SIGNS OF RECOVERY

As of today, the U.S. shows 135,957 cases, 2,391 deaths and 4,378 recovered. In addition, there are 2,948 people considered to be in serious or critical condition because of COVID 19. The number of recoveries is highly misleading. Once a person who has tested for the disease stops having symptom, they are quarantined for 14 days. Then, in order to be considered recovered, they must be tested twice and with negative results. Yet how many of them are even tested?

In order to get tested in the U.S., you must be a health care worker, a first responder or someone either at risk because of age and health or you must be seriously ill. Anyone else asking to be tested will be told to suck it up and go home for 14 days. If you recovered, you won’t be tested, because you have passed the quarantine period anyway.

Results show that 85% of people being tested do not have the disease. This means we have probably tested close to one million people by now. But odds are few of those tests are being given to people who appear to be recovered. That is why the recovery rate is ridiculous low.

Two things will change explosively next week. Numerous doctors ignored the advice of medical experts like the Democratic governors of Michigan and Nevada and have been prescribing Hydroxychloroquine. I have seen no reports where anyone was injured by this drug. I have seen numerous reports that it is working wonders. Two doctors in New York have prescribed this to over 800 patients. None have died, none have been incubated and only two have been hospitalized. Dr. Didier Raoul, a French doctor, was the first to report success. His initial results were downplayed as being from too small a sample to consider. He has since released an even larger study with similar results. All over the world, other than in Michigan and Nevada, doctors are prescribing this.

Clearly the pharmaceutical industry believes. At least seven different pharmaceutical companies are mass producing this and there may be up to 250 million doses available by mid-April. They are only doing this for one reason, they believe it works.

There are still a lot of doctors practicing medicine in Missouri and demanding show me results. The problem is that if we follow their advice we will know if this works just about in time for next spring. We obviously cannot wait that long. The people who are currently ill or who are exposed to the virus absolutely cannot wait that long. They won’t have to. The results are going to become obvious starting next week.

New tests have been developed that change everything. Previously it took up to two days to get a result. Now it takes about 15 minutes and a positive result is received in five minutes.  Hundreds of thousands of those test kits are on the way. We are already seeing massive testing and by next weeks this will skyrocket.

Now combine the two. People treated with hydroxychloroquine are not only getting better, they are getting better FAST. Some report that after six days they are testing negative.  Thanks to the new test, we will soon have evidence of that. That means many of those patients who started getting the drug this week will start testing negative next week. If that happens, watch the “recovered” statistic to skyrocket. When the number of recoveries starts to exceed the number of new cases, the end is near. Most people think Trump is insane to talk about starting to re-open the country on Easter Sunday. But, if we start seeing a ton of recoveries, that just may happen.

I predict that by the 4th of July, this pandemic will be discussed in historical terms. People will be far more concerned about getting the economy moving again.

I believe there will be wide-spread use of hydroxychloroquine, much more testing, and much more selective isolation of people with the disease. This will create a perfect storm of medicine and science that will blow COVID 19 out of existence.

It will, of course, take the MSM much longer to notice. Democrats like Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer will never figure this out. It will take even longer for some people to grudgingly admit that Trump was right about this. But you will know. Your neighbor will know and soon the whole world will know the truth.

You won’t have to wait much longer. Now you are inundated with only bad statistics. The number of new cases and the number of deaths. This looks like it is bad and getting worse. But all the numbers you see are based on things that happened three weeks ago. Nothing you see is based on things that happened last week. Either the entire world is insane and shut down their economies in a failed attempt to delay the inevitable, or they are right, and at least some of this worked. In addition, all the horrible predictions are based on no treatment, no cure and no vaccine. The vaccine will take months, but the cure may already be here. If it is not here now, they are testing at least 70 other drugs and one of them will work. Now is the time to consider selling that excess toilet paper and start preparing for a brighter future.  Easter Sunday, maybe, 4th of July, you bet!

TDM

A WORD TO THE WHYS

It is increasingly clear that a lot of supposedly bright people are making major decisions based on highly questionable data. One of the problems is that no one really trusts the data from China where this all started. The Chinese government is telling us what they want us to know. There are reports of people who are ill, who appear to have the virus, who are not tested and are not being admitted to the hospital. That would explain why China is reporting no new cases. If you don’t test anyone, no one tests positive. Most people, not working for CNN, understand this.

Another is that the tests used in China are highly suspect. For example the free tests sent from China to Europe weren’t actually free and the error rate may approach 80%. It is important to note that the U.S. would not accept tests from any other country because they questioned the validity of the tests. The U.S. tests are verified, so the most accurate information we have now is from right here.

Finally, the U.S. health care system is the best in the world and that is becoming increasingly obvious.

Perhaps the best real data we had is from the Diamond Princess Cruise ship where everyone was tested. There were 3,711 passengers and crew on board and 542 people tested positive. That is about 14.5%. Nearly half of them had no symptoms. So far, there is no place in the world where the spread seems to be higher than this.

The U.S. is reporting more cases than anyone else, because we are testing more than anyone else, but it is still about .03% of our population. New York is reporting 55,000 cases. There are about 8.5 million people in New York, so that is about .65%, significantly higher than the rest of the country, but lower than the rest of the world.

The number of cases in New York may skyrocket, but they may level off. Even New York Governor Cuomo hinted at that. One thing is certain, New York is a lot more crowded than the rest of the country. The rest of us travel in private passenger cars, not subways and taxi cabs. It is stupid to predict that the rest of the country will experience the same results as New York.

Yet some are predicting exactly that. California Gov. Gavin Newsom predicts that 50% of people in California will get the virus. That appears to be based on a study done in the UK which predicted 2 million deaths. The author who did that study recently admitted his prediction model was off and lowered his estimate to 20,000 deaths.

Trump has more information that you, me or anyone in the media. This includes the very best experts in the world. He clearly thinks this is about to peak and things will rapidly improve. He also knows the truth about hydroxychloroquine. There are numerous reports that its works. I have seen no reports that it is hurting anyone. The couple in Arizona who drank fish tank cleaner has nothing to do with the actual drug hydroxychloroquine. Trump said today there were 10,000 doses of it being administered.  That means this drug is being tested, results are starting to come in already and next week they will flood in. If Trump was getting any hint of a problem he would have started walking this back. He isn’t doing that, if anything he is doubling down.

If this, or any other drug, starts curing the disease within a few days instead of weeks that will change everything overnight. We will soon know. The only thing certain right now is that Trump is acting more optimistic and his critics are backing down.

One side note. It is clear that Democrats know Joe Biden is in serious trouble and has zero chance of defeating Trump. But, they may still want him on the ticket; because they know Trump is going to win regardless of his opponent. They don’t want to throw good money after bad or a good candidate in an effort destined for failure. They would rather have Biden get hosed and then they could blame everything on him. When defeat is inevitable, people start looking around for the best candidate to throw under the bus. Joe Biden appears to fit all the criteria for that honor.

This reminds me of Winston Churchill’s speech after the defeat of Rommel at El Alamein:

“Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.”

I think we are at that point with regard to coronavirus. It is not over yet, but we have come a long way from where we started.

TDM

GOING TO DICKENS

From a Tale of Two Cities:

“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way.”

Dickens was writing about 1775, but he could have been writing about today. While most people are somewhat familiar with the revolutionary war, from the U.S. perspective, many are unaware of the impact on Great Britain. It was very expensive to build all those ships and fight a war 3,000 miles away. This put a tremendous strain on Great Britain and crime became a serious problem because all the “enforcers” were on the other side of the world. France, on the other hand, was run by an arrogant monarchy that supported the U.S. revolution probably because France was willing to do almost anything to hurt Great Britain. After the war, Great Britain had serious financial problems and had to raise taxes to astronomical levels. It took years to recover. France experienced the French revolution, inspired by the American Revolution. The French revolution lasted from 1789 to 1799. The monarchy was overthrown, but the result was violence and political turmoil that finally resulted in the dictatorship under Napoleon.

Great Britain turned to William Pitt, who became the youngest Prime Minister of Great Britain in 1783 when he was only 24 years old. Many people give Pitt credit for providing the leadership that allowed Great Britain to pass from the old order to the new order without violent upheaval. France turned to the mob and ended up with Napoleon who looked good in comparison.

The point is that times like this expose people with real leadership skill and it also exposes leaders who are totally incompetent.

I thought it would be difficult to nominate someone for the position of idiot in chief, but the Governor of Nevada rose to the occasion. He issued an emergency order banning doctors from using hydroxychloroquine or any other malaria drug on a coronavirus patient. He did this for two reasons. One is that Trump said this drug has promise, so the Governor is sure that Trump was lying. The other is that a couple decided to self-medicate using Koi Pond cleaner because it lists an ingredient that kinda sorta looks like hydroxychloroquine. It was actually chloroquine phosphate, which promptly killed the husband.

Sadly, fish tank cleaner containing chloroquine phosphate skyrocketed in demand and the price for a bottle of this stuff increased from $10 to over $400 in some cases, even though manufacturers warned against ingesting this stuff.

The governor either did not realize this is not the same drug, or he hates Trump too much to care. In either case he just ordered doctors not to use a drug that is having miraculous results all over the world. It is hard to imagine anyone doing something dumber than this, but there are democrats definitely in the running.

The Mayor of Los Angeles, Eric Garcettil said that the city’s neighbor prosecutors will be scouring the city for “nonessential” business that are still operating and he threatened to cut off their utilities like power and water.

Then Ralph (Blackface” Northam, Governor of Virginia, issued an executive order making it a criminal offense to hold a church service attended by more than 10 people. Actually he banded all public and private in person meetings of 10 or more individuals. There are some families larger than that. While the executive order did not specifically mention church services, the Q & A sent out makes the intent clear.

  1. What about religious services? Can I still go to my church, synagogue or mosque?
  2. Virginians are strongly encouraged to seek alternative means of attending religious services, such as virtually or via “drive-through” worship.

In the meantime Trump has told people about hydroxychloroquine and is working with medical experts to make this available while also conducting clinical trials. There are reports from all over the world, including the U.S., that this is working wonders. I know of no reports of anyone seriously injured by the drug.

Trump is talking about getting the country back to work, sooner rather than later. Governors Cuomo and Newsom are saying this will take months. When Trump says we need to make sure the cure does not do more damage than the disease, most people understand. However, leading Democrats in position of leadership are having difficulty grasping the concept. Here is what Joe Biden had to say:

“We have to take care of the cure. That will make the problem worse no matter what,” he said. “No matter what. We know what has to be done.”

It is the best of times and it is the worst of time. This will bring out the best in some people and the worst in others. The good news is that the American people are catching on and the worst offenders are self-identifying. Ultimately the coronavirus may change a lot of things for the good. It is just too bad that like most important life lessons, this type of learning is often very painful. Dickens tried to warn us.

TDM

WHO’S THE DUMMY?

CNN is gloating over a story where Dr. Fauci appears to slam Trump during a phone conversation, clearly intended to be off the record. Naturally the Washington Post quickly ran with the story. This story is only evidence of the lack of responsibility by the main stream media. Even if this was an accurate assessment of the relationship between Fauci and Trump, which it isn’t, what would be the point? How, exactly, does the country gain by not trusting the President of the United States? But it is worse than that. Trump is the one talking common sense and Fauci is too arrogant to consider the possibility that Trump is right about this.

The following story from the Gateway Pundit gives a first-hand account on how hydroxychloroquine worked for one guy:

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/coronavirus-victim-52-said-he-expected-to-die-instead-he-says-hydroxychloroquine-saved-his-life/

He was near death. His doctors didn’t even tell him about hydroxychloroquine and when he told them about it his doctor: “gave me all the reasons why I probably would probably not want to try it because there’s no testing, it was not something that was approved.” When the patient insisted, the doctor reluctantly authorized used of it.

Here is how the patient describes the results:

”An hour after an IV with the medicine, he says his heart felt like it was beating out of his chest. “They had to come in and get me calmed down and take care of me. I had another episode about two hours later where I just got to the point where I couldn’t breathe and my heart was pounding again so they gave me some Benadryl through the system and something else. I’m not sure what it was. It allowed me to go to sleep and when I woke up at exactly 4:45 in the morning, I woke up like nothing ever happened.”

He now reports that he feels fine, he has no fever, he has no pain and he can breathe again.

Dr. Fauci plans clinical trials. It is important to understand what that means. He plans on testing 45 people for 28 days. They will follow up with them for a year. After this year, the clinical trial results will be published. If the clinical trial results are great, then Dr. Fauci would feel safe in saying we should “try” using this drug. The million or so people who die in the meantime can rest comfortably knowing their contribution to science is secure.

Fauci admits there are reports that this is working well: Many things you hear out there are what I call anecdotal reports. They may be true, but they’re anecdotal… If you really want to definitively know if something works, you have to do the kind of trial that you get the good information with.”

He is willing to risk a year of horrible results, to avoid making a mistake. That would be understandable if this was a new drug and we didn’t know about possible side effects. But it isn’t a new drug, it is a well-tested drug used in a new way. Since there is no other existing drug available, the risk seems minimal. The reward, if it does work, would literally transform the world. It could save millions of lives.

Trump says give it a chance. He also told Bayer to prepare 3 million doses. If Trump is right, this could change our world. If he is wrong, the results will be similar to following the advice of Dr. Fauci.

CNN & the Washington Post vote for the Fauci approach, primarily because they are terrified that Trump might be right. However, if one of them became sick or had a sick loved one, I guarantee they would be screaming loudly for the doctor to at least try hydroxychloroquine.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/health/the-real-story-behind-the-worlds-first-antibiotic

In 1928, Sir Alexander Fleming discovered penicillin. It was used to treat meningitis, pneumonia, syphilis and other forms of bacteria. But it wasn’t widely used until 1941, during World War II. British and U.S. scientists discovered that it could be used to treat wounds. This was so effective that production increased from 400 million units in early 1943 to more than 650 billion units per month by the end of the war.

Ironically, the first person to receive penicillin because of a wound died. Albert Alexander scratched his nose on a rosebush and it became infected. Dr. Howard Florey and Dr. Ernst Chain had been experimenting with penicillin on mice. Alexander was in such terrible shape that when Florey and Chain heard about it, they asked for permission to try penicillin. He eventually died, but this experiment proved that penicillin worked.

If it hadn’t been for World War II, penicillin probably would have gone through years of clinical trials. But, the horror of World War II resulted in doctors taking a chance and the results were spectacular. During World War I the death rate from pneumonia was 18 percent. Because of penicillin, the death rate from pneumonia during World War II was 1 percent. Many allied soldiers survived the war because doctors took a chance on penicillin. Sound familiar?

Perhaps the better question is: “Who’s the dummy?”

PEARLS OF WISDOM

After the surprise attack on Pearl Harbor by the Empire of Japan there were two immediate responses. One was that a lot of people were furious that the United States had been caught by surprise. There was a lot of finger pointing, at Admiral Kimmel and General Short. There was also finger pointing at the President of the United States, Franklin Delano Roosevelt. But there was even more anger at Japan. There was also a recognition that the nation only had one president and we needed to unite behind him to fight the greater enemy, the Empire of Japan. The finger point was postponed, and the nation unified behind our president.

Later, when the war was won, there were further investigations with the typical finger pointing. Ultimately, nothing much changed. While there were lessons to be learned from the mistakes that allowed Japan to catch us by surprise, it was far more important to move on from this disaster and come together as a country. Winning the war was far more important than pinning the blame.

The country has already figured that out and is unifying behind the leadership of Donald Trump. It is no accident that there is incredible coordination and joint effort between the Federal, State and Local Governments and between the government at all levels and the private sector. Even Democrats took a break from resisting this president and are working with him to be part of the solution to this very serious situation.

We are in a war with the coronavirus. Any historian will warn us about the fog of war. When you are fighting this kind of battle, you don’t have the luxury of hindsight. You must make the best decisions you can, based on the information you have available. Indecision is the worst decision of all. If you watch the reports from Europe, they are paying a terrible price for not getting ahead of this.

This is a time when we have no choice but to ask our leaders to do their job and to let them do their job. Many of us believe that Gavin Newsom is a horrible Governor. But he is showing real leadership on this and we need to respect that. He will make some wise decisions and he will make some dumb decisions. But he has the power to do what is necessary and we should focus more on praying that God grants him wisdom than mindless criticism. The same is true for Donald Trump. He is the president and he is also showing leadership. Those who oppose him politically should treat him the say way Republicans should treat Gavin Newsom.

My wife and I watched a very interesting documentary on the 1906 earthquake. The Mayor of San Francisco was obviously corrupt. Following the earthquake, he made some very poor decisions. But when necessary he made the critical decision that probably saved the city. He authorized the destruction of homes and businesses along Van Ness Avenue which resulted in a fire break saved the rest of the city. For a short, and I do mean short, period Mayor Schmitz and his opponents worked together to save the city. But in November 1906 he returned home from Europe to learn he was being indicted. Ultimately, he was indicted on 27 counts of graft and bribery, convicted and given the maximum penalty. His conviction was later overturned by the Appellate Court and later the California Supreme Court.

Schmitz later ran for Mayor again, twice, and was defeated. He was elected to the Board of Supervisors again and served on that board until 1925.

https://www.nytimes.com/1906/11/24/archives/mayor-schmitz-back-says-he-is-no-grafter-detectives-will-trail-him.html

One this pandemic is under control; Democrats will turn on a dime and accuse Donald Trump of everything but treason. We can and should expect that. But History will judge Donald Trump soon enough. As for now, we better all hope and pray he is up to the challenge. In my opinion the true test of leadership is to get people to work together as a team for the greater good. Trump seems to be doing a remarkable job of doing exactly that. It is quite possible that because of the action taken by so many people working together for a change we just may get through this horrific situation in far better shape than most countries. One thing is already certain. We live in a very different world than anyone could have imagined early last week. This will change this nation and it will change us. Hopefully a lot of people will learn from this important reminder of what is and what is not actually important. One thing is certain, we already know the importance of toilet paper. That, of course, will change when people get their sh*t together.

We are a different nation with different values today than as recently as last week.

TDM

PANIC OR PLANNING

There is certainly a lot of panic regarding the coronavirus. In some cases, this looks and feels ridiculous. For example, it is hard to justify the run on toilet paper at Costco. But I have given this a lot of thought and I think this might be closer to brilliant planning.

The way this was handled in places like Italy and Germany is a disaster. Germany is now predicting that 70% of the population will be infected. That does not mean 70% will become deathly ill, but it does mean that this virus spreads at an astonishing rate.

That makes the decisions by Donald Trump look brilliant. His decision to ban travel with China, several weeks ago, is the primary reason we don’t have those kinds of problems here today. His new travel ban for most of Europe will buy more time. But he did more than that. It is not an accident that the NBA, MLB, NHL, PGA, NCAA and a lot of other organizations have cancelled events. That decision is costing them millions of dollars. This only happened because the Trump administration, through interaction with top executives, made this happen. This is unprecedented. It also might be exactly the right thing to do.

I did a little research and with a pandemic like this it is important to understand the speed at which this can spread and the catastrophic results when that happens. Ironically, China which gets a lot of the blame, also paved the way toward fixing the problem. They literally shut down entire cities, in a way that would only be possible in a totalitarian state. The virus was exploding, so they turned larges parts of the country, into virtual prisons. The results were catastrophic, for people in those areas. Hospitals were overwhelmed and we may never know the final death toll. But this also stopped the virus from spreading rapidly to other areas, and there are signs that things are rapidly improving.

Here in the United States, under the leadership of Donald Trump, we are achieving the much better results with a lot less pain. While a lot of us like major league sports, taking a vacation from them for a while is hardly the end of the world. But what it does do is send a message to everyone to self-isolate which will slow down the spread of the disease. It will still spread, and it will be a problem, but it will spread slower and give the experts valuable time to get ahead of the curve. At the same time massive effort is being spent on developing a fast and accurate test, work on a vaccine and develop drugs designed to deal with the disease. What is more important is that these tests, the vaccine and the medicine will be developed and manufactured here in the U.S.

The timing is perfect, because while the disease will spread rapidly during the winter, like every other pandemic it will slow down significantly during the summer. Trump is  right about that. Temporarily banning large public events will buy valuable time. So will warmer weather. By early fall, there will be tests available at an unprecedented level. They may not even require the tests be administered or monitored by doctors or other trained medical providers. It might be something simple, that people can take home and do themselves, like a pregnancy test. There will be tests developed that will allow everyone attending a major event, like a sporting event, to be properly screened. The same type of screening will be used on Cruise ships and airlines. It will save those industries.

This strategy has been proven to work.  The Democratic method of gun control is to take guns away from everyone. That does not work. But there is a kind of gun control that has been working for a long time. If you go into any stadium, you go through metal detectors that make it very difficult to enter with a gun or any other kind of weapon. That is why there have been no recent major shooting event inside a football stadium, a basketball arena, a baseball stadium or any other event where this type of screening takes place. It is why airplanes are a gun free zone. This works. While you can’t and shouldn’t screen all the people all the time, you can and should screen everyone attending a major sporting event or any other event where there are huge crowds. By fall, they will be screening for coronavirus and ultimately that will have a major impact.

Quite simply Trump bought us time. He is simultaneously putting maximum effort into a permanent solution. He has mobilized a joint effort by public health official and experts in the private sector. He has even got Democrats working overtime to fund a lot of this.

We are very fortunate that it is Trump, and not Obama in the White House. Heaven help us if someone like Joe Biden is ever in charge. Obama let the swine flu get out of control. We were fortunate that it was not a lot worse. But that was not the result of good management, it was the result of a disease that, although contagious, wasn’t in a class with the coronavirus. We already had flu vaccines and we knew how to treat the flu. The problem with the coronavirus is that no one appears to have any immunity to it, and we are just now learning how to treat it. We are fortunate that, so far, the fatality rate is low compared to other diseases.

History has taught us that a new pandemic, if not managed will get out of control. That happened as recently as the Spanish flu. How many people realize that more soldiers died from disease than bullets during WWI. By the way, the Spanish flu wasn’t Spanish, and it wasn’t the flu. It was bacterial pneumonia.

Native Americans were also devastated more by disease than by bullets. They had no immunity to diseases like the measles, so when these were brought to this country by Europeans the results were catastrophic, for Native Americans. These European diseases quickly spread out of control and for a Native American the measles was often fatal. Today, no one worries much about the measles or Smallpox, or yellow fever or even the flu. That is partly because a lot of us have built up immunity, but it is also because of vaccines and the development of effective medical treatment.

The bottom line is that difficult decisions being made under the leadership of President Trump will buy us valuable time and that time is already being used to make this horrible disease manageable. That is not necessarily obvious to many people right now, but historians will rank this as one of the best examples of leadership during time of crisis in the history of mankind. I wonder if, eventually, CNN might even notice. Some people, like Governor Gavin Newsom, have already figured it out. I watched AOC being interviewed by Brett Baier and she astonishingly showed some rational thought. She even backed off from slamming Mike Pence and said “he is in charge and we must work with him.”

TDM

THE STRAW MAN

Joe Biden has won the DNC nomination. Bernie is not ready to admit that, yet, but Biden has won. Technically, Biden didn’t win, everyone else lost. Biden only campaigned in Iowa and New Hampshire and he got hammered in both states. He barely showed up in the rest of the states and that turned out to be the winning strategy. Most people don’t know much about Joe Biden, other than he seems to be a nice guy and he has been around forever. They know a lot about the other candidates and they hate all of them. Bernie is the only DNC candidate with a real following and his followers are far left of the main stream Democratic Party. Most of the other candidates didn’t make it past South Carolina. Even Elizabeth Warren bowed out after Super Tuesday. Tulsi Gabbard can hardly be considered a candidate since she couldn’t actually compete with anyone anywhere. Her political career is probably headed toward being a Fox News contributor.

So, now Joe stands alone and no one even pretends he is up to the challenge. We are about to see a nationwide stealth campaign. We will see commercials. We will see surrogates. We will see carefully scripted, extremely short public appearances, strictly limited to what is displayed on the TelePrompter. The MSM will instantly go into cover-up mode, refusing to cover any negative stories about Biden. Watch for the Biden campaign try, and fail, to prevent Fox News from covering any of his events. The MSM will greatly reduce camera shots to reduce the risk of catching Joe in a moment of candor. We will see everything, but the candidate himself.

The DNC debate is likely to be masterfully produced with the sole intent of protecting Joe Biden. They have already used the coronavirus as an excuse to eliminate a live audience. The debate will be on CNN with hosts Dana Bash and Jake Tapper plus Univision anchor Jorge Ramos. All will be warned not to embarrass Joe. All of them hate Bernie, but Bernie has lost, so they really won’t care what he says about anything, as long as he doesn’t rip on Biden. They will encourage him to rip on Donald Trump. Joe will get carefully worded softball questions for which he is already being coached to read the scripted answer. It is far from certain he can handle even that. Answers will be limited to 30 seconds, so that Joe has neither the need nor the time to think. Time limits will be ignored for Bernie. Strictly enforced for Joe. Remember during the last debate the only thing Joe got right was to shut up when his time was up.

Everything possible will be done to reduce the risk for Biden. One thing they will easily achieve, with or without special effort, is to make this the most boring debate in world history. CNN’s ratings are already in the tank and that won’t change. Even Democrats won’t watch, because they have already settled on Biden. While Bernie will view this as his last chance to sell himself to American, America will probably be watching something else. Anything else.

This is still very high risk for Biden, because there is zero potential he will be impressive and there is high risk he embarrasses himself. Since he doesn’t need to impress, they may even sedate him. That would be perfect, because he will already be sitting down and if he does poorly, they can blame it on coronavirus meds.

Following the debate, I wouldn’t even be surprised to have Joe Biden self-isolate to protect himself and others from the coronavirus. That would be a perfect solution. He will look kind of presidential, because he won’t be talking. He has an excuse for not campaigning and people have an excuse for not going to a campaign rally. We are going to be inundated with a lot of talking heads explaining why Joe Biden is the perfect candidate to defeat Donald Trump. Michael Bloomberg will probably spend another $500 million on commercials. We just won’t actually see much of Joe Biden. If you think the liberal left is good at smoke and mirrors, you haven’t you haven’t seen anything yet.

I wouldn’t even be surprised to see the DNC start cancelling primary elections, because of the coronavirus.

This may actually work, up until the DNC convention. But at some point, Joe Biden is going to have to do something, somewhere, sometime. But don’t be surprised if, for safety reasons, his acceptance speech at the DNC is done by video.There will be an attempt to cancel all presidential debates because of the coronavirus.  A coronavirus caused by Donald Trump. If it is possible to win an election for president by not actually campaigning, then Joe Biden is your guy.

I doubt that this will work, because although CNN is exactly this stupid, the rest of the country is not. That is why Joe Biden is winning now. Most Democrats voted against the insane class. Most, but not enough of them, will vote for Biden in the general election because he is a Democrat. Others will vote for him because they cannot and will not ever vote for Trump. Some will vote for him assuming that his VP will soon take over. But no one will even pretend that Joe’s the man. Very few people will vote for Joe Biden because they think Joe Biden will make a great president. They will vote for Joe, the straw man.

I doubt that anyone thinks this will work, but it will be tried because they are out of other options. When you’re about to go down for the last count, you will clutch at any straw. Joe Biden is the ultimate last straw man. Clutching at straws seldom works. We better all pray it doesn’t work now, because the only thing certain is that Joe Biden will never be the person calling the shots if he is elected President.

If you want to see what this looks like, check out the last part of Woodrow Wilson’s term as President or better yet read up on the Howard Hughes story.

TDM

BAD MITTEN

I used to live in Michigan. Several years were in the Upper Peninsula (UP) and later in Grand Rapids, Michigan. People who live in the UP frequently refer to Lower Michigan as the “mitten.” A lot of people I know in Michigan give directions by pointing to their right hand.  Your right hand, with the thumb slightly extended looks a lot like Lower Michigan. So, when I refer to Lower Michigan as the “mitten” is it not an insult, it is just reality.

Today Michigan is holding the primary election. You can blame the results on the mitten, because the six people still living in the UP aren’t enough to have a big impact. Unlike California, people will have to identify themselves, before voting, so this election has a lot more credibility. Unless all of the polls are wrong, Joe Biden is likely to wipe the floor with Bernie Sanders. If that happens, many of the pundits think this will end any chance of Bernie winning the nomination. It may take several more weeks for Bernie to admit that, but that is how a lot of people will view the results. But, if there is one person capable of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, it is Joe Biden. He was actually doing fairly well in New Hampshire, until he got into a public screaming match with a voter. After that, his support disappeared overnight. Well, Joe did it again. Someone challenged him on gun control and Biden lost his cool. It may be too late for this to have an impact, but at least Joe gave it his best effort.

Either way, it is hard to find fault with a state delivering the death blow to Bernie’s campaign. If he is not actually a communist he sure seems to admire the way they run things. He probably could have beat Biden, if he had resisted explaining why Castro did some cool things while destroying Cuba. This was so bad that even CNN noticed which is pretty astonishing.

On the other hand, it is equally difficult to explain how anyone could consider Joe Biden to be a viable option for President of the United States. At this point the problems are so obvious that I am not sure Joe Biden considers himself to be a viable candidate. He is just better (less bad) than any of the other DNC candidates, including Bernie.

The real blame here lies not with the good folks living in the mitten, it belongs solely to the geniuses at the DNC that that narrowed the choice down to this pathetic pair. Throw in a lot of credit to the MSM which is well aware of the problem but totally unwilling to tell anyone. This, of course, is the same media that had no concern regarding Biden bribing Ukraine with about $1 billion of your money to force them to fire a specific prosecutor. Trump asking questions about it, however, was the crime of the century.

Either way the vote goes today it is probably going to do more to re-elect Donald Trump than help either of these two losers win the nomination from the DNC. As for me, I always root for the mitten. Even when it looks like a bad mitten.

TDM

CALIFORNIA DREAMING

Democrats dream of California deciding the next general election for President of the United States. They want to provide the same level of leadership for the country that we have endured in California. If the election was based solely on the popular vote, that is exactly what would happen. During the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton lost the popular vote by a significant margin, until you add in the votes from California.  The numbers are very well documented. Hillary got 65,853,562 votes nationwide vs Trump with 62,985,134. The national margin of victory for Hillary was 2,868,518. In California, Hillary got 8,753,788 vs Trump with 4,483,810. The California margin of victory for Hillary was 4,269,978. It gets even worse when you take a look at Los Angeles County. In Los Angeles County alone Hillary got 2,464,364 votes while Trump only got 769,743. That was a margin of 1,694,621 or nearly 60% of the national margin for Hillary. By the way, Los Angeles County had to agree to a consent decree that will remove about 1,500,000 people from the voter registration rolls because they either don’t live there anymore or they are deceased. California has more registered voters than they have live citizens eligible to vote.

Once again, California has proven that it cannot run any election fairly and certainly cannot run one efficiently. We won’t know the actual results of the primary election until April. California law allows that much time to count. In every recent election, where the race was even close, late counting always favored liberals and Democrats. Miraculously, time after time, it was Democrats who gained dramatically in those late counted votes. I can find no instance where late vote counting favored a Republican. Perhaps there was one, but I am not aware of that.

So, if a national election were to be decided by popular vote, it would be decided solely by California. Election night would look like a replay of the Iowa Caucuses. Wise pundits would look at the results and ask one simple question. Are there enough uncounted votes outstanding to swing the election to the Democrat? If the answer is yes, that is exactly what will happen. It may take days, weeks or close to a month, but the result will be inevitable. Additional ballots, filled out by persons unknown, dropped off by persons unknown, collected by persons unknown, delivered to persons unknown and counted by persons unknown would determine the results of the next election. We could know the actual results of the election by Thanksgiving or at least early December. It would only be a matter of how long it took to find enough votes to push the Democrat over the top.

When you combine that with California giving driver’s licenses to people who are not here legally, with motor voter registration, with no voter id, with zero chain of custody documentation regarding ballots, with more registered voters than living citizens of voting age, why would you have any faith in any election held in this state?

I would probably have more faith voting in an election in Moscow, because at least they would pretend to be paying attention. In California, they don’t even pretend anymore. During the 2016 election, my wife and I went to a polling station. We voluntarily showed our ID, although no one cared. They just asked for our address and showed us where to sign. This year there was only one voting station in Folsom and you had to do research to find that. The instructions we got with our ballot only told us where to locate drop off boxes, if we didn’t want to mail it in. We went to the same location where we could actually vote in 2016. No one checked anything. There was zero attempt to document who we were. We didn’t sign anything. The only guidance we got was a finger pointed at a box with a slot in front where were could drop our ballot. We assume that once Democrats have enough votes to meet their requirements someone may get around to counting our ballot too.

California knows this is insane. Here are the instructions for voting in person:

Check-in with the Vote Center staff.

  1. Wait patiently while the Vote Center staff confirms your eligibility to vote.
  2. Tell the Vote Center staff if you would like to vote at the Vote Center or need a replacement ballot to take away and return later (by 8pm on Election Day).
  • ​You may or may not have to provide personal identification when you vote in-person. Visit the Secretary of State’s website for more information.
  1. Wait for your ballot to print or for your access to an accessible ballot marking device.
  2. Vote for the contests and candidates of your choice. You do not have to vote on every contest listed on your ballot – it is up to you!
  3. When finished voting, insert your voted ballot into the designated ballot box. Your ballot will be counted at the elections main office at 7000 65th Street. The Vote Center staff will give you an “I Voted” sticker – wear it proudly!

Why bother waiting patiently while the vote center staff confirms eligibility to vote when you can just drop your ballot in a box and walk away?

Some of you, who live in other states, may be wondering why this is a problem. The answer is that unless this changes and unless we retain the Electoral College, this is exactly how every national election will be decided. Then the rest of you can wake up each morning to a state  run like California. Where the Assembly, the Senate and every state-wide office is dominated by liberal democrats. They will be incredibly diverse with regard to gender, gender preference, race, religion and any other politically correct demographic considered to be important. What they won’t be is smart, honest or remotely competent, but, that doesn’t matter, because the group photo hug is spectacular. Best of all, you get a great “I Voted Sticker.”

TDM

YIPEE!

Joe Biden will be the DNC nominee for President, if he is still alive in July. This is good news, because it means the nominee will not be Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O’Rourke, Pete Buttigieg, Michael Bloomberg, Tom Steyer or Bernie Sanders. All considered to be real possibilities by the MSM. But, the MSM is wrong about everything, so this should be no surprise.

Joe Biden didn’t win the nomination. He just stayed alive while the others all self-destructed. Just a couple of weeks ago, no one thought Biden had any chance. He had been creamed in Iowa and New Hampshire. He had no money. His campaign rallies were a joke. He was making daily gaffs. His campaign was doomed to failure. The other DNC candidates just ignored him.

But then, a series of miracles. It started with Michael Bloomberg and Tom Steyer deciding to throw away millions of dollars trying to buy the election. They both failed miserably, but in the meantime people like Klobuchar and Buttigieg couldn’t get a word in edgewise. Combine this with the idiotic impeachment farce, which made it impossible for anyone to campaign and it was a perfect political storm.

Bernie had victory within his grasp. Everyone else was fading and it looked like it was down to him and Biden. He thought Biden would be easy prey. But Bernie accidentally told the truth and he burned his own house down. He started praising Castro, of all people, for a great education program and universal health care. He even praised Hugo Chavez who made Venezuela such a paradise on earth. When this became public, his support dropped like a stone.  While there are still a lot of people feeling the Berne, there aren’t nearly enough of them.

The result was that Joe Biden, who had been ignored by everyone, ended up being the only one left standing. Odds are this even surprised Biden. He woke up Sunday morning with a surprise landslide victory in South Carolina. Then, two days later, he basically ran the table on Super Tuesday.

Joe Biden is still Joe Biden and he is no more capable of campaigning for President of the United States than he was last week. He is also the presidential candidate least likely to survive a full term in office. As a result, today begins one of the most critical campaigns in our nations history, the campaign to be Joe Biden’s running mate. The logical thing would be to choose someone who is capable of being president, ready, willing and able to take over when necessary. But this is not your father’s Democratic Party. This time the VP candidate must be a female, preferably black or Hispanic. A nationwide woman hunt is already underway. The results are likely to be frightening.

In the meantime, the Trump campaign is conducting workshops on how to restrain the giggles. This reminds me of when the DNC nominated Hubert Humphrey to be the nominee in 1968. Hubert Humphrey took the stage in Chicago and shouted: “yippee.” They were also shouting “yippee” someplace else. That would be the Nixon campaign headquarters. They were also the ones still shouting “yippee” in November.

TDM