. Many people would literally freeze to death because renewable energy is not remotely capable of providing the electricity we need. But that doesn’t stop them from referring to anyone who disagrees with them as uneducated naïve fools.

We now have COVID 19. The geniuses at the CDC told us that we could lose 2.6 million lives. That was more than enough to scare everyone into submission. But was that ever a realistic prediction? Probably not, because right now, COVID 19 which has spread all over the world has infected about 2.8 million people with 197,871 deaths. Somewhere between 40 and 50% of deaths in Europe and the United States are directly associated with nursing homes. It is very clear that we did need to protect people in nursing homes. If is far less clear that we needed to shut down the economy.

But no, the experts demanded we shut down the economy. That we literally order everyone to stay home. That we ban church services, sporting events and more importantly, protests. Restaurants and other businesses considered non-essential were ordered to be shut down. Essential businesses, like Planned Parenthood clinics, tattoo parlors, marijuana distributors and liquor stores were granted exceptions.

The results have been horrific. More than 30 million Americans are out of work. Many of them are going to stay unemployed for a long time. Some small businesses will never re-open. This will result in a devastating loss of tax revenues for every level of government. The Federal Government is spending trillions of dollars on poorly designed stimulus packages with dollars they don’t actually have. Does any sane person think this will work? Where is the money coming from if we don’t have anything left to tax?

Incredibly even the portion of this aimed at helping the small businesses that were destroyed by government orders was held up to provide more money for Democratic donors and in the case of California, illegal immigrants.

Now, it is increasingly obvious that all of this was based on massively false predictions based on highly suspect computer models. These computer models are, gasp, produced by the same people who made all those global warming predictions that never happened. But we all believed. We bought it. We believed that if we went to church, or the movies, or a restaurant, or a ball game that we were risking death from a deadly peril. We now know that this is not and was never true. The more data that comes in the more obvious that all the experts were wrong. We now know that millions of people in New York already had the virus, they just didn’t know it. That is because in many cases, up to 50%, they didn’t have any symptoms at all. We should have known better. We should have learned from the cruise ships crowded with people, many of them over 60.

Take the Diamond Princess. This has a crew of about 1,200 people and passenger capacity between 2,600 and 3,114. It was famously infected with COVID 19 and several countries would not let it off load passengers. Everyone on that ship was tested. 712 people tested positive and 46.5% of them had no symptoms at all. Between the Diamond Princess and the Grand Princess, 10 people died. Why on earth would anyone expect much worse results if COVID 19 infects a population the size of the United States? What would be scientific about that?

Well it isn’t much different. The fatality rate is now estimated at .1%. About half of the people who get it have no symptoms and 85% of the people who get it do not need to be hospitalized. The most obvious exception is for people in a nursing home. Everyone should have focused on protecting nursing homes. Instead in place like New York, patients who tested positive for COVID 19 and started to recover were sent back to nursing homes.

Instead of recognizing the obvious, the scientific geniuses in charge decided that everyone should just stay home, we should shut down the small businesses that are the economic engine of our economy and all hunker down in fear. Even now, when it is clear the crisis has passed the peak, when the weather is warming up rapidly and the virus is almost certain to fade away, for at least a while, we are told to continue this for weeks if not months. Fear, raw fear of that which has not happened, and which will not happen must dominate EVERY decision. If we do not obey, we are literally killing people. If you dare protest, people like the Governor of Michigan will extend the lockdown even farther, to punish you.

Yet, liberals still believe. They literally scream hatred at anyone who dares question the logic. Like that renown scientist, Gretta Thunberg, they scream how dare you? The MSM responds with thunderous applause. As if what they are telling you is written on tablets of stone by the God in which they don’t believe.

The question is whether the rest of us are still buying this. How much evidence, exactly, do we need before we are the ones demanding action. Starting with holding the people who made these idiot decisions responsible. Make sure they no longer have power over us to destroy our lives without regard to facts or logic. Fight back or we literally will die. We will die from the disease and death that always rides along on the back of massive poverty. The kind of horror that is going on in places like Venezuela.

We should be afraid, very afraid. Afraid of accepting advice from people who are so arrogantly self-righteous while being totally incapable of even considering the possibility that they are wrong.

TDM