The recall election regarding Governor Gavin Newsom was officially set for yesterday, September 14, 2021. But in reality, the election was decided long before then. As soon as the polls closed, reports started to come in from about 8 million votes that had been submitted before September 14^th. Although there were reports of long lines on election day, in reality this was an exercise in futility. The results were cast in stone before the first voting booths opened yesterday.

Yet, there are still close to 30% of votes that have not been counted. As of 9:00 a.m. ET today, there were 5,840,283 votes against the recall and 3,297,145 for the recall. This was estimated to be 70% of the “expected” vote. The Secretary of State is saying the election won’t be certified for quite some time, perhaps 30 days. The state mailed out over 22 million ballots. This means they are expecting final voter turnout to be about 59% of eligible voters. 46.5% of voters are registered Democrats, 24.1 % are Republicans and 23.3% are “decline to state.” This means there are about 10 million people registered as Democrats, about 5 million registered as Republicans and another 5 million independents. So far, the vote against the recall is officially just under 6 million votes, or about 60% of registered Democrats. The yes vote is 3,297,145, which is about 32% of the Republicans and Independents. This means either a lot of Republicans and Independents voted against the recall, or something is really wrong. This should be obvious to anyone paying attention, but odds are no one in the MSM will even notice. There is a big difference between having wide-spread public support and creating the illusion of wide-spread public support.

The only thing clear is that this is a pathetic way to run an election. In some cases, the state even allowed people to print their own ballots. Some call it a recipe for fraud, and that seems accurate, but honest or not it is definitely a recipe for incompetence. This is the same government that paid millions in EDD benefits to people literally in prison.

However, Democrats may have made a huge mistake by defeating the recall. If Newsom had been recalled and replaced by Elder, the results for the average citizen would be about the same. Taxes would still be high and Elder would be powerless to change that. Gas prices would still skyrocket, and he couldn’t change that either. The homeless problem would not go away. Inflation would not go away. Elder would have faced a hostile Democratic legislature that would have made it difficult for him to accomplish anything. He would have been inundated with lawsuits. The MSM would have attacked him relentlessly. If you doubt that, remember they literally accused him of being a racist, because he is black but not liberal.

Democrats have successfully beat the recall, they are in total control. They won. That sounds great until you realize they also own the results, and the results are guaranteed to be bad. This is exactly how socialists have gained and lost power everywhere in the world this has been tried. It will happen again, right here, in Blue California. Yes, it will be bad, but Democrats will own it. The only way socialists remain in power is through the exercise of brute force, like in Venezuela. Here, fortunately, the military and the police will not go along with that. While Democrats are singing “Happy Days Are Here Again” the opposite is true. No one is going to be happy about the huge mess they are creating. They have reached their peak and the only possible direction available to them is down. Way down.

TDM

Today is election day.  Many are convinced that Gavin Newsom will cruise to victory in the recall election. They could be right. It is hard to ignore the very real potential for fraud. But they may be missing something very important. Newsom was elected in 2018, when there was no Presidential election. The choice was between Newsom and Cox. If you recall, 2018 was a horrible election for Republicans in California. Democrats won 7 congressional races where incumbent Republicans were replaced by Democrats. Some will recall that Democrats were openly harvesting ballots in Orange County. But in the 2020 election, even though Trump got very little support in California, Republicans took back 4 congressional seats. The point being that the 2020 election was very different than the 2018 election, which Gavin Newsom won by a landslide.

One of the reasons Republicans won in 2020 is that Democrats were pushing the lockdowns and Republicans were against them. Another factor, which is being ignored, is that some Democratic areas have far fewer registered voters than in prior years. In 2019, for the first time in 20 years, Los Angeles County had to clean its voter rolls. Do not underestimate this. According to Real Clear Politics, California is in the process of removing 5 million inactive voters:

Calif. Begins Removing 5 Million Inactive Voters on Its Rolls | RealClearPolitics

Over 1.6 million voters were removed in Los Angeles County alone. Another issue is the fact that California Drivers licenses have changed. It is estimated that up to 5.7 million drivers’ licenses were not real IDs. Secretary of State Padilla had to agree to update California’s National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) manual. In California, you must be a U.S. Citizen and a resident of California. For the first time, voter records are reconciled with drivers’ license records and in California, for the first time, drivers’ license records verify citizenship. While there are still a lot of people out there who do not have drivers’ licenses that are real IDs and this was extended because of COVID, there is at least a data base that can be used to reconcile people who received ballots and people who are legally registered to vote. This means the voter rolls in California today may be remarkably different than they were in 2018 and they have also changed since 2020.

Just before the 2016 election, I wrote that if voter turnout in 2016 was more like the midterm election in 2014 than when Obama won in 2008, that Trump had a chance to win the election. At the time every major political pundit was expecting Hillary Clinton to coast to election. She had purchased a massive fireworks presentation to celebrate her victory. Even on election night, all the major networks were expecting Hillary to win, until it became obvious that she had lost.

Since that election there has been massive vote by mail and few honest observers would consider the 2020 election to be above reproach. This election is also about mail in ballots, but there have been changes. This time people can vote in person, again, and many may choose to do that. In addition, every ballot drop box is monitored by TV cameras. There is obviously still a potential for massive fraud, but it is at least arguably harder in 2021 than it was in 2020. And the results in 2020, regarding congressional races, was very different than the 2018 election.

Every political pundit, including conservative pundits, expect Newsom to defeat the recall. But if messaging matters, and it sure did in 2018, they could be wrong. The real question is how many people want mandatory vaccinations and mask requirements. Before you assume anything about this, consider the following. There are numerous reports of police and other first responders resigning in mass because of vaccine mandates. Some hospitals have reported high numbers of health care workers quitting because of vaccine requirements. So, while 80%, according to Newsom, of Californians have been vaccinated, the remaining 20% may be very hard to convince. That is why Newsom is making vaccines mandatory, if he does not do that, a lot of people will just say no. If the reports across the country and any indication, many will still say no, even if it means they are unemployed as a result of that decision.

My guess is that close to 100% of the anti-vax crowd will vote to recall Newsom. The question is whether this will be enough to tip the scales. Don’t assume that everyone who is opposed to mandatory vaccinations is a Republican. We will know, possibly as early as tonight. In 2020, no one expected Trump to lose California by a massive margin, yet Republicans gained four house seats. Expect the unexpected. We will soon know for whom the toll bells.

TDM

The California recall election is tomorrow, September 14, 2021, sorta. That is the date on the Calendar, but since every single registered voter in California got a printed ballot and a return envelope, a lot of people have already voted. If you want to vote in person, you can do that. But no one is going to bother checking any ID. That is irrelevant in California.

What to Bring to Your Polling Place :: California Secretary of State

“In most cases, a California voter is not required to show identification to a polling place worker before casting a ballot.”

California is all in on vote by mail. Both Democrats and Republicans have previous referred to vote by mail as a recipe for fraud, because it is a recipe for fraud. In California vote harvesting is allowed, which means you can turn in a ballot for someone else. Nice! This is illegal in most states for a reason. Not here.

This is the reason most pundits predict Gavin Newsom will win. But he isn’t acting like someone who expects to win. He has Joe Biden campaigning for him. That is an act of pure desperation. I don’t recall seeing a single ad praising Gov. Newsom, other than Barack Obama saying he kept us safe from COVID. Many commercials warn against the Republican recall and literally say people will die if we remove Newsom and replace him with an anti-vax Trump Republican. For the record, the Republican candidates appear to have been vaccinated and all encourage vaccination. They just don’t want to make vaccinations mandatory.

People are assuming that because there are so many more Democrats than Republicans in California that higher voter turnout means Newsom wins. The theory is that Newsom will only lose if Democrats stay home, and Republicans turn out in force. That is one of the reasons Democrats are all in on vote by mail, it is easier for lazy people to vote. If more people vote, they win. Or, at least they think they win.

But not all Democrats may be buying the mandatory vaccination strategy. They also may not be buying the masking school children hysteria. In other countries, including the UK, kids have been going to school, without masks and without vaccines. You just don’t know that because no one is the MSM dares report that. Instead, we are inundated with people telling us masks work. They save lives. If you only watch the MSM or read newspapers, you probably believe that. But last Saturday and Sunday people showed up in mass for college football games and NFL games and few of them were wearing masks. No one was social distancing. If masks really work, then COVID cases should skyrocket over the next two weeks. If that doesn’t happen, then it is going to be nearly impossible to sell this myth much longer. They sometimes say people vote with their wallet or their feet, last weekend they just may have voted by screaming and yelling at football games.

It will be interesting to see how Hispanics and African Americans vote on the recall. A lot of people who are resisting vaccinations are from these two demographics. They don’t trust the government. Hospital workers and first responders are also pushing back against the vaccine. So are union workers. The questions is how that will impact the way they vote during the recall. It would be foolish to think this will have no impact.

Most people think Newsom wins big and people living here, used to prior elections, expect that result. But if this is even close, that changes everything. Newsom not only needs to win, but he also needs to win big. Watch the reports tomorrow night. If there are very few reports, it will be because Newsom is under performing. If he is way ahead, they will tell us that almost immediately. If they say we won’t know the results for several days, it will be a very bad sign. If, by some miracle, Newsom is behind in the initial reports, expect the counting to continue until the last possible moment as Democrats search for more votes.

So, it would be foolish to have high hopes, but things have changed. Democrats expect to get 75% of the Hispanic vote and 90% of the African American vote. As Joe Biden said, if someone doesn’t vote for him, they aren’t black. This is the same theory that resulted in people campaigning for Newsom calling Larry Elder, who is definitely black, the face of white supremacy. Perhaps I am wrong, but I suspect more than a few Hispanics and African Americans are sick and tired of being taken for granted. When you combine that with being forced to take a vaccine they don’t want, this can be beyond explosive.

If Newsom wins, he loses anyway. If he backs off on the mandatory vaccines and school masking, he will prove himself the ultimate hypocrite. But if he doesn’t, he is up for election again in about a year, and the Republicans will be a lot better prepared to take him on. Think about this. If he wins, because of obvious fraud, then a majority of legal voters rejected his plan of action. He better realize that, or he will be in serious jeopardy. One thing is certain, the least likely thing is if Newsom does the right thing for the right reason. He won’t even consider doing that. Any decision he makes will be based solely on politics.

If he loses, it will send shockwaves across the country and the world. The bottom line is that while I do not know who will win the recall election it do know that the big loser will ultimately be Gavin Newsom. The MSM will never admit that. Neither will the DNC. But secretly they all know this is true. Newsom may or may not continue as governor, but his dreams of being President of the United States are going up in smoke faster than the forests in California. I think Newsom knows that too, which is why we may see a very bitter and angry man tomorrow night, regardless of the reported outcome.

TDM

In 1818 a treaty between the United States and the United Kingdom arranged for joint control over the Oregon Territory. It was no surprise that the vast majority of people who actually settled there were from the U.S. In 1844, James Polk, a real dark horse, ran for President and defeated Henry Clay with the slogan “54 40 or fight.” Eventually the United Kingdom reluctantly agreed to accept the 49^th parallel. In case you are interested, here is a map showing the 54 40 U.S. claim and the current border.

Polk got four things done as President that really matter. He did settle the boundary dispute with Great Britain. He did reduce the tariff between the north and the south. He did propose restructuring the U.S. Treasury and most significantly he acquired California from Mexico.

Polk was responsible for the Mexican American War which resulted in the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo. Mexico lost close to one third of its territory and the United States took control of California, Utah, Nevada, Arizona, and New Mexico. In addition, this treaty was signed just before Gold was discovered in California. Whether one considers Polk to be a greedy imperialist or a gifted leader, it is hard to imagine the United States without the territory gained as a result of the Mexican American War.

Today we have another 54 40 fight on our hands, but it has nothing to do with any border. It is rather regarding the election to recall Gavin Newsom. Most polls show that 54% of Republicans are totally engaged to get rid of Newsom, while 40% of Democrats are energized to keep him. The issue will be decided on September 14, 2021. If 54% of Republicans vote and only 40% of Democrats vote, Newsom is toast. The margin would be too great for the traditional ballot harvesting and fraudulent votes to overcome.

The polls show this to be close, and Newsom is looking and acting terrified. There is a desperate attempt to scare people into voting for him, claiming that vaccine and mask mandates are necessary for our survival. Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Amy Klobuchar, and Kamala Harris have all campaigned for Newsom. All have argued that recalling Newsom is akin to committing suicide.

The personal assaults against the top Republican, Larry Elder, have been way over the top. A woman, wearing a monkey face threw an egg at him. Imagine that being done to a black Democrat running for office. The MSM would have gone hysterical. When it happened to Larry Elder, they just ignored it. He has even been called the black face of white supremacy.

What is astonishing is that no one, including Newsom, is even pretending he is doing a good job. They have chosen to fight this battle solely on saving us from COVID and right-wing Trump Republicans. I am not sure that is going to work. We better pray this does not work. If other Republicans and independents see those commercials the same why I see them, Newsom is making a huge mistake. They are insulting and infuriating. They are making blatantly false accusations against Elder, mostly that he is an Anti-Vax, Trump Republican. Elder actually is vaccinated and supports vaccination, he just is against mandatory vaccinations.

The ads are saying that Newsom will require vaccines for all teachers and health care workers, and he will demand students wear masks in school. Perhaps I am wrong, but this seems like an insane argument. Some of the strongest voices against mandatory vaccines are health care workers. School Boards all across this state are facing loud and angry protests against mandatory mask mandates for schools. It is obvious that Newsom is more terrified of the California Teachers Association union than he is of the citizens living here. If the Newsom strategy works, we are in for a very tough year. He is likely to double down on the insanity, convinced he has a mandate to micromanage COVID. But, if he loses, it will send shockwaves across the political landscape. Those shock waves will go far beyond California, they will spread across the country and potentially the globe. This is literally coming down to a choice between being governed solely by irrational fear based on continually evolving and questionable science or a return to normalcy.

The bottom line is that if Republicans do not come out in force with a 54/40 turnout advantage, we are going to be fighting Gavin Newsom for the next 18 months. It will be a fight that no one, on either side, can possibly win.

54 40 or fight. Sounds like history is repeating itself, again.

TDM

On September 2, 2021, an article was published by Greenwichtime.

Study: Warmer Arctic led to killer cold in Texas, much of US (greenwichtime.com)

I read this and laughed out loud.  Read the following conclusion by Seth Borenstein, AP Science Writer:

Warming of the Arctic caused by climate change has increased the number of polar vortex outbreaks, when frigid air from the far north bathes the central and eastern United States in killer cold, a study finds.

The study in the journal Science Thursday is the first to show the connections between changes in the polar region and February’s Valentine’s Week freeze that triggered widespread power outages in Texas, killing more than 170 people and causing at least $20 billion in damage.

One of the advantages of blaming everything on climate change is that anything that happens confirms the theory. But in this case, Mr. Borenstein would have been wise to wait, say, one week. Because the following chart was just published by NOAA shows that arctic ice has actually increased substantially over last year. The reason this is happening is that the Arctic is not actually getting warmer, it is getting colder.

Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis | Sea ice data updated daily with one-day lag (nsidc.org)

He didn’t even need to wait for the Arctic Ice analysis. Last week KTLA produced a report saying NOAA predicts 70% chance of a La Nina Winter.

NOAA predicts 70% chance of La Niña winter: Here’s what that means for drought-stricken SoCal | KTLA

What  does La Niña? A La Niña is “a cooling of the water in the equatorial Pacific, which occurs at irregular intervals, and is associated with widespread changes in weather patterns.

Wait, “cooling of the water.” What the heck” Just recently we were told that hurricanes would be much stronger in the future because the water is so much warmer. The only real question is whether these climate change alarmists are lying to us, or they are just this stupid. I personally think it is a lethal combination of both.

The following graph shows what to expect from a La Niña.

While this is a pretty fair assessment, things can change dramatically with some minor changes. For example if the Jet Stream moves just a little south, that “Wetter” area could include much of Northern California. While that nice blocking high pressure circle does usually happen, it is not automatic.

Now I am not a prophet, so I predict nothing other than this: “no matter what happens, it will be based on ‘climate change,‘ and will always mean ‘global warming‘ even when there is no global warming.” I also predict that, as always, the vast majority of predictions based on a lack of facts and any attempt at objectivity will be wrong, by a huge margin.

In other words, it is certain to be ICY HOT. Don’t sell your raincoat or umbrella. Definitely consider buying flood insurance if you are in or near a flood zone.

TDM

Remember how the media covered the Presidency when Donald Trump was in office. Every night we were reminded that Trump was the worst liar in the history of the U.S. President. He told so many outrageous lies on a daily basis that they lost count. So, what were the worst lies told by Donald Trump.

The 15 most notable lies of Donald Trump’s presidency – CNNPolitics

Trying to pick the most notable lies from Donald Trump’s presidency is like trying to pick the most notable pieces of junk from the town dump.

So ,there must be a lot of really big whoppers, right?

Daniel Dale can tell you:  “But I’m qualified for the dirty job. I fact checked every word uttered by this President from his inauguration day in January 2017 until September 2020 — when the daily number of lies got so unmanageably high that I had to start taking a pass on some of his remarks to preserve my health.”

So, according to this scholar, who researched every word spoken or written by Donald Trump since the day he was inaugurated, here are the top 15 lies:

The most telling lie: It didn’t rain on his inauguration

The most dangerous lie: The coronavirus was under control

The most alarming lie saga: Sharpiegate

The uglies smear lie: Rep. Ihan Omar supports al Qaeda

The most boring serial lie; The trade deficit with China used to be $500 billion

The most entertaining shtick: The burly crying men who had never cried before

The most traditional big lie: Trump didn’t know about the payment to Stormy Daniels

The biggest lie by omission: Trump ended family separation

The most shame campaign lie: Biden will destroy protections for pre-existing conditions

The lie he fled: He got Veterans Choice

The Crazy Uncle lie award: Windmill noise causes cancer

The most hucksterish lie: that plan was coming in two weeks

My personal favorite lie: Trump was once named Michigan man of the year

The most depressing lie: Trump won the election

Judge for yourself. The same man said that yes, Biden occasional exaggerated, but they were not serious lies, like those told by Trump.

I had originally posted a list of Joe Biden’s lies, but the result was a blog that was far too long to read. There are a lot more than fifteen. Biden has a life long history of claiming false accomplishments. It is hard to pick a favorite, but the following one definitely belongs on the list:

“But I played when the first – the second congressional baseball game at the old stadium, the old Washington stadium. And I hit one off the right-centerfield wall. I think it’s 368 or – I don’t know what is exactly now – but off the wall. And I’m rounding – anyway, to make a long story short, my kids remember that all the rest.

Biden never even played a game in that the old RFK stadium and he went 0 for 2 during the game in which he did play, at another stadium. Of course this was long ago, in August, 2021.

Many of Biden’s lies, before coming President, were mostly amusing. Few people bought this nonsense. But now, when it really matters, he continues to lie and this time it is really important.

I once knew an attorney who had been retained to represent a doctor sued of malpractice. When I saw him he was down in the dumps, very depressed. I asked him what was wrong? He told me he absolutely hated his client. It turned out his client had cut the wrong leg off a 13-year-old girl with cancer. The doctor’s argument was that the operation was actually a success, they just cut the wrong leg off.

I wonder if that is where Joe got the inspiration for his recent series of victory appearances, trying and failing to spin the debacle in Afghanistan as an incredible success. Democrats like to claim that the big lie is that Trump won the election. Right now a lot of people, including Democrats, wish that was actually true. The really big and important lie is that Joe Biden is remotely capable of being President of the United States.

TDM

I believe pro-choice Democrats may be making an enormous mistake. They were so anxious to rip the Texas law forbidding abortions at six weeks, that they missed something really big. Up until now, pro-choice Democrats have been pushing the big lie, that abortion is only about a woman’s right to choose, about reproductive rights. Nothing else matters. In trying to sell this, they deliberately misrepresented the science and pretended the fetus was not actually a human being, until it was born alive. Then they even stretched that to justify late-term abortions where babies are sometimes born alive and then murdered. They ignored the evil practice of Planned Parenthood buying and selling body parts from aborted fetuses. They got away with this because the MSM was more than happy to go along with the narrative and pretend there was something scientific about this nonsense. As a result, many people gave little or no consideration to the scientific fact that a fetus is a real live human being. That is why this case is so important. It is a reminder that even as early as six weeks, a fetus has its own heartbeat.

Think about this. In the vast majority of cases, the time of death is considered to be the moment the heart stops beating. The heartbeat is the most important symbol of our humanity. That is one reason there are so many songs about a beating heart. Here as just a few:

Beat of My Heart

Every Beat of My Heart

Heart of my Beat

The Beat of My Heart (Is for you)

Kelly Clarkston’s hit “Heartbeat Song” includes a recording of her daughter River’s heartbeat, record while she was still in the womb.

When Jen Psaki arrogantly shut down a male reporter for daring to ask an obvious question about the obvious conflict between Joe Biden’s alleged catholic faith and his pro-abortion stance, she made this impossible to ignore. While Democrats will predictably focus on the extremely small number of cases, like rape and incest, where one could at least argue that abortion is possibly the lesser of two evils, a lot of people will be stunned at the scientific fact that, yes, a baby does have its own heartbeat as early as six weeks into the pregnancy.  Ms. Psaki would also be wise to consider that some of the strongest voices in the pro-life movement are women. Women who have been pregnant often consider the child they have borne or are bearing to be a gift of God.

While the predictable voices are huffing and puffing about the Texas law prohibiting abortions, they just may have changed this topic forever. The more people learn about fetal development, the more likely that are to become pro-life. Even those who consider themselves to be pro-choice, seldom believe that abortion should be acceptable and even good under any circumstances.

Hundreds of pregnant women and new mothers have been accused of child abuse or other crimes if they used illegal substances while pregnant. This varies significantly by state. If a child is born alive, and abandoned by the mother, that is almost always a crime. If you kill a pregnant woman, you are likely to be charged with two murders, not just one. Scot Peterson can tell you all about that. Yet, in most states, it is perfectly legal to kill that same baby if it is done through abortion. It has always been intellectually indefensible to treat the same unborn child completely differently if the child dies as the result of an abortion or from any other cause. A child either has independent rights, as a living human being, or it does not. If abortion is to be justified that should be after recognition that abortion, like murder, is the killing of a living human being. There is nothing scientific about pretending that a fetus with its own heartbeat is not a living being.

One of the first rules passed in any society is about when it is and is not acceptable to kill someone. If someone is trying to kill you, you have the right to defend yourself. That has been true in almost every culture since the beginning of time. That is why the term “justifiable homicide” exists in our laws. It is still a homicide, which is always bad, but there are times when it is considered justifiable, such as in self-defense.

Incredibly the pro-choice movement frequently accuses the pro-life crowd of being hypocrites if they are in favor of the death penalty. I have always found that logic to be astonishingly bad and often wonder why no one in the MSM ever calls them out on this. It is easy to reconcile the belief that all life is sacred while having a legal standard for killing someone when the circumstances justify it. In both cases the value of the life is recognized.

I personally do not like the death penalty for several reasons. One is that there is a history of it being applied more often to black defendants than white defendants. That is indefensible. In addition, with the development of DNA, there is proof that at least some people were sentenced to death for crimes they did not commit. In addition, sometimes sentencing someone to death actually rewards them. They get years of free legal defense, often paid by taxpayers. They get a lot of undeserved publicity and even more undeserved sympathy from those more focused on the death penalty than the crime which triggered the sentence. It often takes years to carry out a death sentence and a lot of people on death row die of old age. I would rather see people sentenced quickly to life without the possibility of parole. In some cases that may be a sentence worse than death.

In any event, I really think pro-choice Democrats have made an enormous mistake. The Texas law may or may not survive the ultimate Supreme Court challenge, but it has already reminded people of something the pro-choice people want everyone to ignore. The beat of a heart is really important.

TDM

The story is told that all the animals left the Ark after Noah opened the doors. But later he found a tiny snake, hiding inside the Ark, afraid to venture out into the brave new world. “What is the matter” asked Noah. The snake replied: “You told us to be fruitful and multiply, but I’m an adder.”  Today we are seeing a lot of things that are not adding up, particularly regarding COVID. Consider the following “facts” widely reported:

Millions of people have already had COVID. I saw one estimate that half the population may have had COVID.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

There have been 39,279,057 cases in the U.S. Everyone agrees the actual number is higher because this only counts people who tested positive. A lot of people have had COVID who did not get sick. There have been 638,689 deaths from COVID. There are numerous reports that this may be overstated because it did not differentiate from people who died “with” COVID from people who died “from” COVID.

But let’s assume both numbers are accurate. The same report states that 174,660,017 or 52.6% of the population has been fully vaccinated, or about 61.5% of people over age 12 and 81.8%of people over age 65.

Now if you add 39,279,057 to 174,660,017 you get 213,935,074 people which is 64% of the entire population. When you add in the obvious assumption that a lot of people had COVID and never got tested, you start rapidly running out of people capable of getting the disease. So one has to ask why all these new cases, especially among vaccinated people and school age children? Perhaps the answer is that COVID tests being used are not accurate. That while they do a fairly good job of finding COVID, they also do a good job of finding other diseases. There are numerous scientific journals documenting this. There is also good ole common sense. There are documented cases of people who tested positive for COVID, had what they considered to be COVID symptoms, and then found out that they never had COVID at all. There are also professional athletes who tested positive on Monday and took the field again on Wednesday after passing two COVID tests. These are either indicative of a miracle cure or a false positive.

Isn’t it convenient, for the vaccine and mask crowd, that there is this sudden surge in COVID cases? Why the sudden increase in people, including vaccinated people, testing “positive” for COVID. The only sure way to determine if they, or anyone else, really had COVID would be to test for antibodies. But the CDC does not encourage testing for antibodies, because then people who have antibodies can argue against getting vaccinated. This is true even though there are very credible peer reviewed studies proving that people with COVID antibodies are far less likely to get COVID than someone who is vaccinated.

The bottom line is there are a lot of people absolutely desperate to keep the pandemic going, especially in places like Florida and Texas. Keep in mind that people who would consider literally stealing a Federal Election for President would hardly hesitate to fudge a few numbers regarding COVID. I am close to the point where it is impossible to take the CDC reporting seriously.

We will soon know. The recall election for Gavin Newsom is on September 14^th, 2021. I am sure Democrats are desperately trying to steal enough votes to carry the day, but that may not be enough. It is increasingly obvious that Newsom is terrified. He is looking and acting like someone who is in serious political jeopardy.  The DNC has doubled down on COVID and is saying we need to keep Newsom because we need mask mandates and vaccine mandates, particularly for our school age children. There are already a lot of anecdotal cases about school age children becoming seriously ill with COVID. The Delta Variant is always named. But they aren’t even testing for the Delta Variant in most cases because that is expensive and only a few labs can even do this kind of test.  We know what they are trying to tell us, the question is how many people are buying it. My hunch is a lot less than you think, because of the people showing up at school boards protesting mask and vaccine requirements.

Now before you assume that a majority of people are sheep willing to take the jab and still wear masks, there is increasing evidence of a nationwide backlash. A judge in Illinois removed custody from a mother because she refused to be vaccinated. The outcry was so severe that he reversed himself and then recused himself from the case:

Judge Shapiro recused himself from the case on Tuesday after public backlash.

“Although I believe I can be fair and impartial, the Canons of Judicial Ethics speak to the perception of fairness and impartiality as well as fairness and impartiality itself,” Cook County Judge James Shapiro said in a statement, according to the Chicago Sun-Times.

“Public perception may be that I can’t be fair and impartial. Therefore, I am going to recuse myself from further proceedings in this case,” he continued.

One thing is certain, if Newsom gets recalled, it will go off like a nuclear bomb. If Larry Elder gets elected, he has promised to end vaccine and mask mandates immediately. The real question here is how many people want vaccine and mask mandates and how many people are sick of this. I never predict the results of any California election because of the obvious potential for systemic fraud, so it is a wait and see moment.

A lot of people are making decisions and forming opinions based on data that is either non-existent or highly misleading. If you are in Sacramento County, a lot of people are wearing masks again. But some people are not wearing masks and most businesses are not even trying to enforce this. If you go to El Dorado County, then almost no one is wearing a mask. Are people really buying this and anxiously wearing masks, or are they using those masks to hide the frowns?

By the way, two key member of the FDA just resigned in protest. We know there are a lot of doctors out there, from very credible organizations, who are not in tune with the CDC actions. These may not be the last resignations. When you combine that with the blatant lies told by the Biden administration and the gross incompetence regarding our exit from Afghanistan, a perfect political storm may be on the horizon.

If Newsom is not recalled this nonsense may go on for a while but we are nearer the end than we are the beginning. At best, Newsom will have to run to re-election next year. A whole lot of people are up for election in 2022 and unless something changes it is going to be a very rough ride for Democrats. So, when you consider the very real possibility of President Kamala Harris, imagine her dealing with a Republican controlled House and Senate. While Republicans have a knack for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, the math is simply not adding up. Democrats are hiding and not only are they unlikely to multiply, but they may not even qualify as an adder.

TDM

I just watched the speech by Joe Biden, and it was stunningly awful. I tried to put this in perspective but cannot think of a single event that even begins to compare with this. Biden is literally bragging about the results, ignoring the obvious fact that this was an unmitigated disaster. One problem is that, as usual, he is clearly reading from a TelePrompter. The only discernable emotion was when he became angry at the thought that people were criticizing him.

He desperately is trying to throw Trump under the bus. But he admitted that he made the decision, in April, to leave on August 31, 2021. He then went into great lengths to blame everyone else, including some of the people currently stranded in Afghanistan. At the same time, he is bragging that the Taliban is saying people who want to leave can have safe passage, he says he cannot trust the Taliban. He is actually admitting this is all his fault because he admitted that the Taliban had agreed to just let us leave, peacefully, on May 31^st. Anyone remotely familiar with Afghanistan knows that the area controlled by the Taliban was very limited in May 2021. If we had left on May 31, 2021, odds are most people could have walked safely to the Kabul Airport. During the period from May to August the Taliban completely overran the government and took almost total control of Afghanistan, something Joe Biden kept telling us could never happen. In addition we now know that the Taliban offered to let us keep control of Kabul, but Biden said no, we only need control of the airport. Unbelievable!

I doubt that anyone is buying this feeble attempt to paint this as a success story. But what they will see if the face of the person who owns this disaster. It is often said that there is no bigger fool then someone who acts as his own lawyer. Joe Biden just gave a case study in why that is true. Even those still celebrating the defeat and humiliation of Donald Trump must be concerned about their own future with Joe Biden in charge. When Biden argues that this makes us stronger and safer, I doubt that many, if any, people will believe him.

This is a reminder of why the following expression is so accurate:  “me thinks thee doth protest too much.” The more Biden tries to fervently deny this unprecedented failure, the more obvious the opposite is true. Even the MSM, which has tried desperately to cover up for him is turning on him. No one is buying this.

When Biden was done speaking, he refused to answer any questions, but he did turn back, to get his mask, and put it on walking shuffling slowly out of the room, by himself. It was a poignant image of failure, obvious to everyone but the person most responsible.

TDM

Joe Biden continue to dazzle everyone with handling of both Kabul and Hurricane IDA. Joe already tried, and failed, to blame Kabul on Donald Trump, but virtually no one is buying that anymore. Now he has this zoom meeting designed to show he is in charge of the Hurricane IDA recovery. He looked ridiculous. If you listen carefully to the video, he appears to refer to Senior Advisor Cedric Richmond as “boy.” Some people will hear this differently because they always hear things differently when Biden speaks.

If Trump has used the word “boy” in a similar context, the MSM would have considered it to be a dog whistle reaching out to his white supremacist base. Joe Biden, who actually was personal friends with known white Supremacists, like Robert Byrd, is a Democrat, so he is incapable of being racist.

Then there is the video which shows Biden appearing to fall asleep during the meeting with the new Prime Minister of Israel. Of course, the fact checker said this was misleading because Biden actually spoke shortly after this. Things have deteriorated to the point where if Joe is able to speak, it is considered to be a triumph. Watch the video yourself. I have personally seen this many times, usually in church during a particularly dull sermon.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1431388933007495173

All of us have done this on occasion, but we are not the President of the United States meeting with another Head of State. It is what it is, unless it is Joe Biden, and then, as with Bill Clinton, it all depends on the definition of the word “is.” The problem is that the MSM no longer has enough spin available to hide the ugly reality. Very few people watching this can even pretend that Joe has his act together. It is actually getting worse. It is embarrassing. If Trump had done anything close to this there would have been loud demands for the cabinet to invoke the 25^th Amendment. Actually, there were demands for Trump’s cabinet to invoke the 25^th Amendment, with no need for anything resembling real evidence. Now part of the problem is that Kamala is too busy making herself look incompetent to lead the effort. No one, in either party, wants her in charge of anything.

What makes this worse is that if Biden resigned, is impeached, or dies, his replacement will be Kamala Harris. The first thing that happens is that the Senate becomes dead locked, and she will no longer be available to break a tie vote. Here is how the 25^th Amendment works:

Section 1.

In case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation, the Vice President shall become President.

Section 2.

Whenever there is a vacancy in the office of the Vice President, the President shall nominate a Vice President who shall take office upon confirmation by a majority vote of both Houses of Congress.

This means whoever Kamala chooses to be VP can only take office upon confirmation of a majority vote of both Houses of Congress. Since Kamala can no longer vote to break ties in the Senate, at least one Republican would have to approve her choice. Good luck with that. Even the usual RINO Republican Senators are going to hesitate to approve some as incompetent as either Biden or Harris to be the new VP. In addition, if they value their political future, they will not approve an absurd appointment like Hillary Clinton. If Kamala did appoint Hillary Clinton one has to wonder if there are close to enough Secret Service Agents available to let her sleep at night.

The easiest thing to predict is that Biden will be as stunningly effective in dealing with IDA as he has been with Kabul. The second easiest thing to predict is that the MSM will continue to spin this in the most positive way possible for the longest possible time. The third easiest thing to predict is that none of this can possibly work.

If you want a good life, in the midst of this nonsense consider the following. Six months ago, Kamala Harris could have chosen a Democratic Governor superstar, like Andrew Cuomo or Gavin Newsom to be her VP. All I can think to say is “IDA Boy.”

TDM