A PARTY IN MORNING

There always has to be a morning after and for the Democratic Party that is today. Last night’s DNC debate was an unmitigated disaster. This was so bad that the few Hollywood Celebrities who chimed in at all appeared to do so while throwing up. My favorite was by Norm MacDonald, who is strongly pro-abortion:

“Warren says Bloomberg told a pregnant women (sp) to ‘kill it’. Impossible to kill a fetus. Shame on you, Senator Warren.”  @normmacdonald

No one on any network even pretended this was impressive. CBS, which attempted and failed to moderate the debate, took a poll that showed 47% of respondents said the debate performance made them feel nervous about the entire pool of candidates.  The highlight of the event, for them, was when Amy Klobuchar said that if her competitors continued to tear each other apart that Trump would win the election. But, while they agreed with that, it didn’t appear to cause anyone to choose her as the candidate.

This looks more and more like a worst-case scenario for Democrats. Sanders will continue to lead, but only because of the quality of his opponents. Biden is likely to come in second, primarily because most people want someone else and Bloomberg looks worse in comparison. No one else is likely to matter, although Steyer may buy enough votes in South Carolina to hurt Biden. When Biden pointed out Steyer had invested in coal mines and private prisons he probably dealt a fatal blow to any slim prospect of Steyer winning anything. In an act of desperation, Steyer literally proposed black reparations.

Biden is likely to win in South Carolina, barely, but enough to stay in the race. His last remaining virtue is the perceived ability to prevent Bernie from winning outright. Sanders will continue to win, but he appears to have a hard ceiling. It is very likely that in every state more people will vote for someone else, but that vote will be split at least two ways and possibly more. In recent days many prominent Democrats have come out publicly saying they would never support Bernie Sanders. Bloomberg will stay in the race and continue pouring in money, but there are tons of negative stories about him with more to come. Democrats want Bloomberg’s money, but they don’t want him.

I expect all three to survive, sorta, Super Tuesday, but all will be limping toward the DNC convention. The 2020 DNC convention in Milwaukee may make the 1968 DNC convention look good in comparison. In 1968 no one was even close to having won the nomination. Both Martin Luther King, Jr. and Robert Kennedy has been assassinated. The choice was between Hubert Humphrey, who didn’t actually compete in any primaries, he just inherited LBJ’s votes, and George McGovern who was the peace candidate. Democrats chose Humphrey who got hosed by Nixon. It didn’t end there. Four years later McGovern won and was also hosed by Nixon.

Meanwhile the scene inside and outside the convention was a hot mess. The highlight was when Dan Rather was hustled out of the building by security guards on national television. Dan Rather gave his version of events to Walter Cronkite:

“Walter … we tried to talk to the man and we got violently pushed out of the way. This is the kind of thing that has been going on outside the hall, this is the first time we’ve had it happen inside the hall. We … I’m sorry to be out of breath, but somebody belted me in the stomach during that. What happened is a Georgia delegate, at least he had a Georgia delegate sign on, was being hauled out of the hall. We tried to talk to him to see why, who he was, what the situation was, and at that instant the security people, well as you can see, put me on the deck. I didn’t do very well.”

Cronkite responded by saying: “I think we’ve got a bunch of thugs here, Dan.”

In the meantime, there were 10,000 protestors outside the building who were confronted by 23,000 police officers and National Guardsmen. There was a lot of violence in the streets, some blaming most of it on the police and others on the protestors.

Richard Nixon, who was probably hated by Democrats and the MSM even more than Donald Trump, coasted to election. Democrats and the establishment were united in their hatred of Nixon, but they were too busy destroying each other to have any chance of winning the general election.

The only thing that would make this worse would be if the DNC establishment chose none of the above and parachuted in a white knight to save the day. That would only infuriate the few remaining Democrats who are not already totally disillusioned. The real lesson of 2020 is that todays DNC is not actually capable of running anything, including the Iowa Caucuses. They certainly aren’t capable of running the country. One important difference is that this time it won’t be just the President, it will be the House and the Senate.

TDM