{"id":925,"date":"2011-07-25T09:36:27","date_gmt":"2011-07-25T16:36:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=925"},"modified":"2011-07-25T09:36:27","modified_gmt":"2011-07-25T16:36:27","slug":"playing-chicken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=925","title":{"rendered":"PLAYING CHICKEN"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A few years ago some out of control teenagers played a game called chicken.\u00a0 Two cars would back off a considerable distance and then take off at high speed aiming directly at each other.\u00a0 The first person to veer off to avoid the head-on collision was the chicken.\u00a0 Playing Chicken was never a good idea, but in most cases the participants survived being neither participant was really interested in playing suicide. \u00a0\u00a0But what if you found yourself playing chicken with an irrational opponent, someone who would rather die than be called chicken?<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0Today Obama is playing chicken with the Republicans in congress.\u00a0 There are reports that Senator Reid brought a bi-partisan solution to the President, involving a debt limit increase and spending cuts, but Obama said no.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/right-turn\/post\/white-house-stokes-debt-ceiling-crisis\/2011\/03\/29\/gIQAvx8DYI_blog.html\">http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/right-turn\/post\/white-house-stokes-debt-ceiling-crisis\/2011\/03\/29\/gIQAvx8DYI_blog.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0If this is true, then Obama has made a major mistake.\u00a0 Senator Reid has tried to carry the water for Obama on this issue all along.\u00a0 It was Senator Reid who had the Senate table the Cut, Cap and Balance Legislation last week without allowing any debate or amendments.\u00a0 He would not have agreed to Boehner\u2019s short-term deal unless he was sure of support by Democratic senators.\u00a0 Forget Reid\u2019s proposal, Republicans know who blinked first.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0I believe this is true.\u00a0 That means that Boehner is almost certainly going to get this bi-partisan deal passed by the House.\u00a0 He is then going to send it to the Senate, where it is going to be difficult, if not impossible, for Reid to block it.\u00a0 At that point it will be up to Obama to veto it.\u00a0 If he signs it, he has a big problem because this will come up again at the end of the year, the economy will be worse, it will be the start of the primary season, and Republicans will be even more determined.\u00a0 On the other hand, if he vetoes it that will really anger Senators in his own party.\u00a0 They cannot afford to vote down such a realistic deal when so many are up for re-election next fall.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0It is impossible to predict anything in this environment.\u00a0 The most likely outcome would be for the House and the Senate to over-ride the veto.\u00a0 But that will literally mean a full scale revolt by Democrats against Obama\u2019s leadership on the economy.\u00a0 Once Obama loses a vote like that, he will never recover politically.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0It is also possible that if the President rejects a straight forward common sense deal, that just might convince members in both parties that Cut, Cap and Balance is the only real long term solution.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0A lot of people think that Obama will swallow hard and sign the bill.\u00a0 I wouldn\u2019t bet on that.\u00a0 I think Republicans may be playing chicken with an irrational opponent.\u00a0 That makes playing chicken a very dangerous game indeed.<\/p>\n<p>TDM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A few years ago some out of control teenagers played a game called chicken.\u00a0 Two cars would back off a considerable distance and then take off at high speed aiming directly at each other.\u00a0 The first person to veer off &hellip; 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