I have spent a lot of time in New York and as a result New York values are pretty obvious to me. Both Ted Cruz and Donald Trump have it part right and part wrong. Cruz describes New York values as the liberal positions taken by the Democrats currently running New York. Donald Trump describes New York values as the fireman responding to 9-11. Both opinions are based on facts, but neither accurately explains New York values. There is definitely are New York values that affect how New Yorkers view the world and how they make decisions. That was on full display yesterday. New Yorkers all know the words to ”New York, New York” and this reflects their true value structure. They love their city, they think it is the center of the universe and if someone succeeds any place other than New York, it doesn’t matter. They view everything and everyone from New York as bigger than life and certainly far more important than anyone from anywhere else.
New Yorkers will always go for “somebody” rather than “nobody.” If the “somebody” is from New York, nothing else matters. Donald Trump is “somebody” and he is from New York. Ted Cruz is “nobody” and he is not from New York. Nothing else matters. Hillary Clinton is “somebody” and she is from New York. Bernie Sanders is “nobody” and he is not from New York.
Donald Trump had a great win in New York and it may give him momentum that sweeps him to the nomination. It may not. If Trump starts behaving like an adult, he could win. If he keeps talking about ‘Lying Ted” and insulting people, not so much. He would be smart to ignore Cruz, but I don’t think he is capable of that level of self-control.
It really depends on three states, Pennsylvania, Indiana and California. If Cruz gets wiped out in Pennsylvania the way he did in New York it will be hard for him to recover. But if Pennsylvania is even close and Cruz wins in Indiana and California, which is more than possible, he is the one likely to win the nomination. It is a lot like sports. Timing is everything and peaking too early happens all the time. If Trump does not have enough delegates to win on the first ballot, then all the delegates will focus on the second ballot. If Cruz comes in having won a lot of states and has just won big in Indiana and California he is going to look like he is peaking at the exact right moment. The early wins by Trump in January and February and even April will fade into oblivion.
This means, that California is very likely to be the state that decides the Republican nomination. The Trump campaign knows that. The Cruz campaign knows that and the main stream media will eventually figure that out. The Calfornia Primary will be held on June 7th. Brace yourselves, because we about to be invaded with wall to wall campaigning. We will be inundated with political ads at a level never seen before.
As for now, there is a significant chance that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee. Few people have actually heard Ted Cruz speak other than in 30 second responses asking stupid questions during poorly coordinated debates. His message has been drown out by the non-stop free media coverage of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Very few people even know Rafael Cruz exists, but it turns out he has a lot to say. Following is from an interview by Ted Cruz’s dad. Are you sure he got this wrong?
“Liberalism is not the answer and neither is Donald Trump. We need to realize that we are in the problems we are today because of all these corrupt politicians. We don’t really need a deal maker. We are where we are in American today because of all the corrupt deals that have been made behind closed doors at the expense of the American people and Donald Trump represents the other spectrum of that. Donald Trump is one or one of the ones that has been funding all these corrupt politicians. He is the other end of the corruption. He is the ultimate crony capitalist.
We don’t need a deal maker. We don’t need a bully. We don’t need another imperial president like we have today. We need a statesman. We need someone that will take American back to the Constitution, to the rule of law, to limited government. We need, more than anything else, we need a servant of “we the people.”
TDM
Of note is that most active military GIs serving overseas did not receive their ballots until the presidential elections were over last time. It probably won’t be any better this time either! Sad, but a fact!
Me thinks the entire electoral college is so far removed from “We the people” it no longer represents the people of a country where the majority did not have the time or the means to gather a a polling place in a timely manner. Now the popular vote (such as it is,) can be counted in milliseconds after pole closure. The “college” is now outdated and of no practical use except for the power structure to place the candidate of their choice in office. Looks like more of the SOS is in the offing.
If we did not have the electoral college, liberal democrats would win every national election. The reason is that Democratic power is concentrated in major metropolitan areas and they would find a way to beg, borrow, or steal enough votes to win the popular vote. The electoral college was designed to protect democracy by spreading power more evenly between big states and small states. Keep in mind that if we didn’t have the electoral college Al Gore would have been elected in 2000.
A MEN!