This election should not have been close. The fix was in from the start. The entire MSM colluded with the DNC to elect Joe Biden President of the United States with a monstrous blue wave landslide election. They were aided by an unprecedented influx of cash to spend on elections and the censorship of conservative viewpoints, including the President of the United States, by Google, Twitter, and Facebook. They were joined by the media polls that all predicted a landslide victory for Joe Biden.

Now throw in massive early voting by mail and the deck was totally stacked against Republicans and Donald Trump.

Although still suffering from 2016 generated PTSD, the MSM started out Tuesday night, again, with champagne on ice and glorious dreams. The first warning sign came from Florida, where Donald Trump not only won, he won big. He not only won big, he won big with Hispanics and blacks.  But the MSM still had hopes because they dreamed of the usual suspects finding a way to steal the election with mail-in votes and they truly expected Democrats to take control of the Senate.

We still don’t know if Democrats will be able to steal the Presidential election for Joe Biden, but they totally failed in generating anything resembling a blue wave. Not only did Republicans maintain control of the Senate, but they also gained seats in the House. The result is that Democrats are in a far weaker position than they were prior to the election. If Joe Biden is elected, he will be the weakest President in history. Although senile, he is at that stage where he is increasingly hostile to anyone who challenges him. That includes Democrats who plan on controlling him. It will be Democrats who will be trying to get him out of the way as soon as possible. This is so not good.

The DNC, the MSM, Social Media and Big Business are all in a state of shock today. They viewed this election as their chance to take total control. They didn’t even come close. Instead, against all odds, President Donald J. Trump motivated the American people and they showed up in droves, all over the country. This may even have been enough to get him re-elected. It was enough to expose the Democrats and they are the ones reeling today.

Mail-in voting is exactly the disaster that Donald Trump predicted. Election day turnout was high but realistic, the early voting and mail-in voting was off the charts. And it heavily favored Joe Biden. Places like Michigan and Minnesota are reporting total voter turnout near 90%, in Democratic strongholds. Does anyone really believe that? The stench of voter fraud is in the air and is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. It is one thing to explain how boxes of Democratic votes show up in places like Philadelphia. But how do you explain that happening in Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. To those who do not believe in God it is hard to write this off as divine intervention. They are begging people to respect the system, but the system is unworthy of respect.

In addition, truly capable and serious people are getting angry. This is not the poorly organized violence by groups like Antifa and Black Lives Matters. Conservatives don’t do that. None of these massive Trump rallies resulted in violence, unless they were attacked by people from Antifa or BLM. But those rallies were also a warning. People are angry, they are motivated, and they are not going to sit by and watch Democrats steal the presidency through blatant and systemic fraud. When Trump said Democrats were trying to steal the election he won, he was telling the truth. The MSM does not believe that, but the millions who came out and supported him understood this very well.

There is already a lot of finger pointing today, but it is among Democrats, not Republicans. That should be a strong hint regarding who won Tuesday and who lost. Make no mistake about it, few people, other than hard-core left-wing liberal KoolAid drinkers are buying this. This is beyond obvious and it is beyond bad. The only reason we are not seeing nationwide outrage already is that Trump is fighting back, and people are giving him a chance to win. But if Joe Biden wins this presidency with highly questionable last-minute miraculous votes from Philadelphia, or Atlanta, or Las Vegas,  the result will be a level of outrage seldom seen in this country.

I cannot predict the legal battles that will determine the results of this election. But I can predict demand for reform and that will not go away anytime soon. Mail-in voting was a disaster. This will never be tolerated again. Incredibly, Democrats will double down on stupidity and try to do more lock downs and more mask requirements to continue the myth that COVID required all of this.  But Democrats are running out of time and everyone else is running out of patience.

Trump won in Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. The only reason the results have been delayed is that Democrats are having difficulty stealing enough votes. If the situation were reversed and Joe Biden was ahead, the elections would have all been called already. Fox News embarrassed itself with the call of Arizona way before that was justified. Even CNN did not make that mistake. The Fox News staff, except for Chris Wallace, is pretty good. But Fox News polling and the decision desk is a disaster. If they don’t fix this, fast, they will shred viewers to Newsmax TV, OAN, RSBN or perhaps even WGN News Nation. Fox is still better than CNN et. al, but far from being fair and balanced any more.

Soon and very soon people will ask an obvious question. How did so many people vote by mail. The obvious answer is they didn’t. I suspect that some ballots were deliberately sent to incorrect addresses. In other cases, when mail was returned it was re-directed to somewhere the ballot could be completed and turned in anyway. There are even reports of ballots being delivered in the early morning hours by questionable personal vehicles. It is increasing clear that Democrats are desperate to prevent anyone from looking at the actual ballots. That should be a real clue. Does anyone, other than Don Lemon and Anderson Cooper, really believe that a record number of people nationwide voted for a 77-year-old senile racist crook who campaigned by hiding out in his basement? Although the MSM will never admit this, a lot of ordinary Democrats are secretly realizing this is beyond obvious.

Yesterday was a sad day, where many of us feared the worst. But we seldom realize our greatest hopes or worst fears and Tuesday was no exception. This country still bleeds red, white, and blue and that includes a high percentage of people who consider themselves Democrats.

Abraham Lincoln said:  “You can fool all the people some of the time and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time.” 

Right now, the MSM, Social Media and Big Business are not fooling anyone anymore.

TDM

Donald Trump was re-elected President of the United States. He outperformed all the polls by huge margins. But that does not mean he has won, yet. Once again, in a close election, miraculous last-minute ballot dumps, overwhelmingly favorable to Democrats change Republicans victories into a pile of ashes. This happens all the time. It is beyond predictable. Even more predictable is the response by Democrats who are outraged that anyone would even consider the possibility of voter fraud.

It has already happened in Wisconsin and in Michigan. Trump still has an outside chance of winning Michigan.

Democrats are working on Pennsylvania, but Trump’s lead is so overwhelming that this is more of a challenge. They will still try. But this time, things may be different. The reason is that Donald Trump, unlike most Republicans, does not shy away from a fight. He came out last night and bluntly said Democrats would try to steal the election and he would fight back. If was a refreshing change from RINO Republicans who would rather lose than appear overly aggressive.

Even still some Republicans didn’t like his tone. But one of the reasons Trump is President and not those other guys is that Trump does fight back. Every time. And he never quits.

There were numerous reports that the DOJ had teams out all over the country. The results in Wisconsin were predictable from predictable people in predictable places. Perhaps the DOJ is already all over this.  One would hope that the FBI would also be involved, but it seems unlikely that Christopher Wray is up to the challenge.

The point being that we don’t know what we don’t know. William Barr may be all over this. We will only learn that if he starts charging people. We do know that Trump has a team of great lawyers and they are going to challenge this. It may end up at the Supreme Court. A Supreme Court that now has a 6 -3 conservative majority.

In the meantime, Democrats have not yet stolen enough votes to win this. They absolutely must win Pennsylvania.  It is not even sure that Biden will win in Michigan.

Trump has 214 votes. If he wins Georgia, which is likely, he gets another 16. He is also leading in North Carolina, that would give him another 15, bringing the total to 245.  If he holds on in Pennsylvania, that brings him to 265. His campaign thinks he will win in Nevada, which would bring him to 271. Trump could lose Michigan and still win. He also has a chance at winning Arizona, because all uncounted ballots are from areas where Trump ran the table. So, while Trump has not sealed the deal, neither has Biden.

Regardless of how this ends up, it is a sad day for America. Voter surveys show that most voters felt that Biden was more honest than Trump. That is because if you watch MSNBC, CBS, ABC, NBC, or CNN or you read the LA Times, The NY Times, The Washington Post or any other major news outlet, you don’t know about Hunter Biden. You don’t know about the blatant corruption of the Biden family. You don’t even realize that Joe Biden is senile because they covered that up too. You know absolutely nothing about Kamala Harris, who could be the next President of the United States. Far too many Americans voted in this election not being aware of this critical information because there was a massive cover-up. A cover-up that involved social media, including google, twitter and Facebook.

Ironically, the people who enabled the worst candidate in American history to possibly win election are the ones who will pay the highest price if they are successful. They will soon be relying on the Republican Senate and the Supreme Court to protect them from the monster they created.

It is not over yet, but there is a possibility that Joe Biden will be elected President of the United States. There is no way to put a positive spin on that. But our founders designed a system of checks and balances for exactly that reason. A lot of people, on both sides, believe that if Democrat seize total power, they will destroy our democracy. They may be right about that, but Democrats haven’t done that. John James is still winning in Michigan, although Trump is behind. If James wins, it is impossible for Democrats to take control of the Senate. That makes it impossible for them to pass much of their agenda. It makes it impossible for them to stack the Supreme Court. And that Supreme Court has a 6-3 Conservative majority that is in the right place, at the right time, to provide those checks and balances so desperately needed.

It is hard to be optimistic today, but logic and common sense must prevail. Trump has not lost, yet and Biden has not won, yet. This is way closer than it should be, but life is like that. We have all learned that nothing is over until it’s over.

In the meantime, we can all watch the Democrats try to steal this election in real time. We can also watch the mainstream continue to cover that up and pretend it isn’t happening. But a cover-up doesn’t change reality. At some point, those celebrating the destruction of Donald Trump may wake up to the reality of President Joe Biden. If Biden wins, there is likely to be a world class case of buyer’s remorse.

I have been watching the reports from CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS and MSNBC. They are not celebrating. They are in despair. They believed the polls. They were expecting Biden to win in a landslide with a beautiful blue wave. They consider this election to be a repudiation of Democrats. Republicans held on to the Senate and gained seats in the House. No one even pretend Biden is up to the job. If Biden wins, it will be a shallow victory. If he loses, it will be a gigantic loss. The following article from Politico, blatantly anti-Trump is just one example:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/04/dems-post-mortem-election-2020-434044

They are literally calling this election a Dumpster Fire for the Democratic Party. Wow!

TDM

Today, American votes. It is really this simple. If the voter turnout is massive, Trump will win with a massive red wave. But if voter turnout is not high, that does not mean that Trump loses. The truth is that while we know some information, such as the party of people who have voted and the demographics regarding the age of the voters, we do not know any of the actual votes. Anyone reporting something other than that is either naïve or dishonest.  This means, in addition to the Party affiliation, there are important questions.

1. Will most Democrats vote for Biden? The polls say yes, but the polls are highly suspect. There are numerous reports that up to 20% of people attending Trump rallies are Democrats. Are those reports accurate? Do they matter?
2. Will Independents vote for Trump or Biden? The polls assume an even split. But the same polls show independents favoring Trump. One or the other is wrong. This is important. For example, in one state there about 38% of ballots were cast by Democrats and about 37% cast by Republicans. Everyone is assuming that is a 1% advantage to Democrats. But there were about 25% of votes cast by independents. If those independents go for Trump, even by a small margin, then the alleged Democratic lead is illusionary.
3. There are numerous reports that Trump is outperforming among black voters, perhaps as high as 20%. Previously, Republicans were lucky to get 10% of the black vote. Even if Trump gets 15%, he probably wins because more than 90% of blacks are registered as Democrats.
4. There are also numerous reports that Trump is overperforming among Hispanic voters. Some reports are as high as 40%. If that is true, most of them are registered as Democrats too.
5. Who has turned off a major portion of the voting public? That would be Joe Biden with his idiotic pledge to transition away from oil and gas. Even the liberal moderator asked him why he would do that. That was compounded by his blatant lies about banning fracking. Don’t assume that Democrats in Pennsylvania missed that.
6. Trump has been drawing enormous crowds and Biden can’t fill a phone booth. Perhaps that is not indicative of voter turnout, but if it is, it will show up today.
7. When the choice is between two devils, better the devil you know than the devil you don’t know.. A lot of people don’t like Trump, but the country did well with him in charge. They also don’t like Biden. Don’t be surprised is a lot of people vote for the lesser of two evils.
8. Who has been wrong on every prediction for the last 20 years? That would be the mainstream media. If we believed them the arctic would be completely free of ice by now. If we believed them, Al Gore and Hillary Clinton would have been elected. If we believed them Trump would have blundered into a war with North Korea. If we believed them the Mueller Investigation would have documented collusion between Trump and Russia.
9. I used to be somewhat of a Kennedy conspiracy advocate. Then I realized something vital. Neither the CIA nor anyone else is remotely capable of pulling off this kind of conspiracy. I mean these guys couldn’t even get their act together enough to off Castro. We often fear nefarious plots by the usual suspects, but forget they are mostly stupid and incompetent.
10. Most Americans are not actually stupid. Granted, a lot of them are that stupid, but not most of them. Only someone stupid would believe that Joe Biden is remotely capable of being President of the United States. That means the only reason someone would vote for Biden is that they are that stupid or they hate Trump too much to care. I am far from certain most American fit into either category.

We will soon know. Watch the reports of voter turnout on election day. If it is off the charts, Trump wins. Watch for the margins in key states like Ohio and Florida. If Trump wins big in Ohio, that is a big deal. If he wins big in Florida it is game over.

Trump has ignored Ohio lately, while Biden was in Cleveland. Either Trump is stupid, or his numbers in Ohio are over the top. Trump held a rally in Miami Sunday. One would have expected him to hold that rally somewhere in the middle of the state or the panhandle.  Instead, he held it in the strongest Democratic stronghold in the state. Again, he is either stupid, or this is indicative of how he feels about Florida. So, either Trump is stupid, or he is about to run the table in both Ohio and Florida. If he runs the table in Ohio and Florida, he just may run it nationwide.

Finally, when Trump says Joe Biden is the poorest excuse for a Democratic Candidate for President in American History, it has the ugly odor of truth. By all accounts, Biden has run one of the worst campaigns ever, hiding out in his basement apparently believing that hatred for Donald Trump would carry the day. Lately, he has ventured out, looking tried and frazzled in a desperate attempt to revitalize his campaign.

Donald Trump is hated by the establishment and the mainstream media. But if you look at his rallies, a lot of people are chanting: “we love you. Are they delusional? Are they the fringe minority? If so, it is the most enthusiastic fringe minority in American history.

Watch for the turnout numbers today, but remember: “who are you going to believe?” The talking heads on CNN or your lying eyes?”

TDM

Every election works the same. Democrats need to win big in major metropolitan areas. Republicans always win in more rural areas. This is true in every state, in every election. As of today, Democrats are turning out only slightly ahead of Republicans:

Arizona   Democrats plus 1 %

Nevada    Democrats plus 3%

Florida     Democrats plus 2%

North Carolina  Democrats plus 5%.

Pennsylvania Democrats plus 43%

(Reports also say that 35% of Democrats have voted, but only 15% of Republicans have voted. They also say that 60% of people haven’t voted.  If this is true, and it is Republicans who show up in droves, then don’t assume Biden wins. He obviously agrees, which is why he is in Pennsylvania today.  In addition, the voter turnout in Philadelphia, where Democrats win every Pennsylvania election, is not high enough this time.)

There is no guarantee all the registered Democrats who voted, voted for Joe Biden, particularly in rural Pennsylvania.

This reminds me of an incident when I worked for a major corporation. We did a lot of acquisitions and I was part of the due diligence team. I audited a firm and determined that they were grossly underestimating their WC claims. One of the problems with WC is that you don’t know the true cost of claims for a long time. Sometimes this can take up to five years. For this reason, if one estimates the cost of claims after only 12 months, unless the firm is extremely small, that estimate is always wrong, and it is always way too low.

In this case they estimated the cost of WC claims to be $1,000,000. I estimated them to be $3,000,000. The owner of the firm was furious with me. He called me and said: “I would bet my life that my estimate is more accurate than yours.” I thanked him for the kind offer but said I would prefer cash. It is a good thing I didn’t accept that bet because we were both low. He would be dead, and I still wouldn’t have had enough money.

This was a smart man and I respected him, but he simply did not understand the science behind estimating the ultimate cost of WC claims. On the other hand, I was very experienced on this subject and had learned, sometimes the hard way, that no one is capable of estimating WC costs, for any significant number of claims, after only 12 months. The reason is very simple. Those claims that continue and which develop later are all bad. WC claims, unlike wine, do not improve with age.

This is exactly what is happening now, only the problem has been magnified by Democrats going all in on mail-in ballots. They assumed, incorrectly, that this would really increase Democratic turnout. It didn’t. But what it did do was scare Democrats regarding the safety of voting in person. That is why Biden has been screaming at people to go out and vote now. He knows he does not have enough votes.

Trump, on the other hand, has been encouraging people to vote in person because he doesn’t trust Democrats to handle mail-in ballots correctly. By every indication, Republicans are listening. Republican turnout tomorrow is estimated to be at least twice Democratic turnout ,and some say it could be four times Democratic turnout. It is this simple. Democrats are afraid of COVID 19. Republicans are afraid of Democratic fraud. If there is massive turnout tomorrow, that could be signs of a red wave.

Only a few states matter:

Texas.  Should be solid Trump, if not, bad sign.

Florida.  Should be Trump. If he loses very bad. If he wins big game over.

Georgia. Should be Trump, if he loses bad, but not end of game. If he wins big, good sign.

North Carolina. Should be Trump, if he loses bad, but not end of game. If he wins big, good sign

Virginia.  Probably Biden. If Trump wins red wave

Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Mexico.  Trump could win all three. If he does, big red way.

Minnesota.  Bid deal if Trump wins.

Colorado and Vermont.  If Trump wins, tidal wave election.

Nevada. May go Trump, not big enough to matter.

The good news is that one way or another the madness ends tomorrow by 8:00 PST. This is will be all up to the counting. I think everyone will be relieved to learn the results, either way. I expect the usual suspects to riot and destroy things, no matter who wins. In some ways, they more be more destructive if they win than if they lose. The only thing certain is that they will at least try, again, to seize the day.

Right now, based on what I see, its looks pretty darn red.

TDM

A lot of people are wondering how the election is going. It looks very good for Donald Trump. Here is the reason why. There is a big difference between when and how Democrats plan to vote and how Republicans plan to vote. The following article in the New York Post is like reports I have seen elsewhere, including in the mainstream media.

https://nypost.com/2020/08/17/trump-backers-more-likely-to-vote-in-person-than-biden-supporters/

Biden Supporters:  Mail in ballot: 47%.  Early Vote: 21%. Vote in Person on Nov 3: 26%.

Trump Supporters: Mail in ballot: 11%.  Early Vote: 20%. Vote in Person on Nov 3: 66%.

Here is what that means.  Let’s assume that 75 million people have voted already, and Democrats are outperforming Republicans 60% to 40% right now. No one is claiming that has happened.

If an additional 35 million people vote, and 66% of them vote for Trump, he wins 51.24% to 48.76%. If 25 million or less votes, then Biden could win a close victory.  The only way this is wrong is if Democrats show up in equal numbers to Republicans on election day. No one is predicting that.

If Biden is only ahead now by 10 points, say 55% to 45%, that changes everything. If that is true, then only 25 million people need to show up for Trump to win 51.28% to 48.72%,

There are no signs that Biden is running up big margins in places like Philadelphia and South Florida. The margin in Arizona for Biden is reported 3%, not nearly enough. In addition, the votes on election day will be counted immediately, while the mail in votes may take longer. That means Trump is likely to be way ahead on November 3, and unless these assumptions are incorrect, there is no chance Biden can catch up. Democrats seem to realize this, which is why they want to extend mail in voting deadlines.

This also assumes that Democrats will vote for Biden and Republicans will vote for Trump. But, up to 20% of people who are attending Trump rallies are registered Democrats. Perhaps I am wrong, but I suspect more Democrats will vote for Trump than Republican will vote for Biden. If any significant percent of Democrats support Trump, it is game over.

The question is which is correct. The above actual data or the public opinion polls that were so wrong in 2016. It is important to note that these are national averages not battleground states. Even if Trump loses the popular vote, he still has a good chance of winning at the electoral college. We will know Tuesday night, but so far, the numbers game favors Trump, not Biden.

TDM

I suspect everyone is on edge. Democrats listen to the mainstream media which predicts that Biden will win. But they remember 2016 and they fear a repeat. Republicans listen to the mainstream media and even Fox News say Trump is behind, but he may win. They remember 2016 and pray for a repeat. When you combine this with massive early voting and vote by mail, no one is very confident at predicting things. Trump continues to campaign like a mad man, and even Biden is making brief chaotic appearances. So, the question is, how does anyone put this in perspective. I suggest the following:

1. Remember who has lied to you repeatedly in a desperate attempt to destroy Donald Trump. All the previous attempts failed. Why would you believe them now?
2. If Trump is way behind, why on earth are all those people showing up hours early in horrible weather to cheer him at his rallies?
3. If Biden is doing so well, why can he hold his rallies in a phone booth and not be crowded?
4. If all the polls got it wrong in 2016, why do you think they are right now?
5. If no votes have been counted, how does anyone know how people have voted?
6. Do you really think Biden promising to transition away from oil and gas will not impact the election in Pennsylvania? Or how about when he lied about banning fracking?
7. Why do Trump crowds spontaneously break out into chants of “four more years” while the handful of people attending a Biden event only honk their horn when he trashes Trump?
8. Why does Biden continue to lie about what Trump said at Charlottesville?
9. Why does Biden continue to lie about what Trump said about the military?
10. Why won’t the mainstream media report on the Hunter Biden emails?

There are more things to consider.

In Florida, more Democrats have already mailed in ballots than Republicans. But the margin is less that it was for Hillary in 2016, and she lost.

Telemundo, yes that Telemundo, did a poll showing Trump nearly tied in support among Hispanic voters. How is that possible if Biden is winning?

Telemundo also shows Trump getting 74% of Cuban American votes. How is Biden going to win Florida if that is accurate?

Numerous polls show black support for Trump much higher than it was in 2016. Are the polls wrong about that?

Gallup reports that 56% of people think they were better off now than four years ago. Does that matter?

So far at least 1.9 million ballots mailed to voters have not been returned. Why? Are they real voters? Have they moved? Are they dead? Or, perhaps, they just don’t plan to vote?

Democrats only win when they run up the vote so high in major metropolitan areas that Republicans can’t catch up. But people are fleeing major metropolitan areas in droves. That means there are fewer votes available. There are no signs of Biden doing better than Hillary in big cities.

Why do you think Democrats, who are clearly incapable of running major metropolitan areas are going to do well at managing mail in ballots? Check out how that has worked so far in New York and New Jersey.

Democrats are thrilled that young voters appear to be turning out in early voting. But they may not show up on election day and at least some of them will vote for the guy that makes it more likely they can get a job.

Republicans have been going door to door, all over the country, for weeks. The Biden campaign just started doing that this week. Usually Democrats have a much better ground game than Republicans. This year, it is the exact opposite.

I do not know what will happen, but I would rather be supporting Trump than Biden. I think if Biden wins, it will be by a narrow margin, but if Trump wins, it could be a landslide. Every poll, even ones showing Biden in the lead, shows Trump with momentum.

Michael Moore, who hates Trump, thinks he will win. Unlike other people that is not what Michael Moore wants, it is what he truly believes.

Finally look around you. Look at France, Germany, Italy, the UK, Spain, and everywhere else. What do you see? I seem COVID 19 cases spiking again. I also see people protesting lockdowns and protesting mandatory masks.

A lot of people, all over the world, are sick and tired of having every minute of their life dominated by the fear of COVID 19. Biden tells us we should be more afraid, and he will solve this by having everyone hide in their basement until COVID goes away. Does anyone think that will work? Trump on the other hand says I got it and I am still here. What are you afraid of? The most tragic possible decision is to be afraid to live for fear of dying.

A lot of people are living on the edge. But, the clock continues to run and I suspect that we will know the results sooner than anyone predicts. The reason is very simple. If it is close on election night, Biden has the advantage. But if the trends noted above are real, it won’t be close at all. Here is how you will know. If Trump wins easily in Ohio and Florida, Biden is in serious trouble. If he wins in Pennsylvania, it is over. If you turn on your TV at 5:00 p.m. PST and find out they have already called Florida for Trump, start chilling the champagne.

I wouldn’t recommend betting, but if you do bet, bet on red.

TDM

https://www.battlefields.org/learn/war-1812/battles/tippecanoe

https://www.history.com/topics/us-presidents/william-henry-harrison

William Henry Harrison was the night president of the United States. He was elected in 1840. He was appointed Governor of the Indiana terrify by John Adams.  On November 7, 1811 in Battle Ground, Indiana, Harrison lead an army of about 1,000 men to attack the Indian Confederacy lead by Tecumseh. Harrison actually lost that battle; he was attached  by the Indians before he could move against them. His men did hold their ground and eventually the Indians ran out of ammunition. The Indians abandoned Prophetstown and Harrison’s men burned it to the ground. Harrison proclaimed that he had won a great victory. He was eventually given the nickname “Tippecanoe” and in 1840 he ran for President with the campaign song: “Tippecanoe and Tyler Too.” He won.

On inauguration day William Henry Harrison was 68 years old, the oldest U.S. President until Ronald Regan was inaugurated in 1981 when he was 69 years old. Harrison was determined to show that he was still strong and vigorous. He took the oath of office on March 4, 1841, when it was cold and wet. He chose not to wear an overcoat or hat and road on a horse rather than in a carriage. He then gave the longest inaugural address in American history. It took him two hours to read it. He road through the streets in the inaugural parade and attended three inaugural balls that evening.

But Harrison had made a huge mistake. He became deathly ill and died on April 4, 1841. He was the first President to die in office and is still the shortest-serving President tin U.S. History, having been in office only 31 days. Tyler took over as President.

I thought about this while watching Trump give those speeches in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska. The temperature was about 30 degrees and Trump was not wearing a hat, but he was wearing gloves. My guess is that he was layered up more than people realize. Everyone else was dressed, appropriately, like Eskimos.

This reminded me of a story told by Mike Holmgren while he was coaching the Green Bay Packers. It was a bitterly cold day in Green Bay. There is a tradition in the NFL where opposing coached meet in the center of the field to shake hands before the game. Holmgren wanted to play with Dave Wannested’s head, so he decided to pretend the weather wasn’t impacting him. Holmgren asked for the thinnest possible Green Bay Packer Jacket, no gloves and not hat. Wannstedt showed up looking like the Michelin man. So, Holmgren decided to double down on this, and unzipped his jacket. But when the got to the center of the field, Holmgren was so cold he literally couldn’t speak and Wannstedt just laughed at him.

It is easy to see why Trump did this. He also wanted to look strong and vigorous, in obvious contrast to the frail looking Joe Biden. So far, this does not seem to have affected Trump’s health. To those of us who grew up in that climate, it was an impressive performance. I just hope he does better than William Henry Harrison. Fortunately, even if Trump got sick, he is surrounded by medical care that was not available in 1841.

We don’t know the results of this election yet, but we sure know who looks like the energizer bunny and who is showing signs of desperation. Democrats are doubling down on COVID, COVID, COVID, but that may be a major mistake. I think Trump is right, a lot of people are sick and tired of every decision being based on COVID. When he said the cure cannot be worse than the disease, a lot of people understand.

The good news is that Tippecanoe did win that election.

TDM

I really think Donald Trump will win next week. I pray that Donald Trump will win. But it is important to understand that if Joe Biden wins, it will not be anything like people expect. Those of us paying attention know that the Deep State tried to defeat Donald Trump when he was running for election and they tried to remove him from office after he was elected. The reason is that the Deep State considers itself to be the real power in Washington. While Trump has certainly cleaned up a lot of things, the swamp still exists, and it is still powerful.

I don’t think the Deep State will allow Joe Biden to be President of the United States and Commander in Chief. These people are a lot of things, but they are not stupid. They may allow Biden to assume the public position, but behind the scenes they are not about to let him assume power. I don’t think they will allow Kamala Harris to do that either. This means if Biden wins, we automatically move into a constitutional crisis. But the real power grab is likely to be invisible to the average citizen. The same media that is covering up for Biden in a desperate attempt to defeat Trump, also recognizes that Biden is not up to the job and they probably fear Harris even more.

Some people think the FBI held that laptop last year to hurt Trump. But history tells us they may have held it for a more sinister reason, as insurance against Biden. I believe the Deep State will immediately move to surround Biden with people who will become the “real government.” The Deep State tried this before with Abraham Lincoln. The cabinet members thought they would run the government. They underestimated Abraham Lincoln. When Trump was elected, the Deep State put people in key positions to manage Trump. They underestimated Trump. But Joe Biden is totally incapable of managing the Deep State. They will quietly but effectively take over.

The good news is that means that virtually none of the radical ideas dreamed of by AOC plus 3 will happen. The Deep State doesn’t want this either. Neither will they like things like packing the court and adding D.C. and Puerto Rico as states. The Deep State is fundamentally conservative, they want to conserve their power. These things will be proposed, but key politicians unexpected offer resistance. The Deep State has means of convincing reluctant politicians to do the right thing. That is because they know everything about everybody. They know how to make people offers they can’t afford to turn down.

The real reason Trump was able to overcome this is that they didn’t know much about him and made a lot of wrong assumptions. That is why they tried the silly Russian Collusion nonsense. They had nothing else. The opposite is true regarding Biden. They know everything. If they don’t know everything about Harris, they will by the end of the year.

So, if the American people stupidly elect Joe Biden, remember the deep state not Biden and Harris will run things. That is obviously not good, but it is a lot better than a dictatorship run by a senile old man or an incompetent radical. There will be some difficult moments, but we will survive this too. Then, before inauguration day powerful forces will get to work to fight back. Remember when Clinton won in 1992 and tried to implement his left-wing agenda? Two years later Republicans took over the House and the Senate and Clinton spent the rest of his Presidency hitching rides on Jeffrey’s plane. The same thing will happen this time. When Democrats achieve full power, they muck things up at the speed of light. This is what happened to Obama. In 2008 Democrats controlled the House and the Senate. In 2010 Republicans took back the house. In 2014, they also took control of the Senate. That victory by Republicans in 2014 is the reason we have Justice Gorsuch instead of Merritt Garland, why we have Justice Kavanaugh instead of a left-wing radical liberal and we why have Amy Coney Barrett rather than someone like Stacy Abrams.

Everything moves in cycles.  This included the weather and politics. Sometimes, in places like New York, the cycles can be prolonged because of systemic corruption. But remember that when things got really bad in New York, New York got Rudy Giuliani. Even in California we got rid of Gray Davis and replaced him with Arnold Schwarzenegger. Arnold was not perfect, but he was a lot better than the two clowns who followed.

So, hopefully Tuesday night will be a day to celebrate four more years of Donald Trump. That is the most likely outcome. But, if that does not happen, this is a reminder that Democrats aren’t really smart enough to take total control, and the Deep State is still there. If you doubt that think about the rules for Thanksgiving published by Governor Newsom. These are absolutely insane. So, even if, as Biden predicts, we head into a dark winter, remember it is always darkest just before dawn.

TDM

Many years ago, my parents, devout Baptists, saw a car with a “Honk If You Love Jesus!” Bumper sticker. So, wanting to show support, they honked their horn. The driver, probably driving his parent’s car, rolled down his window and flipped them the bird. That is one of the problems with honking horns. It is sometime difficult, if not impossible, to figure out what someone is trying to say. In every case, regardless of intent, horns are by design loud, rude, and disruptive.

Barrack Obama and Joe Biden had lately resorted to “drive-in” rallies. These are perfect for several reasons. One is that it guarantees social distancing. Another is that it doesn’t take many cars to look like a huge crowd. But more important, a few people honking their horns can sound loud. Today Obama interpreted this as enthusiastic support. Maybe that was true, but mostly it was loud and rude. Some estimate he drew a huge crowd of close to 70 people.

Trump on the other hand, drew an enormous crowd in Waukesha. That is more significant than you think. Wisconsin is going through another COVID 19 surge, but people showed up anyway. I noticed the way people were dressed and the crowd was all bundled up. Except Trump. Trump was wearing a suit and gloves, but no hat, no scarf etc. So, I checked the weather, and it was at best in the low 30s at that time approaching freezing. Trump was on his game and looked energized, so did the crowd.

All over the world, there are signs that people are done with all the lockdowns and the masks. COVID 19 is surging in Europe and this time people are fighting back against restrictions. Even the WHO said the lockdowns did not work and did more harm than good. I believe we are seeing a world-wide case of cabin fever and people ignore that to their peril.

Did you notice something in your neighborhood? Halloween decorations are up big time. I was at Home Depot yesterday, and they are completely sold out. They are already gearing up for Christmas and it looks like Christmas decorations are flying off the shelves. I believe that people are desperate for a return to normal. In the meantime, Biden is promising a dark winter where we all hunker down in fear of COVID. A winter, by the way, where we don’t have natural gas or electricity because it is more important to protect against Global Warming. Trying to explain global warming to people in Wisconsin who have been waiting in 30-degree weather to catch a glimpse of Trump’s shadow.

Trump is the master at figuring out what is important to Americans. He doesn’t rely on professional staff; he just trusts his own instincts. His instincts are that people are sick and tired of being dominated by fear. They are tired of lockdowns, tired of restrictions and tired of masks. People are even more tired of being arrogantly lectured by people who inflicted all these draconian measures on us, that obviously did not work. When Trump questions Dr. Fauci, the MSM missed the reality that a lot of people no longer want to see every decision based on Dr. Fauci’s latest scheme to defeat COVID 19. That would be the same Dr. Fauci who has been so wrong so many times before. The same Dr. Fauci who says we may be able to stop wearing masks in 2022. Do you really want to see 2021 as a repeat of 2020? Like I said, a worldwide case of cabin fever.

Notice something else. While some local news broadcasters are still wearing masks, most aren’t. Six weeks ago, they were all wearing masks. Today, not so much. The reason is beyond obvious. Masks suck. They are uncomfortable. They make it hard to breathe. They make it hard to understand the person talking. People talking in a mask look and sound silly.

If you watch football, the coaches’ claw at their masks when they want to make a point. Perhaps if you’re a liberal reading this, you think masks are a sign of putting other people ahead of yourself. That is not the way I view them. I view them as a meaningless gesture that has almost zero impact on stopping the spread of COVID 19. I view them as silly. I view them as evidence of meaningless government over-reach.

Washing your hands, yes, Social distancing, yes. Self-isolation if you catch COVID 19, yes. Protecting senior citizens, particularly in nursing homes, yes. But huddling down in our homes in fear of COVID and wearing a mask while driving alone in our car, not so much.

Trump did something else in Waukesha and it may be the most important thing of all. He pointed out the obvious truth that if you test a million of people a day you are going to get more positive tests. That does not mean the disease is spreading faster, it just means we are testing more people. Then he pointed out that Doctors and hospitals get more money if they treat a COVID patient and that impacts the COVID death count. He pointed out that Europe does not count deaths the same way. He pointed out the brutal truth that some people were going to die anyway and COVID is not necessarily what killed them.  A lot of us already knew this, but Trump saying this during a rally, may really change the narrative. The MSM will desperately try to prove him wrong and ultimately may prove him spot on.

That brings me back to the “Honk If you Love Jesus” bumper sticker. That is primarily a funny story. But it is more than that. If you do love Jesus, don’t honk. That’s just rude. Just make sure you vote. About 80% of evangelical Christians support Trump. If a high percentage of them show up on election day, then you can honk for four more years.

TDM

The Presidential debate last night was fun to watch. The mute button may even have helped. The moderator, although more likely to interrupt Trump than Biden, was even-handed. Predictably all the DNC pundits are saying Biden won and all the RNC pundits are saying Trump won. Obviously, they can’t both be right. It is easy for anyone watching to know how they really felt about things. The DNC pundits were straining to show why Biden won. Some even admitted Trump had a good night, but it didn’t matter because he was so far behind in the polls, He had to hit a homerun and he failed. But the RNC pundits were clearly over-joyed. They were grinning from ear to ear having trouble restraining themselves. Based on that alone, it is obvious that Trump won big time.

We really don’t know who wins any debate for a couple of days. But we already know Biden made some major mistakes. While he did hammer Trump about his tax returns, Democrats have been doing that for years and no one cares. Trump gave his traditional dodgy answer, but again no one cares. But Trump challenged Biden regarding influence peddling, and he struck several body blows. Biden tried to blame this on Russian interference and Trump just laughed at him. Biden did not deny that those emails were legitimate.  Instead he just lied and said he never accepted any money from a foreign government. That is probably true, but he sure accepted money from foreign business firms connected to the government.

One big moment was when Trump said Biden referred to some members of the black community as “super predators.”  It has been reported that this was one of the biggest search items on google, during and after the debate. Biden didn’t actually use the term “super predators.” MSN predictably pointed that out in this article, but they documented that what Biden said was bad and that Hillary Clinton did call them “super predators “:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-accuses-biden-of-using-super-predator-term-here-s-what-he-actually-said/ar-BB1ajWMx?ocid=uxbndlbing

We have predators on our streets that society has in fact, in part because of its neglect, created. They are beyond the pale many of those people, beyond the pale.

“It’s a sad commentary on society. We have no choice but to take them out of society.”

It was former Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton who used the term “super predators” when discussing an “organized effort against gangs.”

“Just as in a previous generation, we had an organized effort against the mob. We need to take these people on. They are often connected to big drug cartels. They are not just gangs of kids anymore,” she said, speaking in 1996 and discussing the 1994 bill, which was signed by her husband Bill Clinton.

The second biggest search item was “anti-fracking or ban fracking.” That search will instantly prove that Biden lied when he false claimed he never promised to ban fracking. In addition, when he said he wanted to “transition away from oil and gas, the moderator herself was clearly shocked.

There were also times when Biden was clearly frustrated and had difficulty answering questions. After the debate, someone picked up an enormous pad of what appeared to be notes off the podium Biden used.

The bottom line is that Biden lost big time. His facial expressions and snide comments were a lot of things, but Presidential is not on the list. Trump, on the other hand, looks very professional. He was calm and focused. Also, Trump looked a lot healthier than Biden.

A lot of people have already voted, but a majority have not. I think this debate really hurt Joe Biden. I also think the polls have been all wrong and that Trump was already leading in the battleground states. His campaign sure acts like their internal polls show them winning. If anything, this debate is likely to turn what was already a decisive victory into a landslide of historic proportions. Few, people, other than those who want to drive electric cars while sipping KoolAid listening to CNN, want to live in a world without oil or gas. Biden gave everyone a clear vision of a Biden-Harris administration when he said we are about to go into a dark winter. Few people want a leader who promises only a dark winter with no convincing plans for a different result.

Combine this with the emergence of Tony Bobulinski with what looks like solid evidence of corruption by Joe Biden along with the release of daily e-mails bombs from Rudy & Co and you have a perfect storm. If Democrats are not terrified it is only because they are too blinded by Trump derangement syndrome to see reality.

Someone else lost big-time last night, Nancy Pelosi. The moderator asked Biden why, as leader of the party, he didn’t push Nancy to pass the stimulus. Biden tried to spin that away, but the fact that she even asked that question is huge. It was the moderator, a liberal Democrat, telling the world what she thought of Nancy Pelosi.

Perhaps Democrats will still find a way to steal this election. Perhaps all those early voters really were stupid enough to vote for Joe Biden. We will soon know, but my hunch is that the smart money is on Donald Trump winning and winning big.

TDM