{"id":351,"date":"2010-08-10T10:37:13","date_gmt":"2010-08-10T17:37:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=351"},"modified":"2010-08-10T10:37:13","modified_gmt":"2010-08-10T17:37:13","slug":"roll-tide","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=351","title":{"rendered":"ROLL TIDE"},"content":{"rendered":"

It is increasingly clear that a revolution will take place on November 2, 2010.\u00a0 At first, I was hoping for the Republicans to win back the House.\u00a0 Then I was hoping they would win back control of the Senate. \u00a0Both of those events are now very likely with the takeover of the House almost certain.\u00a0 The White House is shock.<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.commentarymagazine.com\/blogs\/index.php\/wehner\/338666<\/a><\/p>\n

I have been checking the polls and unless they are totally wrong things are even worse than is being reported.\u00a0 \u00a0Here is the latest on the House races from Real Clear Poliitics:<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2010\/house\/2010_elections_house_map.html<\/a><\/p>\n

But this is extremely misleading.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 The problem with this analysis is that there are no longer 148 \u201csafe\u201d Democratic seats.\u00a0 That analysis was based on prior records of incumbent Democrats winning re-election, not based on current polling data.\u00a0 Democrats are behind in about 48 of those \u201csafe\u201d districts.<\/p>\n

What this means is that there are between 80 and 100 seats where Democrats probably win regardless of national trends.\u00a0 These are districts where there is a minority Democratic congressional representative in a highly ethnic district.\u00a0 Those people are extremely unlikely to lose.\u00a0 (Think Maxime Waters) There are also some representatives from very liberal non-ethnic districts which will also likely continue to be Democratic.\u00a0 (Think Nancy Pelosi)\u00a0 But the rest of them are definitely in play and right now the Democrats are trailing everywhere!<\/p>\n

We could, and I emphasize the word \u201ccould\u201d see the Republicans end up with more than 300 seats in the House.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Following is the latest from the Senate:<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2010\/senate\/2010_elections_senate_map.html<\/a><\/p>\n

The odds are looking better that Republicans retake control of the Senate.\u00a0 \u00a0The bottom line is that only 37 Senators are up for re-election.\u00a0 Of that number, 19 are Democrats and 18 are Republicans.\u00a0 Most of the projections that have Democrats retaining control of the Senate require Barbara Boxer winning re-election in California.\u00a0 If she loses in California, it will be very hard for Democrats to retain control of the Senate.<\/p>\n

Here is the shocking news.\u00a0 There are NO safe Senate seats this year.<\/p>\n

Bayh, Evan \u2013 (D \u2013 IN) Class III 131 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5623 Web Form: bayh.senate.gov\/contact\/email\/<\/p>\n

Bennet, Michael F. \u2013 (D \u2013 CO) Class III 702 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5852 Web Form: bennet.senate.gov\/contact\/<\/p>\n

Boxer, Barbara \u2013 (D \u2013 CA) Class III 112 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3553 Web Form: boxer.senate.gov\/contact\/email\/policy.cfm<\/p>\n

Burris, Roland W. \u2013 (D \u2013 IL) Class III 387 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2854 Web Form: burris.senate.gov\/contact\/contact.cfm<\/p>\n

Dodd, Christopher J. \u2013 (D \u2013 CT) Class III 448 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2823 Web Form: dodd.senate.gov\/index.php?q=node\/3130<\/p>\n

Dorgan, Byron L. \u2013 (D \u2013 ND) Class III 322 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2551 Web Form: dorgan.senate.gov\/contact\/contact_form.cfm<\/p>\n

Feingold, Russell D. \u2013 (D \u2013 WI) Class III 506 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5323 Web Form: feingold.senate.gov\/contact_opinion.html<\/p>\n

Inouye, Daniel K. \u2013 (D \u2013 HI) Class III 722 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3934 Web Form: inouye.senate.gov\/Contact\/Email-Form.cfm<\/p>\n

Leahy, Patrick J. \u2013 (D \u2013 VT) Class III 433 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4242 Web Form: leahy.senate.gov\/contact.cfm<\/p>\n

Lincoln, Blanche L. \u2013 (D \u2013 AR) Class III 355 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4843 Web Form: lincoln.senate.gov\/contact\/email.cfm<\/p>\n

Mikulski, Barbara A. \u2013 (D \u2013 MD) Class III 503 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4654 Web Form: mikulski.senate.gov\/Contact\/contact.cfm<\/p>\n

Murray, Patty \u2013 (D \u2013 WA) Class III 173 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2621 Web Form: murray.senate.gov\/email\/index.cfm<\/p>\n

Reid, Harry \u2013 (D \u2013 NV) Class III 522 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3542 Web Form: reid.senate.gov\/contact\/index.cfm<\/p>\n

Schumer, Charles E. \u2013 (D \u2013 NY) Class III 313 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-6542 Web Form: schumer.senate.gov\/new_website\/contact.cfm<\/p>\n

Specter, Arlen \u2013 (D \u2013 PA) Class III 711 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4254 specter.senate.gov\/public\/index.cfm?FuseAction=Contact.Co\u2026<\/p>\n

Wyden, Ron \u2013 (D \u2013 OR) Class III 223 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5244 Web Form: wyden.senate.gov\/contact\/<\/p>\n

Here is the list of Democrats up for re-election in 2010:<\/p>\n

\u00a0Even now Democrats are \u201cexpecting\u201d to lose 8 Senate seats.\u00a0 This is the projection by the die-hard optimists.\u00a0 It is possible that the Democrats will lose every current seat, because there is a nationwide throw the bums out attitude.\u00a0 Just look at the above list.\u00a0 None of these people are guaranteed re-election.\u00a0 The Republicans would have to win every Republican seat and 17 Democratic seats to get a 60 vote majority.\u00a0 While that is far from predictable, it is not outside the realm of possibility.<\/p>\n

Finally, recall that 2010 is a census year.\u00a0 That means that Republicans would be in charge of making redistricting decisions.\u00a0 This election could literally remove Democrats from power for an entire generation.<\/p>\n

The odds increase daily, primarily because of the continued arrogance and incompetence of this administration.\u00a0 The Spanish Fly venture by Michelle Obama was a huge mistake that will cost Democrats big time this fall.\u00a0 Unless sometime big happens soon, this is going to be a wild ride.<\/p>\n

(Democrats are beyond desperate:\u00a0 Re-read Wag the Donkey.\u00a0 Remember there is nothing more dangerous than a cornered animal.\u00a0 No party in recent history has been more cornered than the Democratic Party this year.)<\/p>\n

TDM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It is increasingly clear that a revolution will take place on November 2, 2010.\u00a0 At first, I was hoping for the Republicans to win back the House.\u00a0 Then I was hoping they would win back control of the Senate. \u00a0Both … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-latest-headlines"],"yoast_head":"\nROLL TIDE - SCOTS HONOR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=351\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ROLL TIDE - 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