Nevada only matters to people who think Nevada matters.\u00a0 Trump did get 45% of the vote last night, but only a little over 75,000 people bothered to vote.\u00a0 Both Trump and Rubio won because of Clark County, which means Las Vega.\u00a0 Trump won by 17,000 vote state wide, half of them came from Clark County.\u00a0 The entire margin between Rubio and Cruz came from Clark County.\u00a0 If they had tied there, Cruz rather than Rubio would have come in second.\u00a0 So instead of saying that Trump won big in Nevada it would be more accurate to say he ran the table in Vegas.<\/p>\n
The Republican establishment is rushing to endorse Rubio, which is hurting Cruz but not necessarily helping Rubio enough to take on Trump.\u00a0 It probably helps Trump more than anything, because Rubio is a far less dangerous opponent for him than Cruz.\u00a0 Rubio is running on a campaign that he is most electable because he will bring more people into the party.\u00a0 That is the same theory that resulted in the losses by John McCain and Mitt Romney.\u00a0 Every poll in Nevada showed that people are angry and they want to vote for an angry man.\u00a0 The Republican Establishment has already lost this election.\u00a0 The only question is how long before they are ready, willing and able to admit that.<\/p>\n
I don’t think Rubio has a path to the nomination. \u00a0I don’t think Rubio can ever beat Trump. \u00a0Cruz, on the other hand, still have a path, but some things have to happen.\u00a0 He has to stop Rubio or Trump easily wins this. \u00a0He can win a two man race, but Trump will win a three man race. \u00a0The good news for him is that Rubio is very vulnerable.\u00a0 His performance on O\u2019Reilly was really bad.\u00a0 Rubio simply cannot handle being pressured on immigration. In addition there is a breaking story where an ICE official is challenging Rubio.\u00a0 This is a Swift Boat type campaign.\u00a0 Rubio tried to dismiss this guy off hand and that may backfire.\u00a0 The allegation is that Rubio was unwilling to give ICE authority to stop illegal immigration. This could really hurt Rubio.\u00a0 The Town Hall and the debate this week could be interesting.<\/p>\n
Cruz also needs to take on the liar allegations and turn them around.\u00a0 He certainly has the skill and the ammunition to do that.\u00a0 To put it bluntly, both Donald Trump and Marco Rubio live in glass houses on this subject.<\/p>\n
While some have talked about a brokered convention, no one has noticed that the California Primary is still looming out there is the Fog.\u00a0 Remember that Robert Kennedy was way behind in 1968 until he won the California Primary.\u00a0 If he had not been assassinated he probably would have won the Democratic nomination.\u00a0 California is a winner take all state where only Republicans can vote.\u00a0 Cruz is leading in the polls in California.\u00a0 I wouldn’t be surprised if Cruz is doing some California Dreaming.<\/p>\n
TDM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Nevada only matters to people who think Nevada matters.\u00a0 Trump did get 45% of the vote last night, but only a little over 75,000 people bothered to vote.\u00a0 Both Trump and Rubio won because of Clark County, which means Las … Continue reading