The next two weeks are going to be interesting.\u00a0 The Trump campaign is hoping to run the table and seal the deal.\u00a0 They may run the table, but it won\u2019t seal the deal.\u00a0 The Republican establishment is praying that John Kasich wins in Michigan and Ohio so he can become the establishment alternative to Trump.\u00a0 The Rubio camp appears to be preparing for bad weather.\u00a0 The polls are all over the place and it is impossible to predict much.\u00a0 In addition, there are not a lot of polls.<\/p>\n
Fox News is desperately pushing a Kasich surge in Michigan.\u00a0 They are predicting the voters will respond to the kinder, gentler Republican establishment governor.\u00a0 They are praying that voters turn away from the bitter rhetoric of Donald Trump and Ted Cruz.\u00a0 They have given up on Rubio.<\/p>\n
Best case for Trump would be to win big in Michigan, Mississippi and Idaho and then win in Florida and Ohio.\u00a0 The pundits will announce that the race is over and Trump has this sewn up.\u00a0 The Cruz campaign will be silently celebrating because they know the opposite is true.\u00a0 This would result in both Kasich and Rubio dropping out of the race.\u00a0 If they drop out and this becomes Trump vs Cruz, the most likely result is that Ted Cruz easily wins most of the remaining states and gets more than enough delegates to win the nomination.<\/p>\n
Best case for Cruz is that he wins in Mississippi and Idaho and he comes in second in Michigan, Florida or Ohio.\u00a0 Obviously if he won any of the big three states it would be huge but while that is possible it is far from likely.<\/p>\n
Worse case for the Republican Party and for the country is that Kasich wins in Michigan and Ohio and Rubio wins in Florida.\u00a0 That would almost certainly result in no one winning the nomination outright and a chaotic Republican convention.\u00a0 That would be unlikely to end up well.<\/p>\n
Fox News has given up on Rubio and is now pushing Kasich.\u00a0 Once again they are grossly underestimating the anger toward the establishment in both parties.\u00a0 John Kasich is a nice guy, but he is a typical compassionate conservative Republican RINO who will almost instantly compromise with Democrats in their mission to pave the road to disaster.\u00a0 Most Republicans have figured that out, which is why Kasich has trouble getting north of 10% if most states.\u00a0 The only chance for Kasich to get the nomination is if neither Trump nor Cruz gets enough votes during the primary elections and the convention unites behind Kasich.\u00a0 He openly dreams of this.\u00a0 It is easily the worst case scenario for the Republican Party and the country.<\/p>\n
TDM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The next two weeks are going to be interesting.\u00a0 The Trump campaign is hoping to run the table and seal the deal.\u00a0 They may run the table, but it won\u2019t seal the deal.\u00a0 The Republican establishment is praying that John … Continue reading