{"id":1164,"date":"2012-01-10T16:01:25","date_gmt":"2012-01-10T23:01:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=1164"},"modified":"2012-01-10T16:01:25","modified_gmt":"2012-01-10T23:01:25","slug":"tipperary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=1164","title":{"rendered":"TIPPERARY!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Following is the chart I intended to include in WHAT FAT LADY?\u00a0 It got lost in the ether and I had to reconstruct it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Republican Primary Schedule.<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Delegates<\/td>\n2,286<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Needed to Win<\/td>\n1,144<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Primary\/Caucus<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Date<\/td>\nState<\/td>\nDelegates<\/td>\n100%<\/td>\n75%<\/td>\n50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1\/3\/2012<\/td>\nIowa<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n1,116<\/td>\n1,123<\/td>\n1,130<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1\/10\/2012<\/td>\nNew Hampshire<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n1,104<\/td>\n1,114<\/td>\n1,124<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1\/21\/2012<\/td>\nSouth Carolina<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n1,079<\/td>\n1,095<\/td>\n1,112<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1\/31\/2012<\/td>\nFlorida<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n1,029<\/td>\n1,058<\/td>\n1,087<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/4\/2012<\/td>\nMaine<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n1,005<\/td>\n1,040<\/td>\n1,075<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/4\/2012<\/td>\nNevada<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n977<\/td>\n1,019<\/td>\n1,061<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/7\/2012<\/td>\nColorado<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n941<\/td>\n992<\/td>\n1,043<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/7\/2012<\/td>\nMinnesota<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n901<\/td>\n962<\/td>\n1,023<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/7\/2012<\/td>\nMissouri<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n849<\/td>\n923<\/td>\n997<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/28\/2012<\/td>\nArizona<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n820<\/td>\n901<\/td>\n982<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2\/28\/2012<\/td>\nMichigan<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n790<\/td>\n879<\/td>\n967<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/3\/2012<\/td>\nWashington<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n747<\/td>\n846<\/td>\n946<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nAlaska<\/td>\n27<\/td>\n720<\/td>\n826<\/td>\n932<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nGeorgia<\/td>\n76<\/td>\n644<\/td>\n769<\/td>\n894<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nIdaho<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n612<\/td>\n745<\/td>\n878<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nMassachusetts<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n571<\/td>\n714<\/td>\n858<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nNorth Dakota<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n543<\/td>\n693<\/td>\n844<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nOhio<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n477<\/td>\n644<\/td>\n811<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nOklahoma<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n434<\/td>\n612<\/td>\n789<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nTennessee<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n376<\/td>\n568<\/td>\n760<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nVermont<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n359<\/td>\n555<\/td>\n752<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nVirginia<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n310<\/td>\n519<\/td>\n727<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/6\/2012<\/td>\nWyoming<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n281<\/td>\n497<\/td>\n713<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/10\/2012<\/td>\nKansas<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n241<\/td>\n467<\/td>\n693<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/10\/2012<\/td>\nVirgin Islands<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n232<\/td>\n460<\/td>\n688<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/13\/2012<\/td>\nAlabama<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n182<\/td>\n423<\/td>\n663<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/13\/2012<\/td>\nHawaii<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n162<\/td>\n408<\/td>\n653<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/13\/2012<\/td>\nMississippi<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n122<\/td>\n378<\/td>\n633<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/20\/2012<\/td>\nIllinois<\/td>\n69<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n326<\/td>\n599<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3\/24\/2012<\/td>\nLouisiana<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n291<\/td>\n576<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/3\/2012<\/td>\nDistrict of Columbia<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n277<\/td>\n566<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/3\/2012<\/td>\nMaryland<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n249<\/td>\n548<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/3\/2012<\/td>\nTexas<\/td>\n155<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n133<\/td>\n470<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/3\/2012<\/td>\nWisconsin<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n102<\/td>\n449<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/24\/2012<\/td>\nConnecticut<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n435<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/24\/2012<\/td>\nDelaware<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n68<\/td>\n427<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/24\/2012<\/td>\nNew York<\/td>\n95<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n379<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/24\/2012<\/td>\nPennsylvania<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n343<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4\/24\/2012<\/td>\nRhode Island<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n334<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/8\/2012<\/td>\nIndiana<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n311<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/8\/2012<\/td>\nNorth Carolina<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n283<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/8\/2012<\/td>\nWest Virginia<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n268<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/15\/2012<\/td>\nNebraska<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n250<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/15\/2012<\/td>\nOregon<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n236<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/22\/2012<\/td>\nArkansas<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n218<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5\/22\/2012<\/td>\nKentucky<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n196<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6\/5\/2012<\/td>\nCalifornia<\/td>\n172<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n110<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6\/5\/2012<\/td>\nMontana<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n97<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6\/5\/2012<\/td>\nNew Jersey<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6\/5\/2012<\/td>\nNew Mexico<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6\/5\/2012<\/td>\nSouth Dakota<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6\/26\/2012<\/td>\nUtah<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TBD<\/td>\nAmerican Samoa<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TBD<\/td>\nGuam<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TBD<\/td>\nNorthern Marianas<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TBD<\/td>\nPuerto Rico<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n2,286<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

This is just a snapshot.\u00a0\u00a0 For example, none of the Iowa delegates are actually “required” to vote for anyone, since it is a non-binding caucus.\u00a0 In addition, there are three delegates unassigned.\u00a0\u00a0 As of today, before the New Hampshire results,\u00a0 Romney, Santorum and Paul each have\u00a06 delegates, Gingrich has 4 delegates and Perry has 3 delegates.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

When you think about it, it is pretty pathetic to pretend someone is close to sewing up the nomination at this point.\u00a0\u00a0 Anything could happen.\u00a0 Here is how it looks today:<\/p>\n

Most unlikely to succeed gots to Newt Gingrich.\u00a0 He is very unlikely to do well and\u00a0he could drop as low as fifth, behind Romney, Paul, Huntsman and Santorum.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Most likely to succeed is Mitt Romney.\u00a0 He will probably win easily in New Hampshire.\u00a0 If he does more than 38%, that will be very good.\u00a0 If he drops down closer to 30%, it will be viewed as him losing momentum.<\/p>\n

Huntsman could be a surprise.\u00a0 He could even soar up to challenge Paul for second.\u00a0 But if he does, he will be competing with Romney for the moderate vote.\u00a0 My guess is third, slightly ahead of Santorum.<\/p>\n

Santorum would require a Tebow type miracle to win.\u00a0 He could come in fourth or even fifth, which would be devastating to him.<\/p>\n

Santorum is certainly not surging any more.\u00a0 since campaigns are usually headed up or down, he is probably headed down.<\/p>\n

Paul probalby doesn’t care where he finishes.\u00a0 He doesn’t even plan on winning the nomination.\u00a0 He just wants enough delegates, from caucus states, so that he can have a voice on the Republican Party platform.<\/p>\n

Rick Perry never even tried to compete, so if he does anything at all, it’s good for him.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Gingrich’s strategy to attack Romney appears to be backfiring big time, since he continues to fall in the polls.\u00a0 But he also appears to have drawn blood.\u00a0 Keep in mind that regardless of results,\u00a0he has $5 million available in his superpact, because of a large gift from billionaire casino owner Sheldon\u00a0Adelson.\u00a0 As long as he had money, Gingrich’s ego will probably keep him in the race.\u00a0\u00a0He now\u00a0appears to be on a kamikazi mission to destroy Romney.\u00a0\u00a0 Remember that\u00a0only incompetent kamikazi operatives survive the mission.<\/p>\n

It’s a longer way to Tipperary than the pundits admit.<\/p>\n

Note:\u00a0 Tipperary is a town in Ireland, not actually remote.\u00a0 The song was apparently written by a lonely Irishman in London.\u00a0 If anyone watched “Das Boot” it was a very popular song for the German sailors.\u00a0 I doubt that any of them had any clue regarding the actual location of Tipperary.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

TDM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Following is the chart I intended to include in WHAT FAT LADY?\u00a0 It got lost in the ether and I had to reconstruct it. Republican Primary Schedule. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Total Delegates 2,286 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Needed to … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-latest-headlines"],"yoast_head":"\nTIPPERARY! - SCOTS HONOR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/scotshonor.com\/?p=1164\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"TIPPERARY! - SCOTS HONOR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Following is the chart I intended to include in WHAT FAT LADY?\u00a0 It got lost in the ether and I had to reconstruct it. 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