LIVING ON THE EDGE

I suspect everyone is on edge. Democrats listen to the mainstream media which predicts that Biden will win. But they remember 2016 and they fear a repeat. Republicans listen to the mainstream media and even Fox News say Trump is behind, but he may win. They remember 2016 and pray for a repeat. When you combine this with massive early voting and vote by mail, no one is very confident at predicting things. Trump continues to campaign like a mad man, and even Biden is making brief chaotic appearances. So, the question is, how does anyone put this in perspective. I suggest the following:

  1. Remember who has lied to you repeatedly in a desperate attempt to destroy Donald Trump. All the previous attempts failed. Why would you believe them now?
  2. If Trump is way behind, why on earth are all those people showing up hours early in horrible weather to cheer him at his rallies?
  3. If Biden is doing so well, why can he hold his rallies in a phone booth and not be crowded?
  4. If all the polls got it wrong in 2016, why do you think they are right now?
  5. If no votes have been counted, how does anyone know how people have voted?
  6. Do you really think Biden promising to transition away from oil and gas will not impact the election in Pennsylvania? Or how about when he lied about banning fracking?
  7. Why do Trump crowds spontaneously break out into chants of “four more years” while the handful of people attending a Biden event only honk their horn when he trashes Trump?
  8. Why does Biden continue to lie about what Trump said at Charlottesville?
  9. Why does Biden continue to lie about what Trump said about the military?
  10. Why won’t the mainstream media report on the Hunter Biden emails?

There are more things to consider.

In Florida, more Democrats have already mailed in ballots than Republicans. But the margin is less that it was for Hillary in 2016, and she lost.

Telemundo, yes that Telemundo, did a poll showing Trump nearly tied in support among Hispanic voters. How is that possible if Biden is winning?

Telemundo also shows Trump getting 74% of Cuban American votes. How is Biden going to win Florida if that is accurate?

Numerous polls show black support for Trump much higher than it was in 2016. Are the polls wrong about that?

Gallup reports that 56% of people think they were better off now than four years ago. Does that matter?

So far at least 1.9 million ballots mailed to voters have not been returned. Why? Are they real voters? Have they moved? Are they dead? Or, perhaps, they just don’t plan to vote?

Democrats only win when they run up the vote so high in major metropolitan areas that Republicans can’t catch up. But people are fleeing major metropolitan areas in droves. That means there are fewer votes available. There are no signs of Biden doing better than Hillary in big cities.

Why do you think Democrats, who are clearly incapable of running major metropolitan areas are going to do well at managing mail in ballots? Check out how that has worked so far in New York and New Jersey.

Democrats are thrilled that young voters appear to be turning out in early voting. But they may not show up on election day and at least some of them will vote for the guy that makes it more likely they can get a job.

Republicans have been going door to door, all over the country, for weeks. The Biden campaign just started doing that this week. Usually Democrats have a much better ground game than Republicans. This year, it is the exact opposite.

I do not know what will happen, but I would rather be supporting Trump than Biden. I think if Biden wins, it will be by a narrow margin, but if Trump wins, it could be a landslide. Every poll, even ones showing Biden in the lead, shows Trump with momentum.

Michael Moore, who hates Trump, thinks he will win. Unlike other people that is not what Michael Moore wants, it is what he truly believes.

Finally look around you. Look at France, Germany, Italy, the UK, Spain, and everywhere else. What do you see? I seem COVID 19 cases spiking again. I also see people protesting lockdowns and protesting mandatory masks.

A lot of people, all over the world, are sick and tired of having every minute of their life dominated by the fear of COVID 19. Biden tells us we should be more afraid, and he will solve this by having everyone hide in their basement until COVID goes away. Does anyone think that will work? Trump on the other hand says I got it and I am still here. What are you afraid of? The most tragic possible decision is to be afraid to live for fear of dying.

A lot of people are living on the edge. But, the clock continues to run and I suspect that we will know the results sooner than anyone predicts. The reason is very simple. If it is close on election night, Biden has the advantage. But if the trends noted above are real, it won’t be close at all. Here is how you will know. If Trump wins easily in Ohio and Florida, Biden is in serious trouble. If he wins in Pennsylvania, it is over. If you turn on your TV at 5:00 p.m. PST and find out they have already called Florida for Trump, start chilling the champagne.

I wouldn’t recommend betting, but if you do bet, bet on red.

TDM

TIPPECANOE

https://www.battlefields.org/learn/war-1812/battles/tippecanoe

https://www.history.com/topics/us-presidents/william-henry-harrison

William Henry Harrison was the night president of the United States. He was elected in 1840. He was appointed Governor of the Indiana terrify by John Adams.  On November 7, 1811 in Battle Ground, Indiana, Harrison lead an army of about 1,000 men to attack the Indian Confederacy lead by Tecumseh. Harrison actually lost that battle; he was attached  by the Indians before he could move against them. His men did hold their ground and eventually the Indians ran out of ammunition. The Indians abandoned Prophetstown and Harrison’s men burned it to the ground. Harrison proclaimed that he had won a great victory. He was eventually given the nickname “Tippecanoe” and in 1840 he ran for President with the campaign song: “Tippecanoe and Tyler Too.” He won.

On inauguration day William Henry Harrison was 68 years old, the oldest U.S. President until Ronald Regan was inaugurated in 1981 when he was 69 years old. Harrison was determined to show that he was still strong and vigorous. He took the oath of office on March 4, 1841, when it was cold and wet. He chose not to wear an overcoat or hat and road on a horse rather than in a carriage. He then gave the longest inaugural address in American history. It took him two hours to read it. He road through the streets in the inaugural parade and attended three inaugural balls that evening.

But Harrison had made a huge mistake. He became deathly ill and died on April 4, 1841. He was the first President to die in office and is still the shortest-serving President tin U.S. History, having been in office only 31 days. Tyler took over as President.

I thought about this while watching Trump give those speeches in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska. The temperature was about 30 degrees and Trump was not wearing a hat, but he was wearing gloves. My guess is that he was layered up more than people realize. Everyone else was dressed, appropriately, like Eskimos.

This reminded me of a story told by Mike Holmgren while he was coaching the Green Bay Packers. It was a bitterly cold day in Green Bay. There is a tradition in the NFL where opposing coached meet in the center of the field to shake hands before the game. Holmgren wanted to play with Dave Wannested’s head, so he decided to pretend the weather wasn’t impacting him. Holmgren asked for the thinnest possible Green Bay Packer Jacket, no gloves and not hat. Wannstedt showed up looking like the Michelin man. So, Holmgren decided to double down on this, and unzipped his jacket. But when the got to the center of the field, Holmgren was so cold he literally couldn’t speak and Wannstedt just laughed at him.

It is easy to see why Trump did this. He also wanted to look strong and vigorous, in obvious contrast to the frail looking Joe Biden. So far, this does not seem to have affected Trump’s health. To those of us who grew up in that climate, it was an impressive performance. I just hope he does better than William Henry Harrison. Fortunately, even if Trump got sick, he is surrounded by medical care that was not available in 1841.

We don’t know the results of this election yet, but we sure know who looks like the energizer bunny and who is showing signs of desperation. Democrats are doubling down on COVID, COVID, COVID, but that may be a major mistake. I think Trump is right, a lot of people are sick and tired of every decision being based on COVID. When he said the cure cannot be worse than the disease, a lot of people understand.

The good news is that Tippecanoe did win that election.

TDM

OFF THE DEEP END

I really think Donald Trump will win next week. I pray that Donald Trump will win. But it is important to understand that if Joe Biden wins, it will not be anything like people expect. Those of us paying attention know that the Deep State tried to defeat Donald Trump when he was running for election and they tried to remove him from office after he was elected. The reason is that the Deep State considers itself to be the real power in Washington. While Trump has certainly cleaned up a lot of things, the swamp still exists, and it is still powerful.

I don’t think the Deep State will allow Joe Biden to be President of the United States and Commander in Chief. These people are a lot of things, but they are not stupid. They may allow Biden to assume the public position, but behind the scenes they are not about to let him assume power. I don’t think they will allow Kamala Harris to do that either. This means if Biden wins, we automatically move into a constitutional crisis. But the real power grab is likely to be invisible to the average citizen. The same media that is covering up for Biden in a desperate attempt to defeat Trump, also recognizes that Biden is not up to the job and they probably fear Harris even more.

Some people think the FBI held that laptop last year to hurt Trump. But history tells us they may have held it for a more sinister reason, as insurance against Biden. I believe the Deep State will immediately move to surround Biden with people who will become the “real government.” The Deep State tried this before with Abraham Lincoln. The cabinet members thought they would run the government. They underestimated Abraham Lincoln. When Trump was elected, the Deep State put people in key positions to manage Trump. They underestimated Trump. But Joe Biden is totally incapable of managing the Deep State. They will quietly but effectively take over.

The good news is that means that virtually none of the radical ideas dreamed of by AOC plus 3 will happen. The Deep State doesn’t want this either. Neither will they like things like packing the court and adding D.C. and Puerto Rico as states. The Deep State is fundamentally conservative, they want to conserve their power. These things will be proposed, but key politicians unexpected offer resistance. The Deep State has means of convincing reluctant politicians to do the right thing. That is because they know everything about everybody. They know how to make people offers they can’t afford to turn down.

The real reason Trump was able to overcome this is that they didn’t know much about him and made a lot of wrong assumptions. That is why they tried the silly Russian Collusion nonsense. They had nothing else. The opposite is true regarding Biden. They know everything. If they don’t know everything about Harris, they will by the end of the year.

So, if the American people stupidly elect Joe Biden, remember the deep state not Biden and Harris will run things. That is obviously not good, but it is a lot better than a dictatorship run by a senile old man or an incompetent radical. There will be some difficult moments, but we will survive this too. Then, before inauguration day powerful forces will get to work to fight back. Remember when Clinton won in 1992 and tried to implement his left-wing agenda? Two years later Republicans took over the House and the Senate and Clinton spent the rest of his Presidency hitching rides on Jeffrey’s plane. The same thing will happen this time. When Democrats achieve full power, they muck things up at the speed of light. This is what happened to Obama. In 2008 Democrats controlled the House and the Senate. In 2010 Republicans took back the house. In 2014, they also took control of the Senate. That victory by Republicans in 2014 is the reason we have Justice Gorsuch instead of Merritt Garland, why we have Justice Kavanaugh instead of a left-wing radical liberal and we why have Amy Coney Barrett rather than someone like Stacy Abrams.

Everything moves in cycles.  This included the weather and politics. Sometimes, in places like New York, the cycles can be prolonged because of systemic corruption. But remember that when things got really bad in New York, New York got Rudy Giuliani. Even in California we got rid of Gray Davis and replaced him with Arnold Schwarzenegger. Arnold was not perfect, but he was a lot better than the two clowns who followed.

So, hopefully Tuesday night will be a day to celebrate four more years of Donald Trump. That is the most likely outcome. But, if that does not happen, this is a reminder that Democrats aren’t really smart enough to take total control, and the Deep State is still there. If you doubt that think about the rules for Thanksgiving published by Governor Newsom. These are absolutely insane. So, even if, as Biden predicts, we head into a dark winter, remember it is always darkest just before dawn.

TDM

Honk If You Love Jesus!

Many years ago, my parents, devout Baptists, saw a car with a “Honk If You Love Jesus!” Bumper sticker. So, wanting to show support, they honked their horn. The driver, probably driving his parent’s car, rolled down his window and flipped them the bird. That is one of the problems with honking horns. It is sometime difficult, if not impossible, to figure out what someone is trying to say. In every case, regardless of intent, horns are by design loud, rude, and disruptive.

Barrack Obama and Joe Biden had lately resorted to “drive-in” rallies. These are perfect for several reasons. One is that it guarantees social distancing. Another is that it doesn’t take many cars to look like a huge crowd. But more important, a few people honking their horns can sound loud. Today Obama interpreted this as enthusiastic support. Maybe that was true, but mostly it was loud and rude. Some estimate he drew a huge crowd of close to 70 people.

Trump on the other hand, drew an enormous crowd in Waukesha. That is more significant than you think. Wisconsin is going through another COVID 19 surge, but people showed up anyway. I noticed the way people were dressed and the crowd was all bundled up. Except Trump. Trump was wearing a suit and gloves, but no hat, no scarf etc. So, I checked the weather, and it was at best in the low 30s at that time approaching freezing. Trump was on his game and looked energized, so did the crowd.

All over the world, there are signs that people are done with all the lockdowns and the masks. COVID 19 is surging in Europe and this time people are fighting back against restrictions. Even the WHO said the lockdowns did not work and did more harm than good. I believe we are seeing a world-wide case of cabin fever and people ignore that to their peril.

Did you notice something in your neighborhood? Halloween decorations are up big time. I was at Home Depot yesterday, and they are completely sold out. They are already gearing up for Christmas and it looks like Christmas decorations are flying off the shelves. I believe that people are desperate for a return to normal. In the meantime, Biden is promising a dark winter where we all hunker down in fear of COVID. A winter, by the way, where we don’t have natural gas or electricity because it is more important to protect against Global Warming. Trying to explain global warming to people in Wisconsin who have been waiting in 30-degree weather to catch a glimpse of Trump’s shadow.

Trump is the master at figuring out what is important to Americans. He doesn’t rely on professional staff; he just trusts his own instincts. His instincts are that people are sick and tired of being dominated by fear. They are tired of lockdowns, tired of restrictions and tired of masks. People are even more tired of being arrogantly lectured by people who inflicted all these draconian measures on us, that obviously did not work. When Trump questions Dr. Fauci, the MSM missed the reality that a lot of people no longer want to see every decision based on Dr. Fauci’s latest scheme to defeat COVID 19. That would be the same Dr. Fauci who has been so wrong so many times before. The same Dr. Fauci who says we may be able to stop wearing masks in 2022. Do you really want to see 2021 as a repeat of 2020? Like I said, a worldwide case of cabin fever.

Notice something else. While some local news broadcasters are still wearing masks, most aren’t. Six weeks ago, they were all wearing masks. Today, not so much. The reason is beyond obvious. Masks suck. They are uncomfortable. They make it hard to breathe. They make it hard to understand the person talking. People talking in a mask look and sound silly.

If you watch football, the coaches’ claw at their masks when they want to make a point. Perhaps if you’re a liberal reading this, you think masks are a sign of putting other people ahead of yourself. That is not the way I view them. I view them as a meaningless gesture that has almost zero impact on stopping the spread of COVID 19. I view them as silly. I view them as evidence of meaningless government over-reach.

Washing your hands, yes, Social distancing, yes. Self-isolation if you catch COVID 19, yes. Protecting senior citizens, particularly in nursing homes, yes. But huddling down in our homes in fear of COVID and wearing a mask while driving alone in our car, not so much.

Trump did something else in Waukesha and it may be the most important thing of all. He pointed out the obvious truth that if you test a million of people a day you are going to get more positive tests. That does not mean the disease is spreading faster, it just means we are testing more people. Then he pointed out that Doctors and hospitals get more money if they treat a COVID patient and that impacts the COVID death count. He pointed out that Europe does not count deaths the same way. He pointed out the brutal truth that some people were going to die anyway and COVID is not necessarily what killed them.  A lot of us already knew this, but Trump saying this during a rally, may really change the narrative. The MSM will desperately try to prove him wrong and ultimately may prove him spot on.

That brings me back to the “Honk If you Love Jesus” bumper sticker. That is primarily a funny story. But it is more than that. If you do love Jesus, don’t honk. That’s just rude. Just make sure you vote. About 80% of evangelical Christians support Trump. If a high percentage of them show up on election day, then you can honk for four more years.

TDM

TURN OUT THE LIGHTS, ITS GOING TO BE A DARK WINTER

The Presidential debate last night was fun to watch. The mute button may even have helped. The moderator, although more likely to interrupt Trump than Biden, was even-handed. Predictably all the DNC pundits are saying Biden won and all the RNC pundits are saying Trump won. Obviously, they can’t both be right. It is easy for anyone watching to know how they really felt about things. The DNC pundits were straining to show why Biden won. Some even admitted Trump had a good night, but it didn’t matter because he was so far behind in the polls, He had to hit a homerun and he failed. But the RNC pundits were clearly over-joyed. They were grinning from ear to ear having trouble restraining themselves. Based on that alone, it is obvious that Trump won big time.

We really don’t know who wins any debate for a couple of days. But we already know Biden made some major mistakes. While he did hammer Trump about his tax returns, Democrats have been doing that for years and no one cares. Trump gave his traditional dodgy answer, but again no one cares. But Trump challenged Biden regarding influence peddling, and he struck several body blows. Biden tried to blame this on Russian interference and Trump just laughed at him. Biden did not deny that those emails were legitimate.  Instead he just lied and said he never accepted any money from a foreign government. That is probably true, but he sure accepted money from foreign business firms connected to the government.

One big moment was when Trump said Biden referred to some members of the black community as “super predators.”  It has been reported that this was one of the biggest search items on google, during and after the debate. Biden didn’t actually use the term “super predators.” MSN predictably pointed that out in this article, but they documented that what Biden said was bad and that Hillary Clinton did call them “super predators “:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-accuses-biden-of-using-super-predator-term-here-s-what-he-actually-said/ar-BB1ajWMx?ocid=uxbndlbing

We have predators on our streets that society has in fact, in part because of its neglect, created. They are beyond the pale many of those people, beyond the pale.

“It’s a sad commentary on society. We have no choice but to take them out of society.”

It was former Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton who used the term “super predators” when discussing an “organized effort against gangs.”

“Just as in a previous generation, we had an organized effort against the mob. We need to take these people on. They are often connected to big drug cartels. They are not just gangs of kids anymore,” she said, speaking in 1996 and discussing the 1994 bill, which was signed by her husband Bill Clinton.

The second biggest search item was “anti-fracking or ban fracking.” That search will instantly prove that Biden lied when he false claimed he never promised to ban fracking. In addition, when he said he wanted to “transition away from oil and gas, the moderator herself was clearly shocked.

There were also times when Biden was clearly frustrated and had difficulty answering questions. After the debate, someone picked up an enormous pad of what appeared to be notes off the podium Biden used.

The bottom line is that Biden lost big time. His facial expressions and snide comments were a lot of things, but Presidential is not on the list. Trump, on the other hand, looks very professional. He was calm and focused. Also, Trump looked a lot healthier than Biden.

A lot of people have already voted, but a majority have not. I think this debate really hurt Joe Biden. I also think the polls have been all wrong and that Trump was already leading in the battleground states. His campaign sure acts like their internal polls show them winning. If anything, this debate is likely to turn what was already a decisive victory into a landslide of historic proportions. Few, people, other than those who want to drive electric cars while sipping KoolAid listening to CNN, want to live in a world without oil or gas. Biden gave everyone a clear vision of a Biden-Harris administration when he said we are about to go into a dark winter. Few people want a leader who promises only a dark winter with no convincing plans for a different result.

Combine this with the emergence of Tony Bobulinski with what looks like solid evidence of corruption by Joe Biden along with the release of daily e-mails bombs from Rudy & Co and you have a perfect storm. If Democrats are not terrified it is only because they are too blinded by Trump derangement syndrome to see reality.

Someone else lost big-time last night, Nancy Pelosi. The moderator asked Biden why, as leader of the party, he didn’t push Nancy to pass the stimulus. Biden tried to spin that away, but the fact that she even asked that question is huge. It was the moderator, a liberal Democrat, telling the world what she thought of Nancy Pelosi.

Perhaps Democrats will still find a way to steal this election. Perhaps all those early voters really were stupid enough to vote for Joe Biden. We will soon know, but my hunch is that the smart money is on Donald Trump winning and winning big.

 

TDM

MOUNT GUSHMORE

There are a lot of things happening today, and all of them are very bad for Joe Biden. Perhaps the most important is that the Senate Judiciary Committee voted to approve the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. Democrats pulled a school yard stunt and refused to show up. They thought this would prevent the committee from doing this. Lindsey Graham just ignored them, and the committee quickly voted for her nomination. The full Senate will vote on this Monday, and unless something big changes, she will be confirmed.  She will be immediately sworn in and start participating in Supreme Court decisions. Don’t expect her to join Roberts with the remaining liberal justices on the court to make stupid election law decisions.

Tuesday, Brian Stelter foolishly agreed to be on a BBC Radio-4 panel with Susan Ferrechio. She ate his lunch. He tried to defend not covering the Biden emails and she torched him for all the poorly sourced stories he personally reported on regarding Donald Trump. You can listen to this yourself:

https://www.mediaite.com/radio/listen-susan-ferrechio-spars-with-cnns-brian-stelter-in-heated-clash-over-medias-reporting-on-dossier-versus-biden-emails/

He is extremely fortunate this was only on radio

Then Tony Bobulinski released a statement saying that Joe Biden willing participated in a family scheme to make millions by partnering with a Chinese Communist firm. Bobulinski says he was the CEO of a holding company partnered between the Chinese firm and the Bidens, including Hunter, Joe, and Jim Biden. He says he has mounds of documents to back up his claim. Bobulinski is the CEO of Sinohawk Holdings. He even says that he was the recipient of the May 13, 2017 email published by the New York Post, and the “Big Guy” was Joe Biden. There are rumors that the Wall Street Journal is working on a major story regarding this, to be released soon.

Bevan Cooney, former business partner of Hunter Biden, currently in prison, also released thousands of e-mails. He was moved to solitary confinement, probably for his own protection. He is scheduled to be released from prison in about a month.

There are numerous reports that Hunter Biden had hugely inappropriate pictures on his laptop. There is even a text message exchange allegedly between Hunter and Joe, talking about this.

There are more and more signs that the dam is about to break. If the Wall Street Journal does report on this, the entire mainstream media will no longer be able to ignore this story. Even if the Wall Street Journal does not report on this, the story is about to be explode. There are a lot of qualitied but suppressed journalists who are sick and tired of watching people like Anderson Cooper, Don Lemon, Brian Stelter, Jeffrey Toobin etc. get paid big bucks for sloppy reporting, hyperbole, and blatantly partisan reporting. At least one of them is likely to seize the day and go public. A story like this can literally make a career.

This couldn’t come at a worse time because Trump is certain to bring this up in the debate tonight. Once again, I would not be surprised if Joe Biden doesn’t even show up for the debate. He certainly is not about to answer news reporters questions any time soon. Joe did a virtual appearance with Wisconsin TV station WISN 12 on Tuesday and it didn’t go well. You can watch it yourself. Joe was obviously expecting all soft ball questions, but then she went there and then with one last question, dropped the bomb:

“Wisconsin’s Republican Senator Ron Johnson, put out a statement on Homeland Security letterhead saying Hunter Biden, together with other Biden family members, profited off the Biden name. Is there any legitimacy to Senator Johnson’s claims?

 None whatsoever. This is the same garbage Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s henchman. It’s the last-ditch effort in this desperate campaign to smear me and my family. Even the man who served with him on that committee, the former nominee for the Republican Party, said, There’s no basis to this and you know and all and the vast majority of the intelligence people have come out and said There’s no basis at all. Ron should be ashamed of himself.

Thank you. I appreciate your time.

Thank you.”

https://www.wisn.com/article/one-on-one-with-joe-biden/34431537

The transcript is bad, but the video is much worse. Biden looked frazzled and at times closed his eyes as if searching for an answer. What makes this worse is that the TV reporter asked this in the gentlest way possible and he still couldn’t handle it.

While watching this it is clear that Joe was absolutely expecting all of the questions, except the last one, and was reading his response from a Teleprompter. When he was hit with a question he didn’t expect, he was clearly rattled. In addition, he never said those e-mails were not legitimate. He just called this a smear campaign.

This is about to turn into Mount Gushmore with an explosive display likely to reach volcanic proportions.

TDM

HOLD YOUR BREATH

The news media in this country has reached an all-time low. For a long time, the bias in the MSM has been all too obvious. Ninety Two percent of the coverage is negative about Donald Trump, although to me it seems higher than that. But at least they pretended to report the news. Now we have the MSM unified in not reporting what is beyond obvious.  It is shocking and embarrassing to see news outlet report that the Hunter Biden emails are possibly a Russian disinformation scheme. That is so mind-numbingly stupid that it is hard to believe any responsible adult would repeat it. Then I remember aht people like Anderson Cooper and Don Lemon still have jobs. The sad reality is that no responsible adult would repeat this idiot theory, but the MSM doesn’t have any responsible adults.

What makes this worse is the seriousness of the situation. Those emails are evidence of systemic corruption by the former VP and current Democratic nominee for President of the United States. How could any news organization on this planet fail to realize the urgent need to report on this? Frankly, even Joe Biden would benefit from honest reporting. The worse case scenario for him and the country is that this all comes out after he has won the election. Talk about the ultimate constitutional crisis.

The story is remarkable simple and incredibly believable. Hunter Biden left a laptop at a repair shop, and never bothered to pick it up. After it was abandoned, the repair man looked at what was on the laptop and was horrified. He contacted the FBI. This was late last year. The FBI ignored it, then showed up a couple of weeks later with a subpoena. Then, it appears, they did nothing. But the repair man had made a copy of the hard drive. He was so upset that the FBI was doing nothing, that he contacted some Republican congressmen. They did nothing either. Finally, in desperation, he contacted the lawyer for Rudy Giuliani. Giuliani knew what to do. He turned over a copy of the hard drive to the New York Post and they ran a story on what they found. The New York Post is the oldest newspaper in the U.S., and this should have made the story impossible to ignore. Does anyone really believe the Russians are remotely capable of pulling this off?

But we underestimated the integrity of the MSM. They are absolutely refusing to run with the story at all. Instead they are dismissing this as Russian misinformation, with absolutely zero evidence. Not only is there zero evidence of Russian disinformation, but the theory also itself is beyond absurd. It would be more credible to blame this on Martians, the Loch Ness Monster or Big Foot. But they wanted to believe, so they did and incredibly they reported utter nonsense to avoid reporting on what was on those tapes.

This will go down as one of the greatest scandals in American history. The question is not whether but when the MSM will figure that out. History will not be kind to the MSM of today. I strongly believe that even the MSM knows this story is true and that it is important. Sadly, they don’t care. They hate Donald Trump so much that they would rather see a 77-year-old senile incompetent crook elected President rather than seem Donald Trump re-elected. They want to run out the clock, in a desperate hope that somehow Biden can still pull this off.

I don’t think this will work. I pray this will not work. It is nauseating to imagine what this country will look like if voters make this mistake. For the first time in my life, I literally think our freedom and democracy is at stake. I was horrified when Clinton was elected, and he lived down to my expectations. I was shocked when Barack Obama was elected, and he also was exactly as bad as I feared.  But this time it is different. This time if Biden is elected, I fear the country can never recover. The radical left of the Democratic Party is desperate to obtain absolute power and they have demonstrated total disregard for democracy or freedom of expression.  As Lindsey Graham said during the Kavanaugh hearings, they are beyond desperate for power and heaven help us if they achieve it.

The good news is that they may not win this election. So far, early voting favors Republicans. It is Trump who is drawing enormous crowds, and Biden who can’t fill a phone booth. It would be naïve to think that those who will wait 9 hours in a freezing rain to catch a glimpse of his shadow will not turn out to vote. It would be even more naïve to think that those who won’t cross the street to hear Biden are desperate to vote. They hate Trump enough, but hatred is not necessary enough motivation.

We all need to make sure we vote and spend a lot of time in prayer. If Biden wins this election, we all lose. But other than the notoriously inaccurate media polls, which have been wrong on every election in this century, there is no evidence Biden will win. The massive mail-in voting does not appear to be achieving the desired goal of helping Democrats steal this election. There is zero credible evidence that Biden is close to winning.

We will soon know. I frankly think the Hunter Biden email story is about to go nuclear in the MSM because it is increasingly difficult to ignore. I call this the NBA syndrome. The idiots running the NBA went all in on Black Live Matter and Lebron James. That was a huge mistake. The viewership of the NBA finals was down 70%. These people may be hopelessly prejudiced, but they are not actually stupid. Greedy yes, but stupid, no. If no one watches and no one goes to games, they can’t possibly make money. Ultimately, that is all they really care about. The NBA has already announced that the social justice nonsense will not be on display next year. Wise decision, but likely too late to matter.

So, while you are sitting there, watching this in utter disbelief and horror, remember one thing. The best way to judge how people are really responding to anything is how they act. All over the country people are showing up in spontaneous Trump rallies. Have you seen any spontaneous Biden rallies. I rest my case.

So far, early voting shows Republicans showing up in droves. Yes, people are social distancing and wearing masks, but they are sick and tired of this crap. The minute restrictions are lifted, people are showing up in-mass to go out to bars and restaurants. They are voting with their feet and November 3; they are very likely to vote for real. I suspect that Trump is going to win re-election by a margin that will shock the world. Everything, other than the notorious MSM polls points in the same direction. The only thing we must fear is fear itself. Fear that the American people really are this stupid. But each of you know the American people and while there are some people exactly this stupid, thankfully they are in the minority. This will soon be over. Until then, just hold your breath, but when you can breathe again, I predict will be will with an enormous sigh of relief.

TDM

SWAMP GAS!

The emails produced by the Hunter Biden laptop are beyond explosive. There are a game changer and everyone who supports Biden knows that. You also know that by the way they are responding. Other than Fox News, the MSM appears to be ignoring this. CNN didn’t even acknowledge the New York Post report. Twitter and Facebook have blocked anyone from spreading this. They are desperate to squelch this story, which is evidence they know how damaging this is to the Biden-Harris campaign.

It appears that Hunter Biden took a laptop in for repair and never picked it up. The owner of the repair shop was very concerned by what he was seeing. Apparently, there are over 40,000 emails on that, along with some graphic videos of Hunter Biden. He turned it into the FBI last November. They did an evaluation of the laptop and then returned to confiscate it. But he had made a copy of the hard drive. He was concerned because no one seemed to be doing anything, so he contacted several members of congress. They didn’t do anything either. Then, in September, he contacted Rudy Giuliani’s attorney. Giuliani gave it to the New York Post which ran a major story on this. In addition, Giuliani has obviously turned over copies of those emails to other people, probably including Fox News.

https://nypost.com/2020/10/14/email-reveals-how-hunter-biden-introduced-ukrainian-biz-man-to-dad/

 

https://nypost.com/2020/10/15/emails-reveal-how-hunter-biden-tried-to-cash-in-big-with-chinese-firm/

If you search for this article on Bing, you will only find articles trying to discredit this. Google, however, will take you to the articles. This has been blocked from being shared on Facebook and on Twitter. A lot of people are desperate to discredit this report. The following is from Business Insider.

https://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-new-york-post-hunter-biden-shared-thousands-after-restrictions-2020-10

Note how they say this story had dubious allegations about Joe Biden’s son. They question the source. But so far no one has denied that those emails are legitimate. The Biden campaign did say that the Ukrainian meeting was not on Biden’s official schedule. This is a non-denial denial which may mean the meeting did take place. One big problem is that this is very consistent with reporting from a lot of other sources. Rather than being a new poorly sourced conspiracy theory, this may just be smoking gun evidence supporting information received from other sources. Incredibly, the President of the United States was literally impeached by Democrats in the House because he dared ask about this story during a phone call with the President of Ukraine.

There is also the famous video where Biden brags about forcing Ukraine to fire a prosecutor or they wouldn’t get the $1 billion in U.S. aid. This story is far from being discredited; the only thing being discredited is the failure of the MSM to report on this.

They are still trying to bury this, but that may not be possible. It had been shared millions of times before Facebook tried to block it. The New York Post was established in 1801 by Alexander Hamilton. It is a Daily Tabloid but is also recognized as a credible source. Even the LA Times admitted that the New York Post article put Twitter and Facebook between a rock and a hard place.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/opinion-the-new-york-post-puts-twit

MSNBC and The La Times try, and fail, to dismiss this as “misinformation.” Of course, their definition of “misinformation” is anything with which they disagree. But this article makes a stunning admission:

As Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) pointedly noted, Facebook and Twitter freely spread links to the BuzzFeed story in 2016 that revealed the contents of a notorious dossier of wild and damaging allegations about then-candidate Donald Trump. The dossier has always seemed sketchy, which is why many news organizations decided not to publish its contents. We have since learned that the primary source for the dossier’s author was someone suspected of being a Russian spy.

This is an admission that the entire Russian collusion story was a hoax, yet it was allowed to spread like wildfire on social media. The hypocrisy is obvious even to MSNBC and the LA Times.

I don’t think there is any chance this story can be suppressed. Trump is likely to talk about it in his Town Hall meeting on NBC tonight. If Joe Biden shows up for his Town Hall meeting on ABC, he may be asked about this. Kamala Harris is already in self-isolation because one of her staff members tested positive for COVID 19. It would not be a reach for Biden to self-isolate for the same reason. He literally wore two face masks at a recent event. If he does show up and asked about this, he is likely to become angry and call this discredited. That would be a huge mistake.

This just may go down as the most explosive October surprise ever. I already believe Trump is on the way to a landslide. This could turn a landslide into an across the board wipe-out of historic proportions. One thing is sure, the Swamp is terrified, and we are about to be inundated with Swamp gas. But sometimes, gas explodes.

TDM

THE BIG LIE

Virtually every Democrat and their supporters in the MSM is arguing that declaring ObamaCare (ACA) unconstitutional would take health insurance away from 180 million people. They all predict that  Amy Coney Barrett (ACB) will be the deciding vote necessary to overturn ACA.

None of this is true. It is a bald-faced lie. If the ACA is overturned, no one will lose health insurance. That is because they are insured by policies that will remain in effect.  In addition, there is an assumption that ACB would be the crucial tie breaking vote. That is absurd. If she is not on the court, there are three options.

  1. ACA will be overturned. In that case it would require a five to three vote, where Judge Roberts would vote to overturn with the support of the conservative judges on the court. If that happens, the ACA is overturned.
  2. It will be a tie vote, where Roberts votes with the liberal judges resulting in a tie. If that happens the decision made by the lower courts takes effect. If that happens, the ACA is overturned.
  3. Some of the conservative judges will join with Roberts to preserve ACA. In that case ACA would continue, probably with some restrictions.

If ACB joins the court and she votes with the majority that just means a 6–3 vs 5-4 decision.  If there is a tie vote, and ACB and concurs with the conservative judges, resulting in a 5-4 decision, which will have the exact same result as scenario 2 above. If ACB joins the liberal judges and Roberts to keep ACA, then the ACA will be upheld.

The result is that if ACB joins the court there is zero chance she will be the deciding vote to overturn ACA. She could, however, be the deciding vote to uphold ACA. In other words, this is not only a big lie, it is incredibly stupid. One would think that at least one Democratic Senator would figure this out or that one major reporter in the mainstream media would get it. However, only Brett Hume from Fox News has pointed out the obvious. Predictably, this is ignored by everyone else.

The result is that for the next 14 days, we will see a massive amount of coverage, trying to terrify people, based on a bald-faced lie that is totally unsupported by any evidence or facts. That, of course, will not stop the usual suspects from arrogantly lecturing the rest of us while either ignoring or failing to acknowledge what is patently obvious. Sadly, this is not only expected, it is increasingly typical.

TDM

 

SHOWTIME

On November 2016 I published a blog titled: “THE REAL POLLING RESULTS.” http://scotshonor.com/?p=3509 . I reached the following conclusion.

“If these numbers are accurate, Hillary only wins if there is a sudden surge of Democratic voters or the Democrats find a way to steal millions of votes. Democrats are very good at winning in big cities where Democratic machines operate things, but they can’t manipulate the whole country.”

Election day 2016 was terrifying. It was hard to be optimistic when there had been so many previous disappointments. On election day, pundits were still giving Hillary a 90% chance of getting elected. One election night the MSM still thought Hillary would win, until it became undeniable that she had lost.

The data I looked at in 2016 was voter turnout between 2008 and 2016. This is well documented. After each election, it is easy to see how many Democrats, Independents and Republicans showed up to vote. It is also easy to see how many blacks and Hispanics voted. In 2008 Democrats, blacks and Hispanics showed up in droves. But for the period from 2008 to 2016 that changed dramatically. In every election, everywhere the turnout was quite different than it was in 2008.

In 2016 the people who turned out for Obama did not turn out for Hillary. I also looked at Gallup voter registration data. By 2016 that had changed dramatically. Then as now, it is was about 30% Democrat, 30% Republican and 40% independent.

Every poll shows Trump winning among independents. So, once again, unless there is a sudden surge of Democratic voters or Democrats find a way to steal millions of votes, Trump coasts to re-election.

A lot of things have changed since 2016, most of which favor Trump. While Hillary drew mediocre crowds in 2016, Trump was drawing enormous crowds. Hillary did draw a huge crowd on November 7, 2016, but that was because that event included performances by Bon Jovi and Bruce Springsteen. In addition, Michelle and Barrack Obama showed up. Otherwise Hillary drew small and relatively unenthusiastic crowds.

This year Biden isn’t drawing any crowds. Mike Pence spoke to about 4,000 people yesterday and that was a bigger attendance than all the Biden rallies, combined. Trump has returned to the campaign trail and he will draw enormous crowds wherever he does. Biden is speaking to an empty room, criticizing Trump for returning to the campaign trail.

No one knows how the massive vote by mail campaign will impact this election. Keep in mind that this varies greatly by state. In California they just mailed a ballot to every registered voter. In many other states, you must request an absentee ballot. Even in California, this may not work out as expected. The reason is because of two things, a bar code and a signature. Previously in California you could just show up and vote and no one checked any ID. In places like Orange County there was literally vote harvesting by well-organized Democrats. This year ballots mailed in are automatically scanned for two things. First, they scan for the bar code. Every ballot has a unique bar code. Then they scan the signature and match the signature on record for that bar code. The computer system has signature recognizing software and will reject signatures that look obviously incorrect.

Where do they find that signature, you may ask? https://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article246338640.html

“The comparison signature could be a person’s driver license signature, or their initial registration application, or any of a handful of other documents over time that voters sign and that are on file, including more recent ballot votes, or the change of address form the voter may have filled out the last time they moved.”

Well, glory be! if you have a real ID drivers’ license, they check that first. If you have a real ID drivers’ license in California, the database knows if you are a U.S. citizen. They check the most recent document. For the first time every vote in California will be documented on a database and the signatures will be matched. It would be naïve to think this only benefits Democrats.

Many are predicting no results on election night. That is certainly possible, we still don’t really know who won the Democratic caucuses in Iowa. There are also elections in New York and New Jersey where the results are still in doubt. Keep in mind that these are Democratic districts, so this is more evidence of incompetence than bias. But a lot of people are going to show up on November 3 and vote in person. Others will vote by mail, but not necessarily for Joe Biden. Even in California results may come in surprisingly fast, because each ballot is counted when it is scanned. It could possibly be faster than in previous elections.

So, we are close to showtime. And all that really matters, is who shows up. My prediction is very simple. The candidate who can draw thousands of people willing to drive long distances to wait outside in long lines just to get a glimpse of his shadow is the candidate most likely to see the same people show up to vote. Likewise, the candidate who shows up to extremely sparse crowds would be naïve to think that secretly millions of people are desperate to vote for him.

Just as in every other election, it is the turnout that matters. The only real question is whether Democrats can steal enough votes to make up the difference. I question whether the same Democrats, famous for mismanagement, are remotely capable of pulling that off, at least not nationally.

TDM