THE WORDS OF WAR

Well, that didn’t take long.  The State Department is fighting back by stating that they never believed that this attack was in response to that video.  The following article describes what is going on:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2215431/Death-U-S-ambassador-Chris-Stevens-revealed-AK-47s-grenade-attacks-smoke-filled-safe-room.html

The Clintons are the all time masters at refusing to turn over embarrassing documents.  Remember how it took years before Hillary’s billing records at the Rose Law firm were “accidentally” discovered, in her White House office?  Hillary started out by trying to avoid releasing any documents regarding Libya until the full investigation was complete.  That, of course, meant after the election.

But suddenly Hillary released the confidential transcript of the State Department briefing last week.  The following paragraph explains why:

In a briefing on Tuesday, State Department officials said ‘others’ in the executive branch concluded initially that the attack was part of a protest against the film, which ridiculed the Prophet Muhammad. That was never the State Department’s conclusion, reporters were told

Hillary probably didn’t mind watching Joe Biden lie about this during the VP debate, until she realized that he was pointing the finger at her.  Then Jay Carney doubled down th enext morning.   Blaming a Clinton for anything is a declaration of war.

The next question is who will be first to throw Susan Rice under the bus.  Somebody told her to go on all those national TV shows and lie through her teeth.  Was it the State Department or the White House?  Since neither Clinton nor Obama is remotely capable of telling the truth, Susan Rice is probably destined to be left dangling in the breeze, all alone.  According to this story, Susan Rice was angling to replace Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State.  Hillary Clinton just told Susan Rice she was on her own.  That leaves her fate in the hands of Barack Obama.  If I were Susan Rice I would be very afraid.

This is quickly turning into a circular firing squad.  It is pretty obvious that there is plenty of blame to go around.  That’s the problem.  Both the State Department and the White House ran out of other people to blame so they started blaming each other.

A circular firing squad leaves no one unharmed.   Obama is quickly learning the cost of taking a shot at Hillary Clinton.  The first casualty of war is the truth.  This has never been more obvious.

This would be almost comical, if it wasn’t so serious.  Obama is President of the United States and a weak President threatens our national security.  We will be lucky if our enemies do not take advantage of this.

TDM

THE WAR OF THE ROSES

Sometimes members of the same family just can’t get along.  Between 1455 and 1485 the Lancaster and York branches of the House of Plantagenet fought for the throne of England.  This was called the “War of the Roses” because the symbol of the House of Lancaster was a red rose and the symbol of the House of York was a white rose.  The House of Lancaster won when Henry Tutor became King (Henry VII).  The infamous Henry VIII took over upon the death of his father in 1509.

We just may be seeing the start of a civil war within the top elements of the Democratic Party.  Bill Clinton had difficulty disguising his disdain of Barack Obama during the 2008 election.  He had enough of Obama getting a free pass from the main stream media and he referred to this as a “fairy tale.”  He soon backed down when he was accused of being racist.   Eventually Hillary accepted the post as Secretary of State and there was peace in the valley.  Clinton gave the big speech at the DNC and if there was any bounce out of the DNC, which is debatable, it was solely because of Clinton’s speech.  Clinton has also appeared in TV ads supporting Obama. 

That is, until during the VP debate last night, Joe Biden threw Hillary under the bus.  He said that “they weren’t told they wanted more security.  We did not know they wanted more security there.”  That statement put a bull’s-eye on Hillary Clinton’s back.

Jay Carney doubled down:

What is also the case is that requests from the hundreds of diplomatic facilities around the country for security personnel or other related matters are made to the State Department. They are not made to the White House. And that’s just a simple statement of fact.

Both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are still trying to delay any investigation of this story until after the election.  But that just isn’t going to happen.  This story is too hot and too serious to ignore.  The first question during the VP debate was about Libya. If either the State Department or the White House had a good explanation for this, we would have heard it by now.  They are both out of time and out of answers.

Both Clinton and Obama tried to blame the attack on that obscure video.  That didn’t work.  Then they both tried to blame the intelligence community. That didn’t work either.  Barack Obama even tried to blame Mitt Romney.  Even the liberal press didn’t buy that nonsense.  Now, they are running out of people to blame, and the cover-up is unraveling.  The gloves are off.  In desperation, Obama pointed the finger at Hillary.    

I’m guessing the Clintons are not very happy right now.  Getting blamed by anyone for anything is unacceptable for the Clintons.  Getting blamed by Obama has to be the ultimate insult.  In addition, Bill Clinton was really hoping for the Nobel Peace Prize this year.  After all, Jimmy Carter got one.  Barack Obama even got one for doing nothing.  This time Bill thought it was finally his turn.  Nope.  They gave it to the European Union.  THE EUROPEAN UNION!  He has to be pissed beyond recall.   

Both Bill and Hillary Clinton have proven themselves expert at avoiding responsibility for things they obviously did.  Remember how they wiggled out from under the Whitewater Scandal?  It would run against their characters to take one for the team, particularly “Team Obama.”  The pressure on Hillary is going to skyrocket.  I don’t know if even she can dodge this bullet.  The main stream media is totally in the tank for both of them, but enough is enough.  Plus, there are a lot of really bad facts.

The following article appears to confirm my suspicions.  I have no idea if this is accurate, but it certainly has the ugly odor of truth:

http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/12/the-clinton-obama-rift/

Ed Klein is admittedly a scum bag who has managed to get himself hated equally by the Clinton camp and the Obama camp.  He wrote a scathing book about Hillary titled:  The Truth About Hilllary:  What She Knew, When She Knew It and How Far She’ll Go to Become President.”  Then he wrote a book about Obama, called the Amateur.”   But no matter what you think of him, the man definitely has credible sources in both camps.    

At some point, Hillary is going to run out of excuses for not answering direct questions.  She is getting down to some really rotten choices.  I think the least likely outcome is for Hillary to resort to telling the truth.  It is even less likely that she will ever accept personal responsibility.  Based on past performances, when stalling tactics fail to work, I expect Hillary to start making human sacrifices.  But even that may not work.  Hillary Clinton has a serious problem because the President of the United States just said that the buck stops with Hillary.  Oh my! 

Does anyone know where to pick up some cheap roses?

TDM

THE GRAPE DEBATE

On September 26, 1960 Senator John F. Kennedy and Vice President Richard M. Nixon participated in the first Presidential debate.  The New York Times declared that on “sound points of argument” Nixon took most of the honors.   They missed the point.  Kennedy won that debate and the results changed the course of that election and ultimately history.   The reason Kennedy won was because a picture is worth a 1000 words.  The words spoken in that debate are largely forgotten, but the image of a well-tanned and healthy Kennedy contrasted sharply with a pale and wobbly Nixon.  Nixon had just recovered from the flu and his makeup artist should have been fired on the spot.

The point is that the results of that debate weren’t obvious at first, but they were very significant.  I believe the same thing is true about last night’s debate.  Joe Biden and Paul Ryan were pretty equal in terms of the actual debate.  Biden actually did a remarkable job of trying to convince people that the Obama administration record is better than it looks.   Ryan did a great job on introducing himself to the American people and he more than held his own.  When the new guy can go toe to toe with the old pro, that is a big win for the new guy.  Everyone knows the old pro will just continue to get old, but the new guy will be a major player for a long time.   But the long term impact is likely to be devastating for both Biden and Obama.  That is because the image of this debate may linger longer than people expect and Joe Biden was just plain awful.  He acted like an immature 8th grader caught on stage with an adult.  He constantly interrupted Ryan and spent much of the debate with this silly smirk on his face.  He frankly came across as an immature arrogant ass.

The moderator was obviously biased toward Biden.  That should be no surprise since Barack Obama attended her wedding and she apparently had dinner at Biden’s house earlier this year.  But ultimately, she hurt Biden by not reining him in.  She let Biden be Biden and that was awful for Biden.

Biden looked like he was off his meds.  That is why I have named this the grape debate.  One can only hope that Biden had a little too much to drink and that he is not really bi-polar.

Ultimately Biden was Biden and Ryan was Ryan and that is bad for Democrats.

TDM

PEW WHALLOP

The liberal left is going absolutely nuts over the devastating drop in poll results for Barack Obama.  The Pew report is particularly devastating.  By now everyone admits that  Obama had the worst performance in a Presidential debate by a large margin.  The following article from Andrew Sullivan in the Daily Beast is fun reading for any Republican.  If nothing else, it is vivid proof that the liberal left is incapable of handling defeat:

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/10/did-obama-just-throw-the-entire-election-away.html

The liberal left believes that Mitt Romney won the debate because he told lies and Obama was too inept to challenge him.  For example, see the following:

Lies work when they are unrebutted live on stage. And momentum counts at this point in the election

 Sullivan got it 100% wrong.  What really happened is that the Obama campaign spent more than 200 million dollars lying about Mitt Romney.   When the real Mitt Romney walked onto that stage all those lies were exposed.

Prior to the debate, 42% of the voters were sure to vote for Obama and 43% were sure to vote for Obama.  That left 15% undecided.  But they really weren’t undecided.  They had already decided that they didn’t want Obama.  The only thing they didn’t know was whether or not they wanted Mitt Romney.  Mitt Romney didn’t need to defeat Obama in that debate, he just needed to show people that he was up to the job.  He did a lot more than that.

The liberal left knew that they only had one chance to save this failed President.  They had to convince the American people of the biggest lie of all.  They had to convince you that Mitt Romney was a fatally flawed candidate and that he was losing this election.  They had to get people to choose Obama as the lesser of two evils.   They knew Obama could never win this election, so they set about to make Romney lose this election.

Always remember that much of the main stream media is openly rooting for Obama.  That explains why the media response to the Libya crisis was to pretend that Romney made a major gaffe by daring to criticize Obama.  Liberal reporters were so desperate to destroy Romney that they missed the major story playing out right under their noses.  This is why the main stream media ran so many stories pretending that Romney‘s comment about the 47% was a game changer.  Obviously, this also explains why the main stream media accepted a reported 7.8% unemployment rate that defies gravity.

Remember all those polls showing Obama in the lead?  The main stream media desperately wanted you to believe them.  They may even have deceived themselves.  But the polls never made any sense.  It is vital to understand what poll results really mean.  The polling companies rarely tell you the raw data from their surveys.  They take the raw data, plug it into a computer program and then estimate results.  That is why you always have to look at the underlying assumptions when evaluating poll results.  All those polls showing Obama ahead were the result of turnout projections similar to 2008.  Yet no one considers that likely to occur.  The raw data in the same polls showed a very different result.  The very same polls showed Romney with a significant lead ahead among independents.  Ask any political consultant, from either party,  if Obama can win re-election without winning the independent vote and they will say no way.

You don’t have to take my word for any of this.  The following link is to an article in “The Hill:”

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/261189-pollster-pulls-out-of-fla-nc-and-va-says-obama-cant-win

Before the debate the Suffolk poll had Obama ahead 46% to 43% in Florida.  Look at the following quote from Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos:

 “A poor place to be for a couple of reasons. Number one, his ballot test, his head-to-head number was below 47 percent before the debate, and it’s very, very difficult when you have the known quantity, the incumbent, to claw your way up to 50. So that was a very, very poor place for him to be.

“So we’re looking at this polling data not only in Florida but in Virginia and North Carolina and it’s overwhelming,” Paleologos concluded.

Let me translate:  “You guys weren’t really stupid enough to think these polls were good for Obama, were you?  Let me explain, Obama’s odds of winning Florida just went from slim and none to none minus.”

The bottom line is that we should have known better than to believe the main stream media in the first place.  The bias has never been more obvious.  Why would they be reporting accurately about who is winning the election when they can’t report accurately on anything else?

TDM

THE REAL EXPLANATION

A lot of people were stunned by how badly Romney beat President Obama during the debate.  How could Romney be so good, when he was rather mediocre during the Republican primary debates?  The answer is really quite simple.  In those debates, Romney had an opponent.

TDM

LIARS LEAP

President Obama was humiliated in the great debate.  He is falling like a stone in all the polls.  Only the most naive KoolAid drinking liberal still believed that Obama had a realistic chance of re-election.  He desperately needed a miracle.

Yesterday the new jobs report was released showing only 114,000 new jobs were created.  Every economist predicted the unemployment rate would increase even higher from the current 8.1%.  And then the miracle happened.  Inexplicably the unemployment rate dropped to a stunning 7.8%, just in time to re-energize the Obama campaign.

This is just plain silly.  It took Jack Welch, former CEO of GE about 30 seconds to smell a rat.  Yet the folks at CNN are acting as if this is just routine.  They are actually reporting this as a real number.  If any of you need more evidence of the incompetence of the main stream media, look no further.  If Bush pulled something like this the main stream media would have soiled themselves on the air.

Astonishingly, no one at CNN even bothered to ask the Obama administration a really obvious question.  What happened?  Every economist knows that 114,000 new jobs won’t get it done.  How can we have less jobs than the month before and still claim that unemployment went down.  This is fanatasy land.

This is not just a lie, it is a stupid lie.  There is no way this will hold up to scrutiny.  By this evening we will know exactly how the numbers were manipulated.  The Obama administraiton should have known this.  Did they really think they could get away with this?  If the answer is yes, then they are too stupid to govern.  If the answer is no, than they are too corrupt to govern.  Your choice.

TDM

 

O BOMBA

This has to go down as one of the worst performances in the history of Presidential debates.  This was a complete and total bomb.  Perhaps David Gergen said it best.  He said that no one had ever talked to Obama like this and he didn’t know what to do.  This is the price Obama paid for having a pandering main stream media that was afraid to make him answer questions.  Obama just learned the difference between debating Whoopi Goldberg and Mitt Romney.  

Perhaps Bill Maher finally got something right.  From his twitter account:

Bill Maher@billmaher

I can’t believe I’m saying this, but Obama looks like he DOES need a teleprompter

Even Bill Maher realized that there was only one high powered executive on that stage tonight and it wasn’t Barack Obama. 

TDM

BENGHAZI BLUES

BENGHAZI BLUES (To the tune of Folsom Prison Blues)

 

I hear a train a coming

It’s rolling ‘round the bend

I ain’t seen nothing like this

Since I don’t know when

The cover-up’s unraveling

It’s getting worse each day

Soon heads will be rollin’

Somebody’s got to pay!

 

The truth is they’ve been lying

In each and every way

They thought we must be stupid

And they could have their way

But that train still keeps on coming

I hear it more each day

Soon heads will be rollin’

Somebody’s got to pay!

 

The White House sure is sweating,

The State Department too

They’ve both run out lies

They don’t know what to do

But that train still keeps on coming

I hear it more each day

Soon heads will be rollin’

Somebody’s got to pay!

 

The threat was really obvious

Getting worse every day

Our people begged for mercy,

But none was on the way

It wasn’t that important

Who needs security?

“I gave a speech in Cairo

The World’s in love with me!”

 

But this time it really matters

Our Ambassador is gone

And far too many people

Know that this was really wrong

So that train it keeps on coming

I hear it more each day

Soon heads will be rollin’

Somebody’s got to pay!

OH FILIAL

The recent polls, showing Barack Obama running away to a sweet victory have come crashing down to earth.  The latest CNN poll results follow:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/01/battle-for-presidency-remains-close-in-new-cnn-poll/

These results are consistent with other polls.  This is very bad for President Obama.  His margin has decreased and it still over-samples Democrats.  It is significant to note that this poll has Independent voters going for Romney by a 49% to 41% margin.

When you combine this with the dramatic drop in Democratic registration, particularly in swing states like Ohio, I really don’t know how any honest analyst can even pretend this is favorable for Obama.

So what happened?  The answer is “Filial Regression.”  This is a mathematical law that applies when there are unexpected results.  Let me give an example.  Suppose you toss a coin 100 times and you get 65 heads and 35 tails.  Any mathematician will tell you that the odds of getting a “heads” on the next toss remain at exactly 50/50.  Just because there was a lucky string of heads does not mean that the odds have changed.  But filial regression also comes into play.  This is a mathematical law that applies when there are abnormal results.  According to filial regression, when there are abnormal results, the most likely thing to happen in the future is a return to normal.  That means that if you toss the coin another 100 times, odds are the results will return to near normal or 50 heads and 50 tails.

There were a string of polls that did not make any sense compared to well-known data.  This is the age of computers, so we really know how many Democrats there are, how many Republicans and how many Independents.  It is pretty rare for people to change party registration over-night.  Yet that is exactly what some political pundits believed was happening.  They believed that a lot of Republicans suddenly decided they were Democrats again. Wiser people were unconvinced.  In other words, the results were obviously abnormal.  The law of filial regression is what caused me to expect the results to return to normal over the next series of polls.  That is exactly what has happened.

Don’t start celebrating a Romney victory just yet, but be comforted in knowing that the predictions of his death were more than a little premature.  Also keep this in mind.  If this poll is right about Romney winning among Independents 49% to 41%, then it is the Obama campaign that should be experiencing night sweats.

TDM